Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $29.0800 (-1.05%) ($29.0600 - $29.3600) on Wed. May. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   12
Latest Price   $29.0800(-1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(78%)    SPY(75%)    PEJ(72%)    XLY(71%)    XLK(66%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.39(-9.25%)
Resistance Level   $30.14
5 Day Moving Average   $29.51(-1.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.82(-2.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.14(-3.52%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120616

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_16_2012	30.02	30.14	29.82	29.51			29.08(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-42	-10000	-11	-134	0.01	40%	0.03	-31.9	0.97%	0	-2.1	12	0
2	May_15_2012	30.01	30.22	29.98	29.66			29.39(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-6	-116	0	42%	-0.03	-21.8	0.97%	0	-1.9	25	0
3	May_14_2012	30.02	30.26	30.13	29.75			29.53(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-10	-92	0	42%	0.07	-7	0.97%	0	-1.9	44	0
4	May_11_2012	30	30.26	30.25	29.89			29.74(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-8	-64	0	42%	0.07	7.4	0.98%	0	-1.5	47	0
5	May_10_2012	29.98	30.3	30.36	30			29.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-20	-10000	-11	-46	0	42%	0.07	9	0.98%	0	-1.3	42	0

6	May_9_2012	29.96	30.3	30.46	30.17			29.83(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-12	-10000	-11	-14	0	42%	0.07	7.2	0.99%	0	-1.3	50	0
7	May_8_2012	29.94	30.31	30.53	30.34			29.83(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-10	-10000	-15	6	0	42%	0.13	5	0.99%	0	-1.1	43	0
8	May_7_2012	29.9	30.29	30.57	30.56			30.22(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-7	31	0	44%	0.1	2.2	0.98%	0	-0.2	52	0
9	May_4_2012	29.87	30.29	30.56	30.67			30.31(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-6	43	0	44%	0.13	1.4	0.97%	0	0.1	54	0
10	May_3_2012	29.83	30.27	30.57	30.76			30.68(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10000	-1	68	0	49%	0.13	5.6	0.97%	0	1	67	0

11	May_2_2012	29.79	30.28	30.5	30.78			30.65(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	1	75	0	49%	0.13	8.7	0.99%	0	0.8	67	0
12	May_1_2012	29.75	30.29	30.48	30.76			30.96(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	13	92	0	56%	0.13	5.2	0.98%	0	1.4	73	0
13	Apr_30_2012	29.71	30.28	30.4	30.57			30.75(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	9	84	0	56%	0.13	-3.2	1.03%	0	1	76	0
14	Apr_27_2012	29.67	30.26	30.34	30.43			30.77(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	23	-10000	6	75	0	56%	0.17	-13.2	1.04%	0	1.1	63	0
15	Apr_26_2012	29.62	30.25	30.24	30.34			30.77(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	10	58	0	56%	0.1	-17.4	1.04%	0	1.2	54	0

16	Apr_25_2012	29.59	30.24	30.13	30.19			30.53(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	-10000	2	19	0	56%	0.1	-27.4	1.04%	0	0.7	43	0
17	Apr_24_2012	29.56	30.26	30.05	30.16			30.04(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	-3	-7	0	53%	0.07	-22.6	1.02%	0	-0.5	37	0
18	Apr_23_2012	29.54	30.29	29.98	30.2			30.04(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-32	0	53%	0.1	-24.1	1.02%	0	-0.5	37	0
19	Apr_20_2012	29.51	30.29	29.96	30.22			30.34(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	8	-39	0.03	53%	0.1	-26.5	1.02%	0	0	47	0
20	Apr_19_2012	29.48	30.33	29.95	30.1			30(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-10000	3	-58	0	51%	0.07	-40.1	1.01%	0	-0.7	43	0

21	Apr_18_2012	29.46	30.36	30.04	30.05			30.39(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	8	-59	0	54%	0.14	-47.2	1.01%	0	0.1	44	0
22	Apr_17_2012	29.42	30.37	30.08	29.93			30.22(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	13	-76	0	54%	0.14	-57.8	1.01%	0	-0.3	36	0
23	Apr_16_2012	29.38	30.41	30.14	29.74			30.16(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-20	-10000	5	-95	0	54%	0.17	-61.9	1.01%	0	-0.5	44	0
24	Apr_13_2012	29.33	30.46	30.18	29.67			29.75(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	-10000	-8	-113	0	51%	0	-62	1%	0	-1.4	39	0
25	Apr_12_2012	29.33	30.53	30.26	29.79			29.75(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-38	-10000	-16	-102	0	51%		-46.1	1.02%	0	-1.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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