Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $30.7600 (1.05%) ($30.3600 - $30.7600) on Thu. Feb. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $30.7600(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(78%)    SPY(75%)    PEJ(71%)    XLY(71%)    XLK(66%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.65(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.61(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.09(2.23%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2012	27.67	30.09	30.61				30.76(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	0	77	0	58%	0.11	66.8	1.3%	0	1.1	69	0
2	Feb_15_2012	27.64	30.03	30.54	30.65			30.44(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-2	86	0	58%	0.11	70.5	1.3%	0	0.7	66	0
3	Feb_14_2012	27.61	29.97	30.51	30.7			30.58(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	1	99	0	58%	0.15	81.2	1.3%	0	1	65	0
4	Feb_13_2012	27.57	29.89	30.39	30.68			30.89(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	4	102	0	58%	0.11	89.9	1.29%	0	1.6	73	0
5	Feb_10_2012	27.54	29.78	30.22	30.59			30.58(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	1	90	0	61%	0.11	95.1	1.31%	0	1.3	71	0

6	Feb_9_2012	27.51	29.71	30.11	30.57			30.78(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	9	95	0	56%	0.15	106.9	1.31%	0	1.8	72	0
7	Feb_8_2012	27.47	29.61	29.98	30.4			30.66(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	5	77	0	56%	0.15	113.8	1.36%	0	1.9	69	0
8	Feb_7_2012	27.43	29.47	29.87	30.29			30.51(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	12	79	0	56%	0.11	95.2	1.36%	0	1.7	72	0
9	Feb_6_2012	27.4	29.34	29.75	30.04			30.4(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	12	65	0.05	56%	0.11	77.2	1.36%	0	1.6	73	0
10	Feb_3_2012	27.37	29.21	29.64	29.79			30.48(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	21	-10000	10	52	0	60%	0.15	62.5	1.36%	0	1.8	77	0

11	Feb_2_2012	27.33	29.08	29.52	29.59			29.97(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	5	37	0	60%	0.11	54	1.4%	0	1.3	63	0
12	Feb_1_2012	27.3	28.99	29.47	29.49			30.07(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10000	4	36	0	53%	0.11	52.3	1.42%	0	1.6	67	0
13	Jan_31_2012	27.27	28.9	29.37	29.4			29.29(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	-0	42	0	49%	0.11	54.3	1.56%	0	0.6	74	0
14	Jan_30_2012	27.24	28.83	29.35	29.41			29.13(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10000	-2	57	0	49%	0.07	54.2	1.56%	0	0.5	73	0
15	Jan_27_2012	27.22	28.78	29.32	29.45			29.47(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-10000	0	74	0	54%	0.11	57.9	1.56%	0	1	79	0

16	Jan_26_2012	27.19	28.71	29.28	29.44			29.47(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	-0	88	0	54%	0.11	62.2	1.62%	0	1.1	79	0
17	Jan_25_2012	27.16	28.64	29.23	29.45			29.63(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	4	101	0	58%	0.11	72.2	1.62%	0	1.5	70	0
18	Jan_24_2012	27.13	28.56	29.06	29.35			29.34(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-10000	3	85	0	58%	0.07	80.1	1.72%	0	1.2	67	0
19	Jan_23_2012	27.11	28.49	28.91	29.27			29.34(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	4	80	0.01	58%	0.11	89.9	1.72%	0	1.4	70	0
20	Jan_20_2012	27.08	28.4	28.77	29.16			29.42(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	2	71	0	58%	0.11	98.1	1.72%	0	1.7	72	0

21	Jan_19_2012	27.05	28.3	28.6	29.1			29.51(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	4	67	0.01	58%	0.15	106.7	1.72%	0	2.2	72	0
22	Jan_18_2012	27.01	28.17	28.47	28.99			29.14(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	11	66	0	60%	0.07	115.5	1.72%	0	2	69	0
23	Jan_17_2012	26.99	28.06	28.37	28.72			28.96(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	9	49	0	61%	0.11	107.2	1.73%	0	1.9	67	0
24	Jan_13_2012	26.96	27.94	28.27	28.49			28.76(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	8	34	0.01	61%	0.11	77	1.74%	0	1.5	65	0
25	Jan_12_2012	26.93	27.83	28.19	28.3			29.12(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	15	-10000	11	27	0.01	61%		53.9	1.73%	0	2.1	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.