Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jan. 13, 2014

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $50.1500 (-0.71%) ($50.1500 - $50.7400) on Mon. Jan. 13, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.73% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $50.1500(-0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(68%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    XLE(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.365% (StdDev 0.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.91(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.58(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.24(1.85%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2014	45.43	49.24	49.58	49.91			50.15(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	12	54	0.09	67%	0.18	91.4	0.73%	0	1.6	65	0
2	Jan_10_2014	45.35	49.11	49.51	49.7			50.51(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	17	51	0.02	72%	0.2	74.2	0.72%	0	2.2	74	0
3	Jan_9_2014	45.26	48.95	49.42	49.4			50.03(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	11	35	0.02	71%	0.2	58.1	0.76%	0	1.7	69	0
4	Jan_8_2014	45.17	48.85	49.35	49.19			49.59(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	1	30	0.01	69%	0.2	43.4	0.76%	0	1.1	71	0
5	Jan_7_2014	45.08	48.77	49.29	49.17			49.25(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-2	38	0.01	69%	0.18	41	0.77%	0	0.7	68	0

6	Jan_6_2014	45	48.72	49.28	49.2			49.11(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-4	61	0.02	69%	0.2	40.3	0.77%	0	0.6	73	0
7	Jan_3_2014	44.91	48.65	49.24	49.28			49.03(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-8	83	0.03	66%	0.18	37	0.77%	0	0.5	73	0
8	Jan_2_2014	44.83	48.59	49.22	49.43			48.96(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	27	-10000	-4	119	0.04	66%	0.22	37.3	0.79%	0	0.5	76	0
9	Dec_31_2013	44.73	48.55	49.16	49.51			49.51(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	4	138	0.02	71%	0.16	41.4	0.78%	0	1.3	68	0
10	Dec_30_2013	44.66	48.49	49.05	49.43			49.38(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	-10000	3	134	0.02	71%	0.18	44.4	0.79%	0	1.3	66	0

11	Dec_27_2013	44.58	48.44	48.89	49.37			49.53(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	9	126	0.01	71%	0.16	52.2	0.8%	0	1.6	66	0
12	Dec_26_2013	44.51	48.39	48.7	49.19			49.76(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	-10000	10	114	0.03	71%	0.23	61.4	0.8%	0	2.1	73	0
13	Dec_24_2013	44.41	48.32	48.45	48.99			49.39(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	11	95	0.01	72%	0.16	77.7	0.79%	0	2	72	0
14	Dec_23_2013	44.34	48.24	48.31	48.77			49.08(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	8	72	0.01	69%	0.16	84	0.8%	0	1.7	59	0
15	Dec_20_2013	44.27	48.18	48.2	48.61			49.07(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	25	-10000	14	56	0.01	63%	0.16	92.5	0.82%	0	2	55	0

16	Dec_19_2013	44.2	48.1	48.1	48.34			48.67(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	10	25	0.01	62%	0.16	87.6	0.88%	0	1.3	49	0
17	Dec_18_2013	44.13	48	48	48.13			48.75(1.02%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	10	-10000	14	-3	0.01	62%	0.18	69.2	0.88%	0	1.5	48	0
18	Dec_17_2013	44.05	47.9	47.88	47.83			48.26(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	2	-42	0.01	62%	0.16	54	0.87%	0	0.7	47	0
19	Dec_16_2013	43.98	47.84	47.88	47.79			48.29(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10000	2	-43	0.01	64%	0.16	55.5	0.88%	0	0.8	54	0
20	Dec_13_2013	43.91	47.77	47.87	47.75			47.71(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-4	-43	0	62%	0.14	56.3	0.89%	0	-0.1	49	0

21	Dec_12_2013	43.85	47.72	47.95	47.84			47.64(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-0	-20	0.01	62%	0.14	64.7	0.89%	0	-0.1	55	0
22	Dec_11_2013	43.79	47.66	48.06	47.85			47.26(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-3	5	0.01	63%	0.14	60.3	0.88%	0	-0.6	60	0
23	Dec_10_2013	43.73	47.61	48.06	47.92			48.03(-0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-2	34	0.01	69%	0.16	58.4	0.86%	0	0.5	70	0
24	Dec_9_2013	43.66	47.53	48.18	47.96			48.1(-0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10000	-3	50	0	70%	0.16	58.8	0.87%	0	0.7	65	0
25	Dec_6_2013	43.59	47.43	48.17	48.02			48.18(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-4	70	0	70%		63.4	0.87%	0	0.9	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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