Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 6, 2012

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $29.7600 (0%) ($0.0000 - $0.0000) on Thu. Sep. 6, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $29.7600(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(78%)    SPY(75%)    PEJ(72%)    XLY(72%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $30.07
5 Day Moving Average   $29.82(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.93(-0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.07(-1.03%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 0.86% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121006

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_6_2012	29.34	30.07	29.93	29.82			29.76(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-14	-10000	-1	-52	0	60%	-0.03	34.9	1.04%	0	-1.2	42	0
2	Sep_5_2012	29.35	30.07	30	29.83			29.76(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-1	-43	0	60%	-0.03	57.8	1.07%	0	-1.3	42	0
3	Sep_4_2012	29.36	30.08	30.07	29.84			29.86(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	1	-36	0	58%	0	65.1	1.07%	0	-0.8	44	0
4	Aug_31_2012	29.36	30.06	30.14	29.83			29.85(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	-7	-31	0	54%	0	47.6	1.12%	0	-0.6	44	0
5	Aug_30_2012	29.36	30.02	30.18	29.95			29.85(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-10000	-7	-17	0	54%	0	44	1.12%	0	-0.4	44	0

6	Aug_29_2012	29.36	29.98	30.2	30.07			29.85(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-10000	-7	-6	0	54%	0.03	47.6	1.12%	0	-0.3	44	0
7	Aug_28_2012	29.35	29.94	30.23	30.19			29.81(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10000	-8	9	0	54%	0	53.1	1.12%	0	-0.2	52	0
8	Aug_27_2012	29.35	29.91	30.26	30.32			29.81(-2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-9	28	0	54%	0	65.8	1.13%	0	-0.2	60	0
9	Aug_24_2012	29.35	29.88	30.3	30.47			30.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	16	-10000	2	59	0	57%	0	73.3	1.09%	0	1	92	0
10	Aug_23_2012	29.35	29.83	30.26	30.43			30.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	23	-10000	5	76	0	57%	0	68.2	1.1%	0	1.1	95	0

11	Aug_22_2012	29.35	29.74	30.22	30.35			30.45(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	27	-10000	5	91	0	57%	-0.03	57.6	1.1%	0	1.2	95	0
12	Aug_21_2012	29.36	29.66	30.16	30.27			30.45(-0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	28	-10000	4	101	0.04	59%	0	49.1	1.11%	0	1.2	95	0
13	Aug_20_2012	29.36	29.55	30.09	30.2			30.56(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	6	103	0	59%	0	44.7	1.12%	0	1.7	80	0
14	Aug_17_2012	29.36	29.48	29.98	30.1			30.22(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	-10000	2	93	0	53%	-0.03	46.1	1.19%	0	1.3	77	0
15	Aug_16_2012	29.37	29.43	29.85	30.1			30.07(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	21	-10000	0	85	0	51%	0	51.4	1.19%	0	1.2	71	0

16	Aug_15_2012	29.37	29.39	29.74	30.07			30.07(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	24	-10000	2	90	0	51%	-0.03	62.1	1.2%	0	1.3	80	0
17	Aug_14_2012	29.38	29.35	29.62	30.03			30.07(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	-10000	5	92	0	51%	-0.03	66.7	1.2%	0	1.4	76	0
18	Aug_13_2012	29.39	29.28	29.53	29.95			30.07(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	30	-10000	6	100	0	51%	-0.03	62.8	1.2%	0	1.6	80	0
19	Aug_10_2012	29.4	29.22	29.44	29.84			30.07(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	34	-10000	14	94	0	51%	0	57.1	1.2%	0	1.9	59	0
20	Aug_9_2012	29.4	29.16	29.36	29.59			30.07(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10000	14	73	0	51%	-0.03	40.8	1.2%	0	2.1	59	0

21	Aug_8_2012	29.41	29.07	29.22	29.35			29.89(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	-10000	12	38	0	50%	0	13.4	1.2%	0	2.1	54	0
22	Aug_7_2012	29.41	29.01	29.1	29.14			29.66(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	6	-10000	5	9	0	50%	-0.07	-14.5	1.21%	0	1.9	55	0
23	Aug_6_2012	29.43	28.98	28.97	29.05			29.5(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	0	-10000	3	-8	0	50%	-0.03	-27.1	1.21%	0	1.7	58	0
24	Aug_3_2012	29.44	28.97	28.93	29			28.85(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-7	-10000	-5	-11	0	45%	-0.1	-37	1.18%	0	-0.4	51	0
25	Aug_2_2012	29.47	28.98	28.97	29.09			28.85(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	2	6	0	44%		-12.3	1.18%	0	-0.4	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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