Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $36.6400 (1.1%) ($36.6400 - $36.6400) on Wed. May. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $36.6400(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.22(1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36(1.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.44(3.39%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130608

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_8_2013	33.88	35.44	36	36.22			36.64(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	11	164	0	74%	0.15	48.3	0.92%	0	1.6	93	0
2	May_7_2013	33.83	35.35	35.82	36.04			36.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	42	-10000	4	155	0	73%	0.12	44.6	0.93%	0	1.3	81	0
3	May_6_2013	33.79	35.28	35.69	35.97			36.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	43	-10000	7	152	0	73%	0.15	43.9	0.93%	0	1.5	65	0
4	May_3_2013	33.74	35.21	35.51	35.85			36.24(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	7	125	0	73%	0.15	40.8	0.93%	0	1.6	56	0
5	May_2_2013	33.69	35.13	35.32	35.85			35.74(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	23	-10000	0	91	0	72%	0.12	35.7	0.92%	0	1	49	0

6	May_1_2013	33.65	35.08	35.14	35.74			35.74(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	10	65	0	72%	0.12	36.4	0.93%	0	1.2	48	0
7	Apr_30_2013	33.61	35.04	34.99	35.57			35.87(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	12	37	0	72%	0.12	28	0.93%	0	1.5	58	0
8	Apr_29_2013	33.57	34.99	34.88	35.37			35.67(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	17	-10000	17	18	0	72%	0.15	19.5	0.93%	0	1.3	57	0
9	Apr_26_2013	33.52	34.96	34.85	35.1			35.67(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	-10000	17	-1	0	72%	0.12	4.1	0.93%	0	1.4	57	0
10	Apr_25_2013	33.48	34.92	34.83	34.83			35.76(2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	15	-10000	23	-10	0	72%	0.15	-13.1	0.93%	0	1.7	61	0

11	Apr_24_2013	33.43	34.88	34.81	34.46			34.87(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	9	-42	0	69%	0.12	-42.9	0.88%	0	-0	51	0
12	Apr_23_2013	33.39	34.88	34.81	34.33			34.87(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-16	-10000	-1	-61	0	69%	0.12	-51.2	0.88%	0	-0	48	0
13	Apr_22_2013	33.35	34.89	34.82	34.34			34.33(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-30	-10000	-16	-70	0	67%	0.09	-55	0.86%	0	-1.2	43	0
14	Apr_19_2013	33.32	34.94	34.89	34.57			34.33(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-17	-47	0.01	67%	0.09	-46.3	0.86%	0	-1.4	42	0
15	Apr_18_2013	33.29	34.98	34.94	34.83			33.89(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-26	-10000	-25	-28	0.02	67%	0.09	-22.2	0.85%	0	-2.7	35	0

16	Apr_17_2013	33.26	35.07	35.04	35.21			34.23(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.9	-3	-10000	-9	17	0	70%	0.09	19.6	0.86%	0	-2.5	38	0
17	Apr_16_2013	33.23	35.12	35.13	35.35			34.9(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	9	-10000	-1	37	0	77%	0.12	51.3	0.82%	0	-0.8	47	0
18	Apr_15_2013	33.19	35.12	35.14	35.37			35.49(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	8	43	0.01	84%	0.15	70	0.81%	0	1.3	63	0
19	Apr_12_2013	33.14	35.14	35.09	35.26			35.66(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	18	-10000	14	31	0	84%	0.09	81.8	0.82%	0	1.9	62	0
20	Apr_11_2013	33.11	35.07	35.02	35.06			35.76(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	11	-10000	13	5	0	84%	0.15	68.7	0.82%	0	2.4	61	0

21	Apr_10_2013	33.06	35	34.94	34.87			34.96(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-34	0	82%	0.15	65	0.77%	0	-0.1	29	0
22	Apr_9_2013	33.01	34.98	34.94	34.88			34.96(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-35	0	83%	0.15	78	0.77%	0	-0.1	43	0
23	Apr_8_2013	32.96	34.95	34.95	34.89			34.96(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-1	-43	0.04	74%	0.18	92.8	0.79%	0	0	39	0
24	Apr_5_2013	32.9	34.92	34.97	34.9			34.67(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-5	-47	0.01	73%	0.15	96.3	0.82%	0	-0.7	31	0
25	Apr_4_2013	32.85	34.87	35.02	34.97			34.82(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0	73%		86.7	0.82%	0	-0.1	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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