Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Feb. 27, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $33.1600 (1.56%) ($33.0900 - $33.1600) on Wed. Feb. 27, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $33.1600(1.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(72%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.89(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.07(0.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.01(0.45%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130327

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2013	31.91		33.07	32.89			33.16(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-8	-10000	-1	-27	0.01	70%	0.06	-32.9	0.91%	0	0.6	58	0
2	Feb_26_2013	31.89	33.01	33.08	32.91			32.65(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-8	-17	0	68%	0.06	-32.9	0.89%	0	-1.3	52	0
3	Feb_25_2013	31.87	33.03	33.15	33.03			32.97(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-3	14	0	72%	0.06	-20.3	0.88%	0	-0.2	67	0
4	Feb_22_2013	31.85	33.05	33.18	33.08			32.97(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-4	32	0	72%	0.06	-1.2	0.89%	0	-0.3	59	0
5	Feb_21_2013	31.83	33.07	33.17	33.14			32.68(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	2	-10000	-9	35	0	70%	0.06	17.6	0.89%	0	-1.4	45	0

6	Feb_20_2013	31.81	33.07	33.2	33.27			33.27(0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10000	-1	53	0	78%	0.09	39.2	0.86%	0	0.7	58	0
7	Feb_19_2013	31.78	33.1	33.15	33.28			33.24(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-10000	-1	48	0	80%	0.13	51.9	0.86%	0	0.5	52	0
8	Feb_15_2013	31.74	33.09	33.07	33.29			33.24(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-1	35	0	76%	0.09	55.7	0.87%	0	0.6	51	0
9	Feb_14_2013	31.71	33.06	33.02	33.3			33.25(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	5	26	0	69%	0.09	49.4	0.89%	0	0.7	44	0
10	Feb_13_2013	31.68	33.02	32.99	33.22			33.33(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-10000	7	10	0	69%	0.13	34.1	0.92%	0	1	46	0

11	Feb_12_2013	31.64	33	32.95	33.12			33.33(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	8	-5	0	69%	0.09	33	0.92%	0	1.1	51	0
12	Feb_11_2013	31.61	32.96	32.92	33			33.28(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	11	-18	0	69%	0.09	13.6	0.92%	0	1.1	50	0
13	Feb_8_2013	31.58	32.94	32.92	32.83			33.3(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-3	-10000	9	-37	0	69%	0.1	-4.7	0.92%	0	1.3	53	0
14	Feb_7_2013	31.55	32.94	32.9	32.7			32.84(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	-2	-44	0	56%	0.06	-17.1	0.91%	0	-0.3	57	0
15	Feb_6_2013	31.53	32.92	32.95	32.73			32.85(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-1	-23	0.01	56%	0.06	-9.8	1.02%	0	-0.3	60	0

16	Feb_5_2013	31.51	32.9	32.99	32.75			32.72(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-5	-17	0.01	56%	0.06	9.1	1.02%	0	-0.6	48	0
17	Feb_4_2013	31.49	32.92	33.04	32.84			32.43(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-6	-10000	-8	-0	0	56%	0.06	42	1.01%	0	-1.7	51	0
18	Feb_1_2013	31.47	32.96	33.11	32.98			32.66(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-9	18	0	62%	0.06	84.1	1%	0	-1.1	47	0
19	Jan_31_2013	31.45	32.97	33.12	33.13			32.98(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-4	28	0	62%	0.1	117.7	1.09%	0	0	52	0
20	Jan_30_2013	31.42	32.95	33.08	33.21			32.98(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-2	32	0	62%	0.06	128.2	1.09%	0	0.1	54	0

21	Jan_29_2013	31.4	32.88	33.07	33.25			33.13(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-1	44	0	62%	0.1	124.7	1.09%	0	0.9	64	0
22	Jan_28_2013	31.37	32.8	33.02	33.27			33.16(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	1	39	0	62%	0.13	70.1	1.1%	0	0.8	50	0
23	Jan_25_2013	31.33	32.73	32.99	33.25			33.39(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	8	38	0	58%	0.1	51.5	1.13%	0	1.2	53	0
24	Jan_24_2013	31.3	32.66	32.94	33.1			33.38(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	9	27	0	59%	0.13	40.9	1.13%	0	1.3	57	0
25	Jan_23_2013	31.26	32.59	32.88	32.93			33.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	6	-10000	4	13	0	55%		36.1	1.14%	0	1.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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