Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $42.8400 (0.26%) ($42.6900 - $43.9900) on Thu. Sep. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $42.8400(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.74(0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.19(-0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.5(0.8%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2013	40.18	42.5		42.74			42.84(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-10000	-12	20	0	65%	0.15	32.8	0.92%	0	0.3	67	0
2	Sep_25_2013	40.12	42.41	43.19	42.97			42.73(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-13	55	0	65%	0.17	35.6	0.94%	0	0.3	64	0
3	Sep_24_2013	40.05	42.31	43.21	43.24			42.88(1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-10	99	0.01	65%	0.15	39.3	0.94%	0	0.5	67	0
4	Sep_23_2013	39.99	42.26	43.18	43.45			42.37(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	28	-10000	-11	144	0	63%	0.18	48.8	0.94%	0	0.1	70	0
5	Sep_20_2013	39.92	42.24	43.15	43.68			42.89(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	48	-10000	0	192	0	62%	0.18	57.8	0.92%	0	0.6	76	0

6	Sep_19_2013	39.85	42.17	43.02	43.67			43.98(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	62	-10000	12	211	0	67%	0.2	60.5	0.9%	0	1.6	84	0
7	Sep_18_2013	39.77	42.03	42.78	43.44			44.07(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	61	-10000	13	205	0	67%	0.23	56.8	0.9%	0	2	86	0
8	Sep_17_2013	39.68	41.88	42.52	43.18			43.96(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	62	-10000	16	200	0	67%	0.2	50.5	0.9%	0	2.3	86	0
9	Sep_16_2013	39.6	41.73	42.2	42.87			43.5(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	-10000	17	161	0.01	66%	0.2	44.4	0.89%	0	2.2	62	0
10	Sep_13_2013	39.52	41.61	41.91	42.55			42.86(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-10000	15	119	0	64%	0.18	32.5	0.88%	0	1.8	59	0

11	Sep_12_2013	39.45	41.51	41.74	42.27			42.79(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	-10000	13	86	0	61%	0.2	14.1	0.88%	0	2.1	60	0
12	Sep_11_2013	39.37	41.46	41.54	42.02			42.8(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	25	-10000	14	58	0	61%	0.23	2.3	0.9%	0	2.4	63	0
13	Sep_10_2013	39.28	41.42	41.32	41.76			42.42(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	18	30	0.01	62%	0.2	-12.7	0.9%	0	2	62	0
14	Sep_9_2013	39.2	41.42	41.26	41.42			41.89(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	13	8	0.01	61%	0.2	-41.3	0.91%	0	1.1	58	0
15	Sep_6_2013	39.12	41.39	41.23	41.18			41.44(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	-10000	3	-7	0	59%	0.18	-58.6	0.9%	0	0.1	54	0

16	Sep_5_2013	39.05	41.43	41.24	41.12			41.57(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	8	-5	0	57%	0.21	-57	0.9%	0	0.3	56	0
17	Sep_4_2013	38.97	41.45	41.22	40.98			41.48(1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	-10000	8	-25	0	57%	0.15	-57.6	0.91%	0	0.1	44	0
18	Sep_3_2013	38.91	41.48	41.18	40.83			40.71(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-26	-10000	-13	-64	0	52%	0.23	-56.2	0.89%	0	-1.4	30	0
19	Aug_30_2013	38.82	41.57	41.24	41.07			40.71(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-12	-52	0	52%	0.13	-32.1	0.9%	0	-1.5	36	0
20	Aug_29_2013	38.77	41.66	41.24	41.29			41.11(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-44	0.01	54%	0.15	-13.8	0.89%	0	-1	38	0

21	Aug_28_2013	38.71	41.71	41.29	41.39			40.88(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-5	-54	0	56%	0.16	-3.9	0.89%	0	-1.6	32	0
22	Aug_27_2013	38.65	41.75	41.39	41.48			40.72(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	-10000	-5	-49	0	56%	0.16	0	0.91%	0	-2.1	34	0
23	Aug_26_2013	38.59	41.79	41.54	41.57			41.95(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	9	-39	0	62%	0.18	2.7	0.83%	0	0.3	45	0
24	Aug_23_2013	38.52	41.76	41.53	41.42			41.8(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	7	-64	0.01	62%	0.18	-5.3	0.84%	0	0.1	36	0
25	Aug_22_2013	38.45	41.73	41.55	41.29			41.61(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	-10000	6	-85	0	62%		-12.4	0.84%	0	-0.3	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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