Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 31, 2012

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $29.2200 (0%) ($0.0000 - $0.0000) on Tue. Jul. 31, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $29.2200(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(78%)    SPY(75%)    PEJ(72%)    XLY(71%)    XLK(66%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.03(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.06(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.06(0.55%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2012	29.51	29.06	29.06	29.03			29.22(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	15	-10000	10	28	0	45%	-0.07	22.6	1.19%	0	0.4	58	0
2	Jul_30_2012	29.53	29.06	29.02	28.85			29.22(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-1	-10000	-1	1	0.03	45%	-0.03	21.3	1.19%	0	0.4	49	0
3	Jul_27_2012	29.54	29.07	28.98	28.86			29.3(2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	-0	-10000	1	-4	0	45%	-0.03	31.5	1.19%	0	0.6	50	0
4	Jul_26_2012	29.55	29.02	28.94	28.85			28.66(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-9	-15	0	42%	-0.03	22.7	1.15%	0	-0.9	42	0
5	Jul_25_2012	29.56	29	28.94	29			28.76(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-5	-18	0	44%	-0.03	27.1	1.16%	0	-0.5	37	0

6	Jul_24_2012	29.57	28.98	28.92	29.09			28.33(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-11	-10000	-6	-26	0	42%	-0.07	26.6	1.16%	0	-1.3	30	0
7	Jul_23_2012	29.59	28.99	28.92	29.19			29.24(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10000	5	-16	0	46%	-0.03	31.9	1.09%	0	0.5	46	0
8	Jul_20_2012	29.6	28.96	29.01	29.11			29.24(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10000	4	-28	0	48%	-0.03	26.6	1.1%	0	0.6	46	0
9	Jul_19_2012	29.61	28.93	29	29.04			29.44(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	-10000	12	-17	0	46%	-0.07	21.7	1.11%	0	1.1	67	0
10	Jul_18_2012	29.63	28.88	29.01	28.84			29.19(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	6	-15	0	46%	-0.03	10.2	1.11%	0	0.6	67	0

11	Jul_17_2012	29.64	28.85	29.05	28.74			28.85(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	-4	-4	0	44%	-0.07	1.2	1.1%	0	0	64	0
12	Jul_16_2012	29.66	28.85	29.11	28.81			28.85(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-10000	-5	22	0	46%	-0.07	4.2	1.11%	0	0	59	0
13	Jul_13_2012	29.68	28.85	29.16	28.89			28.85(1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-4	43	0	46%	-0.07	9.6	1.12%	0	0	54	0
14	Jul_12_2012	29.7	28.85	29.12	28.96			28.45(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-16	41	0	44%	-0.07	15.1	1.1%	0	-0.8	48	0
15	Jul_11_2012	29.72	28.83	29.1	29.21			28.69(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	7	-10000	-12	63	0	47%	-0.07	31.3	1.1%	0	-0.3	55	0

16	Jul_10_2012	29.74	28.84	29.06	29.4			29.23(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-3	84	0	47%	-0.03	53.6	1.09%	0	0.8	63	0
17	Jul_9_2012	29.75	28.81	28.98	29.44			29.23(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10000	-3	86	0	45%	-0.03	67.5	1.12%	0	0.9	63	0
18	Jul_6_2012	29.76	28.78	28.92	29.48			29.21(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	32	-10000	11	93	0	45%	-0.07	78.1	1.14%	0	0.9	57	0
19	Jul_5_2012	29.78	28.76	28.87	29.29			29.67(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	34	-10000	19	77	0	44%	-0.07	69.2	1.13%	0	2	62	0
20	Jul_3_2012	29.8	28.69	28.75	28.98			29.67(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	19	46	0	44%	-0.03	47.1	1.15%	0	2.2	67	0

21	Jul_2_2012	29.81	28.59	28.62	28.67			29.42(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.7	11	-10000	13	6	0	46%	-0.03	19.3	1.14%	0	1.9	56	0
22	Jun_29_2012	29.82	28.5	28.52	28.46			29.42(4.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	3	-10000	10	-19	0	46%	-0.03	-5.7	1.15%	0	2.3	59	0
23	Jun_28_2012	29.83	28.43	28.44	28.3			28.25(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-7	-46	0	38%	-0.1	-25.8	1.02%	0	-0.5	42	0
24	Jun_27_2012	29.86	28.45	28.5	28.4			28.13(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-12	-10000	-5	-32	0	41%	-0.07	-20	1.03%	0	-0.9	38	0
25	Jun_26_2012	29.88	28.48	28.54	28.47			28.13(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-5	-21	0	41%		-17.2	1.05%	0	-1.1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.