Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $37.9500 (-1.3%) ($37.9000 - $38.3400) on Wed. Jun. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $37.9500(-1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.04(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.96(-0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.91(0.11%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130712

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_12_2013	35.13	37.91	37.96	38.04			37.95(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	6	6	0	70%	0.11	76.8	0.92%	0	0.1	50	0
2	Jun_11_2013	35.09	37.86	37.98	37.93			38.45(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	8	-1	0	74%	0.11	66.7	0.9%	0	1.4	56	0
3	Jun_10_2013	35.05	37.79	37.95	37.79			38.4(1.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	3	-10000	8	-11	0	74%	0.14	62.9	0.9%	0	1.4	55	0
4	Jun_7_2013	35	37.71	37.88	37.65			37.7(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	-6	-33	0	74%	0.17	60.5	0.9%	0	-0	50	0
5	Jun_6_2013	34.94	37.68	37.91	37.75			37.7(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-7	-17	0	75%	0.14	74.8	0.9%	0	0	54	0

6	Jun_5_2013	34.89	37.63	37.94	37.87			37.4(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-8	10	0.08	75%	0.14	82.3	0.92%	0	-0.4	61	0
7	Jun_4_2013	34.84	37.58	38	38.02			37.75(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-6	44	0	78%	0.14	83.8	0.91%	0	0.3	67	0
8	Jun_3_2013	34.79	37.51	38.04	38.13			37.7(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	20	-10000	1	76	0	78%	0.14	84.4	0.91%	0	0.3	67	0
9	May_31_2013	34.74	37.44	38.05	38.12			38.21(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	2	91	0.01	82%	0.14	82.8	0.9%	0	1.1	78	0
10	May_30_2013	34.69	37.32	37.99	38.08			38.29(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	4	100	0	82%	0.17	75.6	0.9%	0	1.2	80	0

11	May_29_2013	34.63	37.2	37.86	38.02			38.16(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	2	100	0.02	82%	0.17	76.6	0.91%	0	1.2	82	0
12	May_28_2013	34.57	37.09	37.74	37.99			38.28(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	3	111	0	82%	0.2	81	0.91%	0	1.5	88	0
13	May_24_2013	34.5	36.96	37.61	37.94			37.67(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-10000	-1	120	0	79%	0.15	85.9	0.9%	0	0.8	86	0
14	May_23_2013	34.45	36.86	37.54	37.96			38(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	39	-10000	5	139	0	79%	0.15	93.5	0.9%	0	1.3	98	0
15	May_22_2013	34.4	36.74	37.43	37.88			38(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	49	-10000	13	157	0	80%	0.12	97.5	0.9%	0	1.4	98	0

16	May_21_2013	34.36	36.59	37.3	37.66			38(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	-10000	12	152	0	75%	0.2	92.8	0.91%	0	1.5	98	0
17	May_20_2013	34.29	36.43	37.12	37.45			38.03(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	-10000	13	135	0.01	75%	0.2	83.1	0.94%	0	1.7	93	0
18	May_17_2013	34.22	36.25	36.94	37.23			37.79(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	39	-10000	10	127	0	75%	0.18	71.8	0.93%	0	1.6	93	0
19	May_16_2013	34.16	36.08	36.78	37.06			37.56(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	35	-10000	7	119	0	75%	0.15	59.2	0.94%	0	1.5	93	0
20	May_15_2013	34.11	35.9	36.6	36.93			36.93(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	-10000	3	109	0	73%	0.09	47.8	0.93%	0	1.1	85	0

21	May_14_2013	34.08	35.76	36.49	36.88			36.93(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	37	-10000	8	123	0	73%	0.18	44	0.93%	0	1.2	91	0
22	May_13_2013	34.02	35.66	36.38	36.74			36.93(-0.03%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.2	38	-10000	8	128	0	73%	0.15	42	0.93%	0	1.4	91	0
23	May_10_2013	33.97	35.58	36.25	36.6			36.94(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	42	-10000	8	142	0	73%	0.12	43	0.91%	0	1.6	93	0
24	May_9_2013	33.93	35.51	36.12	36.46			36.94(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	14	154	0	73%	0.15	47.6	0.92%	0	1.8	93	0
25	May_8_2013	33.88	35.44	36	36.22			36.64(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	11	164	0	74%		48.3	0.92%	0	1.6	93	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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