Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: XAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Sep. 29, 2011 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF)
XAR latest price $26.4100 (1.93%) ($26.0900 - $26.4200) on Tue. Oct. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $26.4100(1.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   XAR advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support XAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(76%)    SPY(74%)    PEJ(71%)    XLY(70%)    XLK(66%)
Factors Impacting XAR price   XAR will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.66(2.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.45(3.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $0(0%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. XAR price fluctuates within 0% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2011	25.25		25.45	25.66			26.41(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13	-10000	15	6	0.02	72%	0.36	0	1.17%	0	56.2	50	0
2	Oct_17_2011	25.16		25.25	25.44			25.91(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	7	-10000	8	3	0.01	66%	0.24	0	1.13%	0	74	50	0
3	Oct_14_2011	25.1		25.14	25.44			25.32(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0	54%	0.08	0	0.98%	0	87.3	50	0
4	Oct_13_2011	25.08		25.09	25.32			25.32(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	1	0	0	54%	0.08	0	1.03%	0	84.4	50	0
5	Oct_12_2011	25.06		25.07	25.31			25.32(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-10000	8	3	0	54%	0.12	0	1.08%	0	84.4	50	0

6	Oct_11_2011	25.03		25.07	25.2			25.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	-10000	13	5	0	54%	0.16	0	1.15%	0	84.4	50	0
7	Oct_10_2011	24.99		25.07	25.02			25.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	6	-10000	7	3	0	54%	0.16	0	1.23%	0	84.4	50	0
8	Oct_7_2011	24.95		25.07	24.92			25.32(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	4	-10000	5	2	0.03	54%	0.28	0	1.32%	0	84.4	50	0
9	Oct_6_2011	24.88		25.07	24.83			25.26(2.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	1	-10000	1	0	0.06	54%	0.28	0	1.45%	0	93.6	50	0
10	Oct_5_2011	24.81		25.07	24.81			24.76(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	350	-10000	412	165	0.02	32%	-0.04	0	1.21%	0	103.2	50	0

11	Oct_4_2011	24.82		25.07	19.86			24.42(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	17.5	761	-10000	895	358	0.02	0%	-0.52	0	0.73%	0	93.9	50	0
12	Oct_3_2011	24.95		25.07	14.97			24.85(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	65.9	1363	-10000	1603	641	0	0%	-0.24	0	0.62%	0	165.7	50	0
13	Sep_30_2011	25.01		25.07	10			24.85(-1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	92.8	0	-10000	0	0	0.04	0%	-0.6	0	0%	0	155.3	50	0
14	Sep_29_2011	25.16		25.07	5.03			25.16(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.23	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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