Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $33.2400 (-0.03%) ($33.1300 - $33.2600) on Fri. Feb. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $33.2400(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(72%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.29(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.07(0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.09(0.45%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2013	31.74	33.09	33.07	33.29			33.24(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-1	35	0	76%	0.09	55.7	0.87%	0	0.6	51	0
2	Feb_14_2013	31.71	33.06	33.02	33.3			33.25(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	5	26	0	69%	0.09	49.4	0.89%	0	0.7	44	0
3	Feb_13_2013	31.68	33.02	32.99	33.22			33.33(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-10000	7	10	0	69%	0.13	34.1	0.92%	0	1	46	0
4	Feb_12_2013	31.64	33	32.95	33.12			33.33(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	8	-5	0	69%	0.09	33	0.92%	0	1.1	51	0
5	Feb_11_2013	31.61	32.96	32.92	33			33.28(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	11	-18	0	69%	0.09	13.6	0.92%	0	1.1	50	0

6	Feb_8_2013	31.58	32.94	32.92	32.83			33.3(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-3	-10000	9	-37	0	69%	0.1	-4.7	0.92%	0	1.3	53	0
7	Feb_7_2013	31.55	32.94	32.9	32.7			32.84(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	-2	-44	0	56%	0.06	-17.1	0.91%	0	-0.3	57	0
8	Feb_6_2013	31.53	32.92	32.95	32.73			32.85(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-1	-23	0.01	56%	0.06	-9.8	1.02%	0	-0.3	60	0
9	Feb_5_2013	31.51	32.9	32.99	32.75			32.72(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-5	-17	0.01	56%	0.06	9.1	1.02%	0	-0.6	48	0
10	Feb_4_2013	31.49	32.92	33.04	32.84			32.43(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-6	-10000	-8	-0	0	56%	0.06	42	1.01%	0	-1.7	51	0

11	Feb_1_2013	31.47	32.96	33.11	32.98			32.66(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-9	18	0	62%	0.06	84.1	1%	0	-1.1	47	0
12	Jan_31_2013	31.45	32.97	33.12	33.13			32.98(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-4	28	0	62%	0.1	117.7	1.09%	0	0	52	0
13	Jan_30_2013	31.42	32.95	33.08	33.21			32.98(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-2	32	0	62%	0.06	128.2	1.09%	0	0.1	54	0
14	Jan_29_2013	31.4	32.88	33.07	33.25			33.13(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-1	44	0	62%	0.1	124.7	1.09%	0	0.9	64	0
15	Jan_28_2013	31.37	32.8	33.02	33.27			33.16(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	1	39	0	62%	0.13	70.1	1.1%	0	0.8	50	0

16	Jan_25_2013	31.33	32.73	32.99	33.25			33.39(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	8	38	0	58%	0.1	51.5	1.13%	0	1.2	53	0
17	Jan_24_2013	31.3	32.66	32.94	33.1			33.38(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	9	27	0	59%	0.13	40.9	1.13%	0	1.3	57	0
18	Jan_23_2013	31.26	32.59	32.88	32.93			33.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	6	-10000	4	13	0	55%	0.13	36.1	1.14%	0	1.1	59	0
19	Jan_22_2013	31.22	32.53	32.8	32.86			33.2(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	6	22	0	55%	0.1	38	1.17%	0	1.2	71	0
20	Jan_18_2013	31.19	32.49	32.78	32.74			33.1(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	2	34	0	55%	0.13	39.9	1.16%	0	1.2	70	0

21	Jan_17_2013	31.15	32.46	32.77	32.7			32.63(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-3	49	0	56%	0.1	45.9	1.15%	0	0.3	62	0
22	Jan_16_2013	31.12	32.43	32.8	32.76			32.51(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-3	66	0	56%	0.1	52.2	1.17%	0	0.2	57	0
23	Jan_15_2013	31.09	32.4	32.81	32.82			32.87(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	5	86	0	56%	0.1	54.8	1.16%	0	0.9	61	0
24	Jan_14_2013	31.06	32.33	32.68	32.73			32.57(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-5	67	0	56%	0.06	49.7	1.16%	0	0.5	58	0
25	Jan_11_2013	31.04	32.28	32.58	32.83			32.92(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-2	64	0	56%		54.9	1.15%	0	1.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.