Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $77.6800 (0.49%) ($77.1800 - $77.7400) on Wed. Feb. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $77.6800(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(92%)    IWD(92%)    XLF(92%)    VT(91%)    XLI(90%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.99(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.48(1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.17(1.98%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2017	74.2	76.17	76.48	76.99			77.68(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	43	-10000	20	112	0.68	66%	0.08	56.3	0.44%	0	2.5	65	0
2	Feb_14_2017	74.14	76.06	76.25	76.65			77.3(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	-10000	16	58	0.83	64%	0.08	49.3	0.45%	0	2.4	58	0
3	Feb_13_2017	74.08	75.97	76.09	76.37			77.01(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	17	-10000	13	30	0.85	64%	0.07	38.6	0.44%	0	2.4	64	0
4	Feb_10_2017	74.03	75.91	75.96	76.16			76.6(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	-10000	6	13	0.76	62%	0.05	25.5	0.44%	0	1.9	65	0
5	Feb_9_2017	73.99	75.86	75.92	76.06			76.36(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	10	15	0.89	66%	0.07	11.9	0.44%	0	1.6	58	0

6	Feb_8_2017	73.94	75.83	75.91	75.9			75.96(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	7	13	0.71	65%	0.07	-10	0.46%	0	0.4	58	0
7	Feb_7_2017	73.89	75.81	75.91	75.79			75.91(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	2	12	0.57	70%	0.05	-27.5	0.47%	0	0.3	53	0
8	Feb_6_2017	73.85	75.8	75.95	75.75			75.96(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	1	12	0.64	70%	0.07	-32.5	0.53%	0	0.5	56	0
9	Feb_3_2017	73.8	75.81	75.9	75.73			76.13(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	-0	-10000	-2	5	1.27	70%	0.07	-29.3	0.53%	0	1	54	0
10	Feb_2_2017	73.75	75.82	75.9	75.76			75.55(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-10000	-8	6	0.81	65%	0.07	-21.4	0.52%	0	-0.8	49	0

11	Feb_1_2017	73.7	75.86	75.85	75.92			75.39(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-6	-10000	-11	11	1.55	62%	0.05	-8.9	0.53%	0	-1.4	44	0
12	Jan_31_2017	73.66	75.86	75.88	76.14			75.74(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	8	-10000	-1	35	0.96	62%	0.05	7.1	0.53%	0	-0.5	52	0
13	Jan_30_2017	73.62	75.9	75.87	76.16			75.83(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	12	-10000	4	37	1.96	62%	0.05	0	0.53%	0	-0.2	51	0
14	Jan_27_2017	73.58	75.91	75.86	76.08			76.31(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	6	24	1.01	65%	0.04	-20.9	0.53%	0	1.2	49	0
15	Jan_26_2017	73.55	75.88	75.8	75.95			76.32(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	9	8	0.81	65%	0.04	-50	0.53%	0	1.4	49	0

16	Jan_25_2017	73.52	75.89	75.74	75.77			76.48(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	2	-10000	8	-15	1.65	65%	0.04	-75	0.53%	0	2	48	0
17	Jan_24_2017	73.49	75.88	75.65	75.61			75.85(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	3	-39	0.97	63%	0.03	-95	0.52%	0	-0.1	44	0
18	Jan_23_2017	73.47	75.9	75.64	75.55			75.42(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-3	-47	1.43	61%	0.03	-104.9	0.52%	0	-1.5	46	0
19	Jan_20_2017	73.45	75.97	75.72	75.55			75.7(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	0	-39	1.04	61%	0.04	-87.8	0.51%	0	-0.9	46	0
20	Jan_19_2017	73.42	76.04	75.76	75.61			75.39(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-5	-37	1.01	61%	0.04	-85.7	0.51%	0	-2	43	0

21	Jan_18_2017	73.39	76.12	75.86	75.61			75.67(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	0	-29	0.78	61%	0.04	-63.3	0.51%	0	-1.2	37	0
22	Jan_17_2017	73.36	76.17	75.91	75.7			75.55(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-2	-34	2.61	61%	0.04	-51.7	0.51%	0	-1.4	37	0
23	Jan_13_2017	73.33	76.22	75.94	75.74			75.76(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-5	-40	1.2	61%	0.04	-42.4	0.51%	0	-1	41	0
24	Jan_12_2017	73.3	76.25	75.96	75.83			75.69(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-10000	-5	-46	1.04	61%	0.04	-32.2	0.51%	0	-1.2	32	0
25	Jan_11_2017	73.27	76.32	75.99	75.94			75.85(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-5	-55	0.98	56%		-3.6	0.51%	0	-1.1	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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