Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $69.1500 (0.93%) ($68.4700 - $69.2500) on Tue. Apr. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $69.1500(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(92%)    IWD(92%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-17%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.75(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.88(0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.73(0.61%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 0.57% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2016	66.28	68.73	68.88	68.75			69.15(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	5	-10000	4	6	0.73	61%	0.02	50.9	0.99%	0	1.1	53	0
2	Apr_11_2016	66.27	68.73	68.88	68.62			68.51(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-3	-3	0.86	61%	0	47.4	0.98%	0	-0.5	45	0
3	Apr_8_2016	66.27	68.69	68.86	68.74			68.64(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-4	-1	0.87	59%	0.02	68.4	0.98%	0	-0.1	47	0
4	Apr_7_2016	66.26	68.64	68.85	68.88			68.4(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-4	4	0.73	55%	0	72.7	1%	0	-0.5	47	0
5	Apr_6_2016	66.26	68.62	68.86	69.01			69.04(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-1	13	0.78	53%	0.03	81.7	1.03%	0	0.9	63	0

6	Apr_5_2016	66.24	68.53	68.83	69.04			68.49(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-3	22	0.86	53%	0.03	79.3	1.04%	0	-0.1	63	0
7	Apr_4_2016	66.22	68.5	68.88	69.13			69.12(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	4	35	0.64	51%	0.05	102.4	1.03%	0	1.1	60	0
8	Apr_1_2016	66.19	68.42	68.85	69			69.35(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	5	32	0.87	51%	0.03	110.5	1.04%	0	1.6	60	0
9	Mar_31_2016	66.17	68.32	68.79	68.81			69.04(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	4	31	0.74	49%	0.03	109.1	1.05%	0	1.2	67	0
10	Mar_30_2016	66.15	68.22	68.7	68.68			69.2(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	2	29	0.82	49%	0.02	112	1.06%	0	1.6	68	0

11	Mar_29_2016	66.14	68.09	68.55	68.61			68.96(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	0	28	0.71	51%	0.02	108.9	1.06%	0	1.3	70	0
12	Mar_28_2016	66.13	67.91	68.55	68.6			68.43(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-2	31	0.78	51%	-0.03	80.5	1.06%	0	0.6	57	0
13	Mar_24_2016	66.15	67.78	68.49	68.69			68.42(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-2	44	0.77	51%	0	75.8	1.06%	0	0.6	60	0
14	Mar_23_2016	66.15	67.67	68.43	68.75			68.41(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	2	52	0.77	53%	-0.02	74.9	1.07%	0	0.7	63	0
15	Mar_22_2016	66.16	67.52	68.36	68.69			68.82(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	6	57	1.1	54%	0	69.8	1.08%	0	1.1	70	0

16	Mar_21_2016	66.16	67.35	68.21	68.48			68.92(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	3	52	1.19	54%	0.02	68.5	1.09%	0	1.3	74	0
17	Mar_18_2016	66.15	67.19	68.1	68.36			68.88(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	18	-10000	2	67	1.18	52%	0.02	74.2	1.09%	0	1.4	80	0
18	Mar_17_2016	66.14	67.01	67.96	68.28			68.74(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	6	79	1.45	50%	0.02	85.5	1.11%	0	1.4	73	0
19	Mar_16_2016	66.13	66.83	67.81	68.07			68.11(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	2	77	1.11	52%	0	92.5	1.12%	0	1.1	66	0
20	Mar_15_2016	66.13	66.69	67.7	67.98			67.74(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-10000	2	87	1.48	53%	0	95.6	1.13%	0	0.9	69	0

21	Mar_14_2016	66.13	66.53	67.59	67.89			68.33(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	3	95	1.53	53%	0.02	97.8	1.13%	0	1.5	75	0
22	Mar_11_2016	66.12	66.3	67.29	67.79			68.49(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	5	87	0.83	51%	0.02	90.7	1.14%	0	1.7	67	0
23	Mar_10_2016	66.11	66	67.01	67.6			67.67(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	2	83	1.38	50%	0.02	71.4	1.15%	0	1.2	68	0
24	Mar_9_2016	66.1	65.77	66.85	67.52			67.69(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	4	88	1.11	50%	0.02	63.6	1.15%	0	1.3	66	0
25	Mar_8_2016	66.09	65.56	66.62	67.38			67.26(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	4	85	1.15	49%		60.7	1.15%	0	1.1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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