Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ XAR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 2, 2011

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $26.9000 (2.24%) ($26.8500 - $27.0100) on Wed. Nov. 2, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.96% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $26.9000(2.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   XAR advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(77%)    SPY(74%)    PEJ(71%)    XLY(70%)    XLK(66%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(0%)    GLD(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.98% (StdDev 1.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.44(-1.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.03(-0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.34(2.13%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 3.72% (three month std-dev: 1.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2011	25.99	26.34	27.03	27.44			26.9(2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	22	-10000	-2	93	0.01	68%	0.15	69.6	1.96%	0	0.6	66	0
2	Nov_1_2011	25.95	26.23	26.96	27.48			26.31(-5.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	20	-10000	-8	104	0.02	65%	0.04	0	1.96%	0	0.1	63	0
3	Oct_31_2011	25.94	26.15	26.99	27.7			27.85(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	-10000	16	178	0.04	84%	0.35	0	1.56%	0	1.6	82	0
4	Oct_28_2011	25.85	25.99	26.79	27.35			28.03(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	-10000	18	160	0	84%	0.39	0	1.58%	0	2	85	0
5	Oct_27_2011	25.75	25.83	26.52	26.97			28.11(3.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	46	-10000	18	131	0	84%	0.47	0	1.6%	0	2.5	86	0

6	Oct_26_2011	25.63	25.67	26.23	26.58			27.12(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	10	107	0.07	81%	0.31	0	1.48%	0	1.9	83	0
7	Oct_25_2011	25.55	25.67	26.05	26.38			27.38(4.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	9	-10000	10	4	0	81%	0.39	0	1.48%	0	39.7	92	0
8	Oct_24_2011	25.45	25.67	25.83	26.19			26.13(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	4	2	0	72%	0.16	0	1.08%	0	47.5	89	0
9	Oct_21_2011	25.41	25.67	25.75	26.14			26.13(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	11	4	0	72%	0.2	0	1.12%	0	48.4	73	0
10	Oct_20_2011	25.36	25.67	25.67	25.98			26.13(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	11	4	0	72%	0.2	0	1.15%	0	49.3	73	0

11	Oct_19_2011	25.31	25.67	25.58	25.82			26.13(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	10	4	0.01	72%	0.24	0	1.19%	0	52.3	64	0
12	Oct_18_2011	25.25	25.67	25.45	25.66			26.41(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13	-10000	15	6	0.02	72%	0.36	0	1.17%	0	56.2	50	0
13	Oct_17_2011	25.16	25.67	25.25	25.44			25.91(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	7	-10000	8	3	0.01	66%	0.24	0	1.13%	0	74	50	0
14	Oct_14_2011	25.1	25.67	25.14	25.44			25.32(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0	54%	0.08	0	0.98%	0	87.3	50	0
15	Oct_13_2011	25.08	25.67	25.09	25.32			25.32(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	1	0	0	54%	0.08	0	1.03%	0	84.4	50	0

16	Oct_12_2011	25.06	25.67	25.07	25.31			25.32(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-10000	8	3	0	54%	0.12	0	1.08%	0	84.4	50	0
17	Oct_11_2011	25.03	25.67	25.07	25.2			25.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	-10000	13	5	0	54%	0.16	0	1.15%	0	84.4	50	0
18	Oct_10_2011	24.99	25.67	25.07	25.02			25.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	6	-10000	7	3	0	54%	0.16	0	1.23%	0	84.4	50	0
19	Oct_7_2011	24.95	25.67	25.07	24.92			25.32(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	4	-10000	5	2	0.03	54%	0.28	0	1.32%	0	84.4	50	0
20	Oct_6_2011	24.88	25.67	25.07	24.83			25.26(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	1	-10000	1	0	0.06	54%	0.28	0	1.45%	0	93.6	50	0

21	Oct_5_2011	24.81	25.67	25.07	24.81			24.76(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	350	-10000	412	165	0.02	32%	-0.04	0	1.21%	0	103.2	50	0
22	Oct_4_2011	24.82	25.67	25.07	19.86			24.42(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	17.5	761	-10000	895	358	0.02	0%	-0.52	0	0.73%	0	93.9	50	0
23	Oct_3_2011	24.95	25.67	25.07	14.97			24.85(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	65.9	1363	-10000	1603	641	0	0%	-0.24	0	0.62%	0	165.7	50	0
24	Sep_30_2011	25.01	25.67	25.07	10			24.85(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	92.8	0	-10000	0	0	0.04	0%	-0.6	0	0%	0	155.3	50	0
25	Sep_29_2011	25.16	25.67	25.07	5.03			25.16(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.23	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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