Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 24, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $41.5300 (-0.17%) ($41.5200 - $42.1900) on Wed. Jul. 24, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $41.5300(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.32(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.95(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.01(3.8%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2013	37	40.01	40.95	41.32			41.53(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10000	10	174	0.01	77%	0.24	80.1	0.84%	0	1.3	86	0
2	Jul_23_2013	36.91	39.8	40.8	41.15			41.6(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	-10000	14	183	0	78%	0.24	66.9	0.84%	0	1.5	84	0
3	Jul_22_2013	36.82	39.61	40.62	40.91			41.19(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	47	-10000	5	171	0	77%	0.22	58.1	0.85%	0	1.3	77	0
4	Jul_19_2013	36.74	39.43	40.46	40.82			41.19(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	-10000	10	186	0	78%	0.22	54.3	0.85%	0	1.5	80	0
5	Jul_18_2013	36.66	39.26	40.25	40.65			41.11(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	50	-10000	7	179	0	76%	0.22	51	0.86%	0	1.6	79	0

6	Jul_17_2013	36.58	39.13	40	40.53			40.67(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	52	-10000	8	183	0	71%	0.22	54.5	0.87%	0	1.4	81	0
7	Jul_16_2013	36.5	39.02	39.81	40.39			40.37(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	-10000	6	186	0	67%	0.22	55.3	0.91%	0	1.3	83	0
8	Jul_15_2013	36.42	38.92	39.67	40.28			40.76(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	60	-10000	13	199	0	69%	0.22	56.3	0.93%	0	1.9	82	0
9	Jul_12_2013	36.34	38.79	39.44	40.04			40.35(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	-10000	14	195	0	68%	0.22	58.6	0.93%	0	1.8	79	0
10	Jul_11_2013	36.26	38.67	39.26	39.78			40.52(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	63	-10000	21	189	0.01	70%	0.19	57.9	0.93%	0	2.3	78	0

11	Jul_10_2013	36.19	38.54	38.99	39.39			39.94(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	-10000	13	139	0	69%	0.19	56.4	0.95%	0	2	62	0
12	Jul_9_2013	36.12	38.46	38.73	39.14			39.82(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	-10000	9	98	0.01	69%	0.11	57.9	0.95%	0	2.2	61	0
13	Jul_8_2013	36.08	38.38	38.51	38.97			39.56(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	11	70	0	70%	0.17	65.2	0.95%	0	2.3	59	0
14	Jul_5_2013	36.02	38.28	38.32	38.76			39.06(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	6	42	0.01	68%	0.25	56.7	0.94%	0	1.7	58	0
15	Jul_3_2013	35.93	38.21	38.19	38.66			38.58(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	8	29	0	67%	0.14	45	0.93%	0	0.8	55	0

16	Jul_2_2013	35.88	38.15	38.18	38.51			38.7(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	16	28	0	67%	0.17	28.9	0.93%	0	1.2	60	0
17	Jul_1_2013	35.82	38.11	38.16	38.23			38.94(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	12	-10000	15	4	0.01	67%	0.14	7.6	0.93%	0	1.8	54	0
18	Jun_28_2013	35.77	38.04	38.11	37.97			38.54(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	3	-10000	10	-20	0.01	66%	0.17	-9.3	0.92%	0	1.2	51	0
19	Jun_27_2013	35.71	38.02	38.08	37.8			38.52(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-1	-10000	8	-29	0.01	66%	0.17	-19	0.92%	0	1.3	60	0
20	Jun_26_2013	35.65	38.01	38.04	37.67			37.85(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-17	-10000	-8	-42	0	64%	0.14	-25.2	0.9%	0	-0.4	54	0

21	Jun_25_2013	35.6	38.02	38.05	37.81			37.31(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-10000	-15	-23	0.01	62%	0.14	-13.6	0.89%	0	-1.8	53	0
22	Jun_24_2013	35.55	38.07	38.17	38.07			37.63(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-12	15	0	62%	0.14	8.4	0.88%	0	-1.2	50	0
23	Jun_21_2013	35.5	38.08	38.25	38.27			37.71(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	7	-10000	-7	48	0	62%	0.14	22.1	0.88%	0	-1	52	0
24	Jun_20_2013	35.45	38.1	38.25	38.38			37.84(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	11	-10000	-4	54	0	62%	0.14	37	0.89%	0	-0.7	46	0
25	Jun_19_2013	35.4	38.11	38.26	38.45			38.58(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	8	59	0	67%		56.5	0.86%	0	1.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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