Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $36.9400 (0%) ($0.0000 - $0.0000) on Fri. May. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $36.9400(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.6(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.25(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.58(3.82%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2013	33.97	35.58	36.25	36.6			36.94(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	42	-10000	8	142	0	73%	0.12	43	0.91%	0	1.6	93	0
2	May_9_2013	33.93	35.51	36.12	36.46			36.94(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	14	154	0	73%	0.15	47.6	0.92%	0	1.8	93	0
3	May_8_2013	33.88	35.44	36	36.22			36.64(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	11	164	0	74%	0.15	48.3	0.92%	0	1.6	93	0
4	May_7_2013	33.83	35.35	35.82	36.04			36.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	42	-10000	4	155	0	73%	0.12	44.6	0.93%	0	1.3	81	0
5	May_6_2013	33.79	35.28	35.69	35.97			36.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	43	-10000	7	152	0	73%	0.15	43.9	0.93%	0	1.5	65	0

6	May_3_2013	33.74	35.21	35.51	35.85			36.24(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	7	125	0	73%	0.15	40.8	0.93%	0	1.6	56	0
7	May_2_2013	33.69	35.13	35.32	35.85			35.74(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	23	-10000	0	91	0	72%	0.12	35.7	0.92%	0	1	49	0
8	May_1_2013	33.65	35.08	35.14	35.74			35.74(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	10	65	0	72%	0.12	36.4	0.93%	0	1.2	48	0
9	Apr_30_2013	33.61	35.04	34.99	35.57			35.87(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	12	37	0	72%	0.12	28	0.93%	0	1.5	58	0
10	Apr_29_2013	33.57	34.99	34.88	35.37			35.67(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	17	-10000	17	18	0	72%	0.15	19.5	0.93%	0	1.3	57	0

11	Apr_26_2013	33.52	34.96	34.85	35.1			35.67(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	-10000	17	-1	0	72%	0.12	4.1	0.93%	0	1.4	57	0
12	Apr_25_2013	33.48	34.92	34.83	34.83			35.76(2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	15	-10000	23	-10	0	72%	0.15	-13.1	0.93%	0	1.7	61	0
13	Apr_24_2013	33.43	34.88	34.81	34.46			34.87(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	9	-42	0	69%	0.12	-42.9	0.88%	0	-0	51	0
14	Apr_23_2013	33.39	34.88	34.81	34.33			34.87(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0	69%	0.12	-51.2	0.88%	0	-0	48	0
15	Apr_22_2013	33.35	34.89	34.82	34.34			34.33(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-30	-10000	-16	-70	0	67%	0.09	-55	0.86%	0	-1.2	43	0

16	Apr_19_2013	33.32	34.94	34.89	34.57			34.33(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-17	-47	0.01	67%	0.09	-46.3	0.86%	0	-1.4	42	0
17	Apr_18_2013	33.29	34.98	34.94	34.83			33.89(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-26	-10000	-25	-28	0.02	67%	0.09	-22.2	0.85%	0	-2.7	35	0
18	Apr_17_2013	33.26	35.07	35.04	35.21			34.23(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.9	-3	-10000	-9	17	0	70%	0.09	19.6	0.86%	0	-2.5	38	0
19	Apr_16_2013	33.23	35.12	35.13	35.35			34.9(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	9	-10000	-1	37	0	77%	0.12	51.3	0.82%	0	-0.8	47	0
20	Apr_15_2013	33.19	35.12	35.14	35.37			35.49(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	8	43	0.01	84%	0.15	70	0.81%	0	1.3	63	0

21	Apr_12_2013	33.14	35.14	35.09	35.26			35.66(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	14	31	0	84%	0.09	81.8	0.82%	0	1.9	62	0
22	Apr_11_2013	33.11	35.07	35.02	35.06			35.76(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	11	-10000	13	5	0	84%	0.15	68.7	0.82%	0	2.4	61	0
23	Apr_10_2013	33.06	35	34.94	34.87			34.96(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-34	0	82%	0.15	65	0.77%	0	-0.1	29	0
24	Apr_9_2013	33.01	34.98	34.94	34.88			34.96(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-35	0	83%	0.15	78	0.77%	0	-0.1	43	0
25	Apr_8_2013	32.96	34.95	34.95	34.89			34.96(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-1	-43	0.04	74%		92.8	0.79%	0	0	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.