Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $51.9900 (1.68%) ($51.3100 - $51.9900) on Wed. Jan. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $51.9900(1.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(68%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GDXJ(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.18(1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.7(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.03(3.92%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2014	46.06	50.03	50.7	51.18			51.99(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	59	-10000	17	184	0.02	74%	0.26	79.2	0.69%	0	2.3	76	0
2	Jan_21_2014	45.94	49.88	50.43	50.88			51.13(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	12	159	0.02	72%	0.24	91.5	0.67%	0	1.8	73	0
3	Jan_17_2014	45.83	49.75	50.23	50.68			50.94(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	5	131	0.01	74%	0.22	96.3	0.68%	0	1.8	68	0
4	Jan_16_2014	45.73	49.64	50.04	50.59			50.99(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	11	114	0.02	74%	0.22	105.3	0.69%	0	2	64	0
5	Jan_15_2014	45.63	49.5	49.84	50.4			50.86(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	14	90	0.03	69%	0.24	109.9	0.7%	0	2.3	67	0

6	Jan_14_2014	45.52	49.37	49.69	50.15			50.46(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	13	71	0.01	67%	0.2	104.3	0.73%	0	1.9	67	0
7	Jan_13_2014	45.43	49.24	49.58	49.91			50.15(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	12	54	0.09	67%	0.18	91.4	0.73%	0	1.6	65	0
8	Jan_10_2014	45.35	49.11	49.51	49.7			50.51(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	17	51	0.02	72%	0.2	74.2	0.72%	0	2.2	74	0
9	Jan_9_2014	45.26	48.95	49.42	49.4			50.03(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	11	35	0.02	71%	0.2	58.1	0.76%	0	1.7	69	0
10	Jan_8_2014	45.17	48.85	49.35	49.19			49.59(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	1	30	0.01	69%	0.2	43.4	0.76%	0	1.1	71	0

11	Jan_7_2014	45.08	48.77	49.29	49.17			49.25(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-2	38	0.01	69%	0.18	41	0.77%	0	0.7	68	0
12	Jan_6_2014	45	48.72	49.28	49.2			49.11(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-4	61	0.02	69%	0.2	40.3	0.77%	0	0.6	73	0
13	Jan_3_2014	44.91	48.65	49.24	49.28			49.03(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-8	83	0.03	66%	0.18	37	0.77%	0	0.5	73	0
14	Jan_2_2014	44.83	48.59	49.22	49.43			48.96(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	27	-10000	-4	119	0.04	66%	0.22	37.3	0.79%	0	0.5	76	0
15	Dec_31_2013	44.73	48.55	49.16	49.51			49.51(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	4	138	0.02	71%	0.16	41.4	0.78%	0	1.3	68	0

16	Dec_30_2013	44.66	48.49	49.05	49.43			49.38(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	3	134	0.02	71%	0.18	44.4	0.79%	0	1.3	66	0
17	Dec_27_2013	44.58	48.44	48.89	49.37			49.53(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	9	126	0.01	71%	0.16	52.2	0.8%	0	1.6	66	0
18	Dec_26_2013	44.51	48.39	48.7	49.19			49.76(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	-10000	10	114	0.03	71%	0.23	61.4	0.8%	0	2.1	73	0
19	Dec_24_2013	44.41	48.32	48.45	48.99			49.39(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	11	95	0.01	72%	0.16	77.7	0.79%	0	2	72	0
20	Dec_23_2013	44.34	48.24	48.31	48.77			49.08(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	8	72	0.01	69%	0.16	84	0.8%	0	1.7	59	0

21	Dec_20_2013	44.27	48.18	48.2	48.61			49.07(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	14	56	0.01	63%	0.16	92.5	0.82%	0	2	55	0
22	Dec_19_2013	44.2	48.1	48.1	48.34			48.67(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	10	25	0.01	62%	0.16	87.6	0.88%	0	1.3	49	0
23	Dec_18_2013	44.13	48	48	48.13			48.75(1.02%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	10	-10000	14	-3	0.01	62%	0.18	69.2	0.88%	0	1.5	48	0
24	Dec_17_2013	44.05	47.9	47.88	47.83			48.26(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	2	-42	0.01	62%	0.16	54	0.87%	0	0.7	47	0
25	Dec_16_2013	43.98	47.84	47.87	47.79			48.29(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	2	-43	0.01	64%		55.5	0.88%	0	0.8	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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