Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $26.9200 (0%) ($0.0000 - $0.0000) on Mon. Dec. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $26.9200(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(77%)    SPY(74%)    PEJ(71%)    XLY(71%)    XLK(66%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.8(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.94(-0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.86(0.22%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2011	26.62		26.94	26.8			26.92(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	1	-37	0	56%	0.04	-23.3	1.76%	0	0.1	58	0
2	Dec_16_2011	26.61		27	26.77			26.92(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	1	-26	0	56%	0	-31.4	1.78%	0	0.1	60	0
3	Dec_15_2011	26.61	26.86	27.06	26.74			26.51(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0	56%	0	-35	1.78%	0	-0.6	65	0
4	Dec_14_2011	26.61	26.92	27.18	26.79			26.51(-2.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-9	14	0	56%	0	-29.5	1.8%	0	-0.7	65	0
5	Dec_13_2011	26.61	26.98	27.29	27.01			27.15(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-4	45	0	59%	0.04	-20.5	1.78%	0	0.3	61	0

6	Dec_12_2011	26.6	27	27.24	27.1			26.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-10000	-7	54	0	59%	0	-16	1.79%	0	-0.3	58	0
7	Dec_9_2011	26.6	27.05	27.21	27.27			26.77(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	-10000	-6	60	0	59%	0.04	-8.4	1.81%	0	-0.4	49	0
8	Dec_8_2011	26.59	27.07	27.13	27.43			26.77(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-8	58	0	59%	0	-5.2	1.83%	0	-0.4	49	0
9	Dec_7_2011	26.59	27.1	27.04	27.62			27.6(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-10000	1	56	0	62%	0.08	4.5	1.79%	0	0.7	48	0
10	Dec_6_2011	26.57	27.1	26.92	27.6			27.6(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-10000	9	43	0	62%	0.08	14.5	1.81%	0	0.7	45	0

11	Dec_5_2011	26.55	27.1	26.79	27.39			27.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	11	-10000	10	13	0	62%	0.11	5.4	1.83%	0	0.7	45	0
12	Dec_2_2011	26.52	27.1	26.71	27.15			27.6(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-10000	15	-11	0	62%	0.08	-6.6	1.85%	0	0.7	45	0
13	Dec_1_2011	26.5	27.11	26.63	26.77			27.71(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	-10000	16	-39	0	62%	0.11	-24	1.86%	0	0.9	54	0
14	Nov_30_2011	26.47	27.07	26.63	26.37			27.51(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-9	-10000	9	-64	0	62%	0.08	-41.6	1.88%	0	0.6	53	0
15	Nov_29_2011	26.45	27.01	26.6	26.14			26.51(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	-10000	1	-88	0.02	59%	0	-56.3	1.82%	0	-0.7	32	0

16	Nov_28_2011	26.45	27.07	26.72	26.11			26.41(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-5	-93	0.07	59%	0	-47	1.85%	0	-0.9	34	0
17	Nov_25_2011	26.45	27.15	26.85	26.22			25.72(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-30	-10000	-10	-89	0	56%	-0.04	-31.2	1.82%	0	-2	26	0
18	Nov_23_2011	26.46	27.28	27.01	26.46			25.72(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-10000	-15	-81	0	56%	-0.08	-11.6	1.85%	0	-2.4	26	0
19	Nov_22_2011	26.48	27.36	27.17	26.84			26.35(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-22	-10000	-11	-54	0	60%	-0.04	13.4	1.83%	0	-1.8	47	0
20	Nov_21_2011	26.49	27.41	27.34	27.12			26.35(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13	-10000	-11	-18	0	60%	0	34.6	1.85%	0	-1.9	55	0

21	Nov_18_2011	26.49	27.42	27.49	27.41			26.95(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-10000	-7	2	0	63%	0.04	49.8	1.83%	0	-0.8	43	0
22	Nov_17_2011	26.48	27.38	27.56	27.58			26.95(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-2	11	0.01	63%	0.08	59.4	1.86%	0	-0.7	42	0
23	Nov_16_2011	26.46	27.35	27.65	27.63			27.59(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	3	13	0.01	68%	0.11	63.5	1.83%	0	0.3	45	0
24	Nov_15_2011	26.43	27.28	27.59	27.55			27.78(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-2	3	0	68%	0.15	64.2	1.85%	0	0.7	56	0
25	Nov_14_2011	26.39	27.22	27.45	27.59			27.78(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1	-10000	0	-4	0	68%		69.6	1.88%	0	0.7	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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