Trading Signals: WMT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: WMT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Walmart )
WMT latest price $65.6387 (1.36%) ($65.2281 - $65.9532) on Tue. Mar. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $65.6387(1.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   WMT advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   WMT declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support WMT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(62%)    SPY(42%)    XLK(39%)    XLY(39%)    XLU(38%)
Factors Impacting WMT price   WMT will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    TIP(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $65.23(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $64.8(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.83(1.25%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $187.07b

Walmart, Inc. engages in retail and wholesale business. The Company offers an assortment of merchandise and services at everyday low prices. It operates through the following business segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. The Walmart U.S. segment operates as a merchandiser of consumer products, operating under the Walmart, Wal-Mart, and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands, as well as walmart.com and other eCommerce brands. The Walmart International segment manages supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, warehouse clubs, and cash & carryl outside of the United States. The Sam's Club segment comprises membership-only warehouse clubs and samsclubs.com. The company was founded by Samuel Moore Walton and James Lawrence Walton in 1945 and is headquartered in Bentonville, AR.

$. WMT price fluctuates within 1.25% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2014	65.73	64.83		65.23			65.64(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	11	-17	7.55	43%	0	15.2	0.86%	0	1	51	0
2	Mar_3_2014	65.73	64.72	64.8	64.92			64.76(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	5	-26	5.35	38%	-0.05	-2.3	0.83%	0	0	54	0
3	Feb_28_2014	65.76	64.72	64.93	64.78			65.26(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	10	-15	7.45	38%	-0.02	-6.1	0.84%	0	0.6	58	0
4	Feb_27_2014	65.77	64.74	64.97	64.5			65.14(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	7	-11	5.46	38%	-0.03	-16	0.85%	0	0.5	63	0
5	Feb_26_2014	65.79	64.72	64.97	64.32			65.33(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-3	-10000	-1	-8	9.03	38%	-0.02	-27.5	0.86%	0	0.7	64	0

6	Feb_25_2014	65.8	64.71	65	64.34			64.08(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-8	-10000	-13	6	9.5	31%	-0.08	-33.1	0.79%	0	-0.7	58	0
7	Feb_24_2014	65.85	64.74	65.05	64.68			64.08(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10000	-17	37	7.33	31%	-0.08	-32	0.8%	0	-0.8	59	0
8	Feb_21_2014	65.9	64.79	65.1	65.11			63.88(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	3	-10000	-15	58	8.97	31%	-0.09	-29.1	0.81%	0	-1.1	41	0
9	Feb_20_2014	65.96	64.88	65.11	65.5			64.23(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	11	-10000	-9	69	13.1	31%	-0.08	-30.1	0.82%	0	-0.8	42	0
10	Feb_19_2014	66.01	64.95	65.07	65.75			65.39(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	1	83	8.15	34%	-0.03	-34.1	0.78%	0	0.5	55	0

11	Feb_18_2014	66.03	64.99	64.9	65.74			65.81(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	10	69	5.99	34%	-0.02	-40.2	0.79%	0	1	53	0
12	Feb_14_2014	66.04	65.01	64.67	65.47			66.22(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	14	39	4.92	34%	0	-55	0.8%	0	1.3	60	0
13	Feb_13_2014	66.04	65.04	64.55	65.11			65.84(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	17	20	5.28	34%	0	-66.9	0.8%	0	0.8	55	0
14	Feb_12_2014	66.04	65.12	64.47	64.67			65.49(0.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	8	-10000	14	-11	5.37	34%	-0.03	-69.1	0.81%	0	0.3	48	0
15	Feb_11_2014	66.06	65.23	64.38	64.3			65.35(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	14	-46	6.71	34%	-0.05	-69.7	0.82%	0	0.1	44	0

16	Feb_10_2014	66.09	65.34	64.35	63.94			64.44(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-16	-10000	8	-88	6.24	27%	-0.11	-74.5	0.77%	0	-0.6	33	0
17	Feb_7_2014	66.16	65.52	64.38	63.75			64.43(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-36	-10000	-6	-125	7.32	27%	-0.11	-75.7	0.78%	0	-0.7	31	0
18	Feb_6_2014	66.23	65.7	64.43	63.91			63.62(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-49	-10000	-15	-151	7.35	19%	-0.17	0	0.73%	0	-1.3	20	0
19	Feb_5_2014	66.34	65.92	64.61	64.25			63.66(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-45	-10000	-9	-153	4.78	19%	-0.18	0	0.74%	0	-1.4	18	0
20	Feb_4_2014	66.46	66.16	64.83	64.46			63.54(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-10000	-14	-166	7.77	19%	-0.21	0	0.75%	0	-1.7	16	0

21	Feb_3_2014	66.6	66.41	65.11	64.8			63.48(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-48	-10000	-11	-158	10.44	19%	-0.24	0	0.76%	0	-2	21	0
22	Jan_31_2014	66.76	66.67	65.42	65.06			65.25(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-51	-10000	2	-208	10.67	25%	-0.12	0	0.57%	0	-1	24	0
23	Jan_30_2014	66.84	66.67	65.59	65.02			65.31(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	-2	-1	6.74	25%	-0.12	0	0.58%	0	46.7	24	0
24	Jan_29_2014	66.92	66.67	65.82	65.05			64.74(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-11	-10000	-13	-5	8.44	17%	-0.19	0	0.52%	0	46.6	21	0
25	Jan_28_2014	67.05	66.67	66.15	65.27			65.24(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-10000	-12	-5	6.04	18%		0	0.53%	0	49.4	20	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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