Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VYM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $104.9600 (0.59%) ($104.3190 - $105.1250) on Fri. Jun. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $104.9600(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(91%)    XLI(91%)    VT(87%)    XLB(87%)    VFMO(80%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-64%)    UUP(-35%)    VXX(-26%)    TLT(-2%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $101.9(-2.92%)
Resistance Level   $105.99
5 Day Moving Average   $104.1(0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.74(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.99(-0.97%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 1.53% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 1.22%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.23%(40%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.41%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2021	102.38	105.99	104.74	104.1	104.13	104.45	104.96(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	21	20	62	-103	1.52	57%	0.11	-41.8	0.71%	1.7	-0.6	33	2
2	Jun_24_2021	102.27	106.08	104.95	103.64	103.75	103.97	104.34(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	20	20	-145	1.37	57%	0.11	-49.3	0.72%	2.1	-1.1	28	1.7
3	Jun_23_2021	102.16	106.19	105.23	103.72	103.51	103.8	103.5(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	10	-13	-161	1.36	53%	0.11	-48.6	0.71%	-0.1	-1.7	26	1.7
4	Jun_22_2021	102.05	106.34	105.59	104.27	103.92	103.52	103.92(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-40	-23	-143	1.06	53%	0.13	-43.3	0.72%	1.6	-1.7	29	1.4
5	Jun_21_2021	101.92	106.51	105.95	104.88	104.58	103.22	103.78(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-136	-100	-129	-158	1.84	53%	0.13	-36.9	0.73%	-0	-2.1	31	0.6

6	Jun_18_2021	101.79	106.67	106.35	105.5	105.51	104.31	102.67(-1.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.5	-169	-80	-176	-148	2.1	50%	0.1	-29.9	0.72%	-1.3	-3.5	24	-0.2
7	Jun_17_2021	101.69	106.88	106.91	106.43	106.43	105.94	104.74(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-84	-30	-90	-67	2.55	56%	0.13	-12.5	0.68%	-1.5	-3.1	35	1
8	Jun_16_2021	101.56	106.95	107.2	106.93	106.9	106.7	106.23(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28	-10	-33	-14	1.58	60%	0.13	20	0.65%	-0.8	-1.4	51	0.9
9	Jun_15_2021	101.43	106.96	107.32	107.1	107.15	106.91	106.99(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-15	-10	-22	8	1.31	63%	0.13	30.6	0.65%	0.7	0.1	64	1
10	Jun_14_2021	101.3	106.99	107.34	107.2	107.24	107.11	106.86(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-23	-10	-33	8	0.98	63%	0.13	36	0.65%	-1.4	-0.2	48	1.4

11	Jun_11_2021	101.17	107.01	107.35	107.35	107.37	107.4	107.33(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	0	-8	27	1.3	63%	0.13	44	0.65%	-1	0.6	58	1.4
12	Jun_10_2021	101.04	106.96	107.29	107.48	107.49	107.38	107.26(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10	-2	39	1.07	66%	0.12	44.2	0.65%	-0.7	0.5	61	1.2
13	Jun_9_2021	100.92	106.84	107.21	107.52	107.55	107.35	107.08(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-10	-20	38	1.01	66%	0.12	29	0.67%	-1.7	0.3	65	1
14	Jun_8_2021	100.8	106.84	107.13	107.57	107.53	107.61	107.45(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	0	-7	46	1.29	66%	0.07	38.6	0.67%	-0.4	0.9	60	1.2
15	Jun_7_2021	100.73	106.8	107.09	107.5	107.48	107.76	107.64(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	20	32	54	1.35	66%	0.14	51.4	0.68%	-0	1.1	50	1.4

16	Jun_4_2021	100.59	106.78	106.99	107.33	107.37	107.46	107.95(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	10	34	41	1.03	70%	0.12	69.6	0.72%	1.7	1.6	52	1.5
17	Jun_3_2021	100.47	106.72	106.83	107.07	107.15	107.2	107.49(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	10	4	20	1.09	70%	0.13	81.5	0.73%	1.2	1.1	59	1.2
18	Jun_2_2021	100.34	106.63	106.66	106.86	107.07	107.27	107.33(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	20	26	27	1.09	70%	0.13	89.2	0.73%	0.8	1	68	1.5
19	Jun_1_2021	100.21	106.52	106.56	106.86	106.84	107.11	107.08(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	20	23	17	1.34	73%	0.19	87.1	0.74%	0.6	0.7	54	1.1
20	May_28_2021	100.02	106.41	106.59	106.63	106.68	106.86	106.81(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	10	18	14	1.41	73%	0.13	75.3	0.78%	1	0.4	46	1.5

21	May_27_2021	99.89	106.26	106.64	106.6	106.73	106.56	106.66(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10	7	9	0.98	73%	0.14	71.3	0.79%	0.7	0.4	46	1.9
22	May_26_2021	99.75	106.16	106.6	106.54	106.71	106.49	106.4(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10	-21	-8	0.91	69%	0.15	68.1	0.79%	-0.8	0.2	48	1.5
23	May_25_2021	99.6	106.01	106.45	106.42	106.67	106.89	106.21(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	20	8	-8	1.1	64%	0.16	59.4	0.82%	-2	0.1	53	1.1
24	May_24_2021	99.44	105.87	106.46	106.46	106.34	106.94	107.06(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	40	29	9	1.1	66%	0.08	57.4	0.84%	1.3	0.8	60	0.9
25	May_21_2021	99.36	105.67	106.49	106.55	106.29	106.45	106.67(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	0	33	31	1.42	66%		57.5	0.84%	0.9	0.6	60	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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