Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $73.0800 (0.52%) ($72.8300 - $73.1100) on Fri. Aug. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $73.0800(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   VYM declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(92%)    IWD(92%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    XLI(90%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-16%)    IPO(-7%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $73.13
5 Day Moving Average   $72.78(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.01(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.13(-0.07%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2016	70.54	73.13	73.01	72.78			73.08(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-10	-10000	-0	-38	0.82	60%	0.07	71.7	0.75%	0	-0.1	44	0
2	Aug_4_2016	70.49	73.1	73.06	72.79			72.7(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-3	-36	0.55	60%	0.06	55.8	0.74%	0	-0.7	36	0
3	Aug_3_2016	70.45	73.03	73.13	72.86			72.64(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-4	-34	0.61	58%	0.07	59.1	0.75%	0	-0.6	34	0
4	Aug_2_2016	70.4	72.99	73.22	72.96			72.55(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-7	-25	0.7	58%	0.07	68.9	0.76%	0	-0.6	42	0
5	Aug_1_2016	70.35	72.93	73.3	73.15			72.93(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-4	-9	1.11	58%	0.06	91.5	0.75%	0	0	53	0

6	Jul_29_2016	70.31	72.86	73.35	73.27			73.14(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-4	6	0.58	58%	0.09	103.5	0.76%	0	0.3	66	0
7	Jul_28_2016	70.25	72.78	73.38	73.38			73.03(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-2	26	0.8	58%	0.07	103.3	0.76%	0	0.3	68	0
8	Jul_27_2016	70.2	72.66	73.38	73.44			73.16(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-3	51	1.27	58%	0.09	90.7	0.77%	0	0.5	80	0
9	Jul_26_2016	70.14	72.47	73.42	73.51			73.5(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-10000	1	74	0.55	58%	0.09	70.9	0.77%	0	0.8	80	0
10	Jul_25_2016	70.08	72.22	73.37	73.47			73.5(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	1	92	0.57	58%	0.09	50	0.77%	0	0.8	82	0

11	Jul_22_2016	70.02	72.01	73.27	73.45			73.7(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	3	102	0.57	58%	0.1	42.7	0.77%	0	1	76	0
12	Jul_21_2016	69.95	71.89	73.13	73.38			73.35(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-10000	-1	107	1.13	58%	0.09	45.9	0.77%	0	0.9	75	0
13	Jul_20_2016	69.89	71.74	72.93	73.4			73.52(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-10000	3	121	0.52	58%	0.1	47.5	0.77%	0	1.1	84	0
14	Jul_19_2016	69.82	71.59	72.73	73.32			73.29(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	3	142	0.83	58%	0.13	48.3	0.77%	0	1.1	87	0
15	Jul_18_2016	69.73	71.47	72.52	73.25			73.37(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	-10000	6	172	0.69	58%	0.1	51	0.77%	0	1.3	90	0

16	Jul_15_2016	69.66	71.33	72.33	73.07			73.39(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	-10000	8	188	1.39	58%	0.11	48.7	0.78%	0	1.5	78	0
17	Jul_14_2016	69.58	71.18	72.14	72.83			73.42(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	-10000	16	181	1.95	58%	0.12	44	0.78%	0	1.7	58	0
18	Jul_13_2016	69.5	71.02	71.82	72.39			73.12(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	-10000	12	154	1.3	58%	0.12	33.5	0.78%	0	1.7	61	0
19	Jul_12_2016	69.42	70.87	71.44	72.06			72.93(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	41	-10000	13	124	0.78	58%	0.1	24.2	0.78%	0	1.9	60	0
20	Jul_11_2016	69.35	70.74	70.98	71.69			72.48(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	7	73	0.98	58%	0.12	14.2	0.79%	0	1.7	56	0

21	Jul_8_2016	69.27	70.65	70.64	71.5			72.22(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	6	48	0.89	58%	0.1	10	0.79%	0	1.7	57	0
22	Jul_7_2016	69.2	70.6	70.53	71.34			71.21(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	6	48	0.93	55%	0.09	9.8	0.77%	0	0.7	53	0
23	Jul_6_2016	69.14	70.61	70.45	71.16			71.47(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	17	43	2.1	55%	0.1	8	0.78%	0	1	56	0
24	Jul_5_2016	69.07	70.61	70.36	70.7			71.09(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	21	19	0.99	55%	0.12	-1.6	0.78%	0	0.6	53	0
25	Jul_1_2016	68.99	70.6	70.33	70.12			71.49(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	10	-10000	17	-13	1.06	55%		-17.2	0.78%	0	1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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