Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 5, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $34.6700 (-0.43%) ($33.3600 - $34.7300) on Fri. Apr. 5, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $34.6700(-0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(73%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $34.92
5 Day Moving Average   $34.9(-0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.97(-0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.92(-0.72%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2013	32.9	34.92	34.97	34.9			34.67(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-5	-47	0.01	73%	0.15	96.3	0.82%	0	-0.7	31	0
2	Apr_4_2013	32.85	34.87	35.02	34.97			34.82(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0	73%	0.15	86.7	0.82%	0	-0.1	62	0
3	Apr_3_2013	32.8	34.82	35.09	35.01			35.01(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-1	4	0	73%	0.15	82.6	0.82%	0	0.4	66	0
4	Apr_2_2013	32.75	34.73	35.11	35.01			34.98(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	0	22	0	78%	0.12	72.1	0.83%	0	0.4	66	0
5	Apr_1_2013	32.71	34.64	35.15	35.03			35(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	8	-10000	-1	36	0.02	78%	0.21	64.1	0.95%	0	0.5	66	0

6	Mar_28_2013	32.64	34.56	35.19	35.05			35.04(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10000	-2	57	0	78%	0.15	62	0.95%	0	0.6	69	0
7	Mar_27_2013	32.59	34.47	35.13	35.09			35.04(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-6	72	0	78%	0.12	64.4	0.96%	0	0.7	76	0
8	Mar_26_2013	32.55	34.38	35.07	35.19			35.1(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-10000	-1	97	0	78%	0.09	63.4	0.97%	0	0.8	78	0
9	Mar_25_2013	32.52	34.26	35.01	35.21			34.97(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-10000	-5	122	0.01	78%	0.12	60.9	0.97%	0	0.8	82	0
10	Mar_22_2013	32.48	34.16	34.95	35.29			35.12(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	38	-10000	-3	159	0	78%	0.12	61.8	0.96%	0	1	85	0

11	Mar_21_2013	32.44	34.06	34.87	35.34			35.21(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	55	-10000	10	188	0	73%	0.15	61.3	0.97%	0	1.2	81	0
12	Mar_20_2013	32.39	33.93	34.72	35.17			35.53(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	-10000	13	182	0.01	73%	0.09	56.5	0.98%	0	1.7	86	0
13	Mar_19_2013	32.36	33.81	34.53	34.94			35.21(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	-10000	10	169	0	73%	0.09	53.4	0.98%	0	1.6	86	0
14	Mar_18_2013	32.33	33.71	34.32	34.77			35.38(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	50	-10000	12	163	0	75%	0.15	51.1	0.98%	0	2.1	92	0
15	Mar_15_2013	32.28	33.59	34.08	34.57			35.37(2.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	47	-10000	14	147	0	75%	0.16	50.5	0.99%	0	2.5	82	0

16	Mar_14_2013	32.23	33.48	33.86	34.34			34.37(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	41	-10000	9	137	0	71%	0.09	54.1	0.93%	0	1.6	76	0
17	Mar_13_2013	32.2	33.42	33.75	34.19			34.37(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	41	-10000	9	135	0	71%	0.12	55.3	0.93%	0	1.8	79	0
18	Mar_12_2013	32.16	33.36	33.62	34.04			34.37(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	42	-10000	16	121	0	71%	0.09	58.3	0.94%	0	2.1	64	0
19	Mar_11_2013	32.13	33.3	33.45	33.78			34.37(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	-10000	17	85	0	71%	0.12	60.2	0.94%	0	2.6	64	0
20	Mar_8_2013	32.09	33.24	33.3	33.51			34.22(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	23	-10000	13	51	0	73%	0.06	61.6	0.94%	0	3	63	0

21	Mar_7_2013	32.07	33.17	33.17	33.31			33.63(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	10	-10000	5	23	0	71%	0.09	57.3	0.93%	0	1.8	56	0
22	Mar_6_2013	32.04	33.13	33.08	33.24			33.63(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	6	-10000	6	4	0.01	71%	0.09	50	0.93%	0	2.1	54	0
23	Mar_5_2013	32.01	33.08	33.03	33.15			33.04(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	2	-10000	5	-8	0	68%	0.06	34.3	0.91%	0	-0.2	43	0
24	Mar_4_2013	31.99	33.06	33.05	33.07			33.04(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	1	-19	0	68%	0.06	8.5	0.91%	0	-0.1	44	0
25	Mar_1_2013	31.97	33.04	33.07	33.05			33.22(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	3	-21	0.01	68%		-4.7	0.9%	0	0.6	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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