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     Fri. Dec. 2, 2011

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)

XAR latest price $27.6000 (-0.4%) ($27.6000 - $27.6000) on Fri. Dec. 2, 2011.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.85% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $27.6000(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  XAR advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  XAR declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  IWM(77%)    SPY(74%)    PEJ(71%)    XLY(71%)    XLK(66%)  
Factors Impacting XAR price  XAR will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-24%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(2%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $27.15(1.66%)
10 Day Moving Average  $26.71(3.33%)
20 Day Moving Average  $27.11(1.81%)
To recent high  -1.8%
To recent low  13%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
 
 

$. XAR price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20120102

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Dec_2_201126.5226.7127.15  27.6(-0.4%)N/AN/A00.6   9   -10000   15   -11   0    62%0.08-6.61.85%00.7450
2Dec_1_201126.527.1126.6326.77  27.71(0.73%)N/AN/A01.3   2   -10000   16   -39   0    62%0.11-241.86%00.9540
3Nov_30_201126.4727.0726.6326.37  27.51(3.77%)DPOpenShort-651.7   -9   -10000   9   -64   0    62%0.08-41.61.88%00.6530
4Nov_29_201126.4527.0126.626.14  26.51(0.38%)DPOpenShort-650.5   -21   -10000   1   -88   0.02    59%0-56.31.82%0-0.7320
5Nov_28_201126.4527.0726.7226.11  26.41(2.68%)DPOpenShort-750.4   -27   -10000   -5   -93   0.07    59%0-471.85%0-0.9340
 
6Nov_25_201126.4527.1526.8526.22  25.72(0%)DTHoldShort-50-0.7   -30   -10000   -10   -89   0    56%-0.04-31.21.82%0-2260
7Nov_23_201126.4627.2827.0126.46  25.72(-2.39%)DTOpenShort-75-1.1   -32   -10000   -15   -81   0    56%-0.08-11.61.85%0-2.4260
8Nov_22_201126.4827.3627.1726.84  26.35(0%)DTHoldShort-50-0.9   -22   -10000   -11   -54   0    60%-0.0413.41.83%0-1.8470
9Nov_21_201126.4927.4127.3427.12  26.35(-2.23%)DTOpenShort-75-1.4   -13   -10000   -11   -18   0    60%034.61.85%0-1.9550
10Nov_18_201126.4927.4227.4927.41  26.95(0%)N/AN/A0-0.8   -5   -10000   -7   2   0    63%0.0449.81.83%0-0.8430
 
11Nov_17_201126.4827.3827.5627.58  26.95(-2.32%)UDOpenLong65-1   1   -10000   -2   11   0.01    63%0.0859.41.86%0-0.7420
12Nov_16_201126.4627.3527.6527.63  27.59(-0.68%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   6   -10000   3   13   0.01    68%0.1163.51.83%00.3450
13Nov_15_201126.4327.2827.5927.55  27.78(0%)N/AN/A00.3   -1   -10000   -2   3   0    68%0.1564.21.85%00.7560
14Nov_14_201126.3927.2227.5927.55  27.78(-0.04%)DTOpenShort-750.3   -1   -10000   0   -4   0    68%0.1569.61.88%00.7540
15Nov_11_201126.3527.1327.4527.59  27.79(2.13%)UTOpenLong750.2   4   -10000   1   14   0.01    68%0.1968.21.91%00.8630
 
16Nov_10_201126.327.0127.4627.56  27.21(0.11%)UDOpenLong65-0.4   5   -10000   -4   30   0    65%0.1163.51.91%00.2600
17Nov_9_201126.2726.9227.4627.67  27.18(-2.82%)UDOpenLong75-0.5   17   -10000   2   60   0.03    65%0.1163.61.95%00.3600
18Nov_8_201126.2426.8327.5527.61  27.97(0.65%)UTOpenLong750.4   28   -10000   13   74   0    72%0.2362.71.89%01.2670
19Nov_7_201126.1826.727.4927.28  27.79(0.43%)UTOpenLong750.5   15   -10000   -0   58   0    72%0.2357.81.92%01.1620
20Nov_4_201126.1226.5827.3327.29  27.67(-0.22%)UTHoldLong500.4   13   -10000   -3   61   0.01    72%0.23611.96%01.1650
 
21Nov_3_201126.0626.4627.1927.36  27.73(3.09%)UTHoldLong500.4   17   -10000   -3   75   0.05    72%0.2766.21.99%01.3690
22Nov_2_201125.9926.3427.0327.44  26.9(2.24%)UDOpenLong65-0.6   22   -10000   -2   93   0.01    68%0.1569.61.96%00.6660
23Nov_1_201125.9526.2326.9627.48  26.31(-5.53%)UDOpenLong65-1.1   20   -10000   -8   104   0.02    65%0.0401.96%00.1630
24Oct_31_201125.9426.1526.9927.7  27.85(-0.64%)UDOpenLong750.1   57   -10000   16   178   0.04    84%0.3501.56%01.6820
25Oct_28_201125.8525.9926.7927.35  28.03(-0.28%)UDOpenLong750.7   54   -10000   18   160   0    84%01.58%02850
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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