Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $80.8200 (-0.72%) ($80.4900 - $80.8900) on Wed. Sep. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.43% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $80.8200(-0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(92%)    IWD(92%)    XLF(92%)    VT(91%)    XLI(90%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-18%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.215% (StdDev 0.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $81.01(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.5(0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.75(1.34%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 0.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2017	78.74	79.75	80.5	81.01			80.82(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	-10000	3	164	0.77	42%	0.05	69.5	0.43%	0	1.1	73	0
2	Sep_19_2017	78.7	79.64	80.35	80.95			81.41(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	-10000	11	173	0.49	47%	0.05	66.7	0.43%	0	1.9	83	0
3	Sep_18_2017	78.66	79.48	80.1	80.76			81.2(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	-10000	13	161	0.57	47%	0.04	60.6	0.43%	0	2	83	0
4	Sep_15_2017	78.63	79.31	79.92	80.54			80.91(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	-10000	20	159	0.52	47%	0.04	53.3	0.43%	0	1.9	80	0
5	Sep_14_2017	78.6	79.17	79.75	80.2			80.72(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	48	-10000	17	139	0.46	47%	0.04	43.8	0.43%	0	2	81	0

6	Sep_13_2017	78.57	79.09	79.57	79.91			80.52(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	41	-10000	15	119	0.48	47%	0.04	37.2	0.43%	0	2.1	79	0
7	Sep_12_2017	78.54	79.02	79.39	79.65			80.43(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	-10000	18	97	1.03	47%	0.04	29.3	0.43%	0	2.4	72	0
8	Sep_11_2017	78.51	78.95	79.21	79.35			80.1(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	24	-10000	7	73	0.63	47%	0.04	16.1	0.43%	0	2.3	76	0
9	Sep_8_2017	78.48	78.87	79.07	79.35			79.25(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	0	75	0.34	45%	0.03	1.9	0.41%	0	0.9	71	0
10	Sep_7_2017	78.46	78.87	79	79.23			79.26(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	4	85	0.46	45%	0.04	-5.8	0.41%	0	1	67	0

11	Sep_6_2017	78.43	78.84	78.93	79.17			79.22(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	6	68	0.7	45%	0.04	-11.3	0.41%	0	0.9	47	0
12	Sep_5_2017	78.4	78.85	78.89	79.07			78.91(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	2	49	1.23	45%	0.01	-18.2	0.41%	0	0.1	44	0
13	Sep_1_2017	78.39	78.88	78.82	79.04			79.5(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	10	31	0.44	51%	0.04	-19	0.4%	0	1.3	51	0
14	Aug_31_2017	78.36	78.88	78.67	78.89			79.28(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	9	7	0.59	51%	0.04	-25.9	0.41%	0	0.9	58	0
15	Aug_30_2017	78.33	78.87	78.56	78.74			78.94(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	5	-18	0.53	49%	0.01	-36.2	0.41%	0	0.2	53	0

16	Aug_29_2017	78.32	78.89	78.58	78.66			78.74(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-1	-32	0.71	49%	0.03	-37.7	0.4%	0	-0.3	41	0
17	Aug_28_2017	78.3	78.93	78.63	78.67			78.72(-0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	7	-31	0.6	49%	0.01	-33.9	0.41%	0	-0.4	41	0
18	Aug_25_2017	78.29	78.96	78.67	78.56			78.78(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	9	-46	0.55	49%	0.01	-35.5	0.41%	0	-0.4	40	0
19	Aug_24_2017	78.28	78.98	78.65	78.41			78.53(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	4	-80	0.54	49%	0.01	-42.9	0.41%	0	-0.9	37	0
20	Aug_23_2017	78.27	79.03	78.67	78.34			78.55(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-33	-10000	-9	-106	0.5	49%	0.01	-45.2	0.41%	0	-1	40	0

21	Aug_22_2017	78.26	79.07	78.75	78.49			78.77(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-28	-10000	-6	-92	0.77	49%	0.03	-39	0.41%	0	-0.6	41	0
22	Aug_21_2017	78.24	79.09	78.8	78.59			78.16(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-10000	-14	-90	0.6	46%	0	-30.5	0.4%	0	-2	30	0
23	Aug_18_2017	78.24	79.13	78.94	78.81			78.02(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-21	-10000	-7	-63	0.82	48%	0	-18.9	0.41%	0	-2.6	31	0
24	Aug_17_2017	78.24	79.2	79.1	78.93			78.19(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-16	-10000	-5	-47	0.75	43%	0.01	-9.3	0.41%	0	-3	36	0
25	Aug_16_2017	78.23	79.26	79.22	79.02			79.33(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.2	-10	-10000	-0	-38	0.5	48%		12.5	0.41%	0	0.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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