Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 8, 2013

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $33.3000 (1.4%) ($33.1900 - $33.3000) on Fri. Feb. 8, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $33.3000(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(79%)    SPY(76%)    PEJ(72%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    GLD(1%)    TIP(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.83(1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.9(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.94(1.09%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2013	31.58	32.94		32.83			33.3(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-3	-10000	9	-37	0	69%	0.1	-4.7	0.92%	0	1.3	53	0
2	Feb_7_2013	31.55	32.94	32.9	32.7			32.84(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-13	-10000	-2	-44	0	56%	0.06	-17.1	0.91%	0	-0.3	57	0
3	Feb_6_2013	31.53	32.92	32.95	32.73			32.85(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-1	-23	0.01	56%	0.06	-9.8	1.02%	0	-0.3	60	0
4	Feb_5_2013	31.51	32.9	32.99	32.75			32.72(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-5	-17	0.01	56%	0.06	9.1	1.02%	0	-0.6	48	0
5	Feb_4_2013	31.49	32.92	33.04	32.84			32.43(-0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-6	-10000	-8	-0	0	56%	0.06	42	1.01%	0	-1.7	51	0

6	Feb_1_2013	31.47	32.96	33.11	32.98			32.66(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-9	18	0	62%	0.06	84.1	1%	0	-1.1	47	0
7	Jan_31_2013	31.45	32.97	33.12	33.13			32.98(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-4	28	0	62%	0.1	117.7	1.09%	0	0	52	0
8	Jan_30_2013	31.42	32.95	33.08	33.21			32.98(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-10000	-2	32	0	62%	0.06	128.2	1.09%	0	0.1	54	0
9	Jan_29_2013	31.4	32.88	33.07	33.25			33.13(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-1	44	0	62%	0.1	124.7	1.09%	0	0.9	64	0
10	Jan_28_2013	31.37	32.8	33.02	33.27			33.16(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	11	-10000	1	39	0	62%	0.13	70.1	1.1%	0	0.8	50	0

11	Jan_25_2013	31.33	32.73	32.99	33.25			33.39(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	8	38	0	58%	0.1	51.5	1.13%	0	1.2	53	0
12	Jan_24_2013	31.3	32.66	32.94	33.1			33.38(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	9	27	0	59%	0.13	40.9	1.13%	0	1.3	57	0
13	Jan_23_2013	31.26	32.59	32.88	32.93			33.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	6	-10000	4	13	0	55%	0.13	36.1	1.14%	0	1.1	59	0
14	Jan_22_2013	31.22	32.53	32.8	32.86			33.2(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	6	22	0	55%	0.1	38	1.17%	0	1.2	71	0
15	Jan_18_2013	31.19	32.49	32.78	32.74			33.1(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	2	34	0	55%	0.13	39.9	1.16%	0	1.2	70	0

16	Jan_17_2013	31.15	32.46	32.77	32.7			32.63(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-3	49	0	56%	0.1	45.9	1.15%	0	0.3	62	0
17	Jan_16_2013	31.12	32.43	32.8	32.76			32.51(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-3	66	0	56%	0.1	52.2	1.17%	0	0.2	57	0
18	Jan_15_2013	31.09	32.4	32.81	32.82			32.87(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	5	86	0	56%	0.1	54.8	1.16%	0	0.9	61	0
19	Jan_14_2013	31.06	32.33	32.68	32.73			32.57(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-5	67	0	56%	0.06	49.7	1.16%	0	0.5	58	0
20	Jan_11_2013	31.04	32.28	32.58	32.83			32.92(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-2	64	0	56%	0.1	54.9	1.15%	0	1.1	54	0

21	Jan_10_2013	31.01	32.22	32.46	32.86			32.92(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	1	60	0	56%	0.06	60.9	1.15%	0	1.3	55	0
22	Jan_9_2013	30.99	32.17	32.37	32.85			32.82(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	3	58	0	56%	0.1	69	1.15%	0	1.2	57	0
23	Jan_8_2013	30.96	32.12	32.29	32.8			32.42(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	24	-10000	11	63	0.01	54%	0.06	75.3	1.14%	0	0.6	60	0
24	Jan_7_2013	30.94	32.07	32.25	32.6			33.08(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	28	-10000	18	58	0	58%	0.1	64.8	1.12%	0	1.9	71	0
25	Jan_4_2013	30.91	31.98	32.17	32.27			33.08(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	21	-10000	15	40	0.01	58%		49.3	1.12%	0	2.3	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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