Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $74.7900 (0.4%) ($74.3900 - $74.8200) on Tue. Dec. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.69% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $74.7900(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(92%)    IWD(92%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    XLI(90%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-24%)    UUP(-16%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.345% (StdDev 0.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.34(0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.34(0.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.76(1.4%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 0.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_6_2016	72.5	73.76	74.34	74.34			74.79(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	3	46	1.18	46%	0.03	121.4	0.69%	0	1.4	71	0
2	Dec_5_2016	72.48	73.59	74.25	74.26			74.49(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	1	51	1.45	46%	0.01	105.9	0.69%	0	1	74	0
3	Dec_2_2016	72.47	73.38	74.15	74.24			74.13(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-3	55	1.41	46%	0	76.8	0.69%	0	0.7	73	0
4	Dec_1_2016	72.47	73.19	74.1	74.32			74.08(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	-0	70	1.14	46%	0.01	65.4	0.69%	0	0.7	71	0
5	Nov_30_2016	72.46	73.01	74.03	74.32			74.23(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	0	78	1.14	46%	0.03	57.7	0.69%	0	0.9	76	0

6	Nov_29_2016	72.44	72.84	73.96	74.33			74.39(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	28	-10000	3	101	1.12	46%	0.03	55	0.69%	0	1.1	85	0
7	Nov_28_2016	72.42	72.68	73.82	74.24			74.35(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	7	117	0.97	46%	0.03	54.2	0.69%	0	1.1	87	0
8	Nov_25_2016	72.4	72.52	73.68	74.06			74.53(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	8	139	0.5	46%	0.06	52.3	0.69%	0	1.4	93	0
9	Nov_23_2016	72.36	72.34	73.51	73.85			74.16(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	-10000	7	158	0.94	46%	0.04	52.9	0.69%	0	1.3	88	0
10	Nov_22_2016	72.33	72.2	73.36	73.67			74.21(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	-10000	5	175	1.09	46%	0.03	52.8	0.69%	0	1.5	87	0

11	Nov_21_2016	72.31	72.04	73.12	73.54			73.94(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	-10000	8	183	1.27	46%	0.04	53.8	0.69%	0	1.6	78	0
12	Nov_18_2016	72.28	71.9	72.87	73.35			73.44(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	-10000	5	178	1.03	46%	0.03	54.4	0.68%	0	1.3	69	0
13	Nov_17_2016	72.26	71.77	72.55	73.23			73.49(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	4	161	0.6	46%	0.04	54.2	0.68%	0	1.6	70	0
14	Nov_16_2016	72.23	71.63	72.22	73.12			73.28(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	5	146	0.85	46%	0.06	54.9	0.68%	0	1.6	67	0
15	Nov_15_2016	72.19	71.52	71.93	73			73.54(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	-10000	14	131	1.32	46%	0.07	56	0.69%	0	2.1	68	0

16	Nov_14_2016	72.14	71.39	71.64	72.64			73(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	14	104	1.75	44%	0.06	51.7	0.68%	0	1.9	66	0
17	Nov_11_2016	72.1	71.28	71.45	72.31			72.85(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	-10000	23	88	0.9	44%	0.03	39.3	0.68%	0	2.1	65	0
18	Nov_10_2016	72.08	71.18	71.26	71.74			72.92(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	30	-10000	23	51	1.41	44%	0.03	17	0.68%	0	2.6	68	0
19	Nov_9_2016	72.06	71.07	71.07	71.19			72.67(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	19	-10000	20	15	2.23	44%	0.03	-14.5	0.68%	0	3	67	0
20	Nov_8_2016	72.04	70.99	70.91	70.71			71.74(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	1	-10000	8	-22	0.77	39%	0.01	-58.6	0.66%	0	1.8	56	0

21	Nov_7_2016	72.03	70.96	70.85	70.51			71.39(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-9	-10000	1	-39	1.62	39%	0.01	-70.5	0.66%	0	1	52	0
22	Nov_4_2016	72.02	70.98	70.82	70.48			69.97(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-10000	-10	-45	0.8	30%	-0.01	-71.4	0.61%	0	-2.2	36	0
23	Nov_3_2016	72.03	71.07	70.93	70.7			70.17(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-10	-30	0.67	30%	0	-67.2	0.61%	0	-2.2	35	0
24	Nov_2_2016	72.03	71.15	71.01	70.91			70.29(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-11	-10000	-10	-15	0.82	30%	0	-58.5	0.61%	0	-2.3	38	0
25	Nov_1_2016	72.03	71.23	71.11	71.12			70.74(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-5	3	0.95	32%		-57.8	0.61%	0	-1.5	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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