Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VYM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $62.9100 (-0.51%) ($62.5000 - $63.8800) on Wed. Jan. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $62.9100(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(92%)    IWD(92%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-27%)    UUP(-16%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $63.88
5 Day Moving Average   $62.67(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $62.58(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.88(-1.52%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2016	65.79	63.88	62.58	62.67			62.91(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	9	-49	0.91	39%	-0.02	-60.8	1.04%	0	-0.6	37	0
2	Jan_26_2016	65.8	64.09	62.58	62.39			63.23(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	5	-87	0.6	39%	-0.05	-56.1	1.04%	0	-0.5	35	0
3	Jan_25_2016	65.83	64.28	62.64	62.22			62.19(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-10000	-1	-125	0.82	36%	0	-55.3	1.01%	0	-1	32	0
4	Jan_22_2016	65.83	64.55	62.75	62.26			63.08(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-42	-10000	-4	-154	0.95	41%	0	-56.5	1.01%	0	-0.7	31	0
5	Jan_21_2016	65.83	64.72	62.83	62.38			61.92(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-10000	-4	-179	1.36	38%	-0.03	-54.5	1.01%	0	-1.3	22	0

6	Jan_20_2016	65.85	64.93	63.16	62.49			61.51(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-61	-10000	-14	-200	2.41	38%	-0.02	-54.7	1.01%	0	-1.6	18	0
7	Jan_19_2016	65.86	65.17	63.63	62.93			62.4(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-10000	-6	-188	1.64	40%	0	-53	0.99%	0	-1.4	26	0
8	Jan_15_2016	65.86	65.41	63.98	63.12			62.41(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-10000	-5	-193	2.33	42%	-0.03	-55.5	0.99%	0	-1.7	25	0
9	Jan_14_2016	65.88	65.7	64.41	63.29			63.64(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-10000	-2	-194	1.53	45%	0	-53.9	0.98%	0	-1.2	28	0
10	Jan_13_2016	65.88	65.88	64.76	63.36			62.5(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-64	-10000	-19	-200	1.27	41%	0.03	-52.9	0.95%	0	-2	29	0

11	Jan_12_2016	65.86	66.09	65.3	63.95			63.69(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-10000	-17	-159	1.22	44%	0.03	-54.2	0.92%	0	-1.6	40	0
12	Jan_11_2016	65.84	66.21	65.65	64.46			63.35(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-44	-10000	-17	-124	1.9	44%	-0.02	-56.3	0.92%	0	-2.1	36	0
13	Jan_8_2016	65.85	66.41	66.06	64.98			63.28(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-42	-10000	-23	-99	1.63	44%	-0.05	-53	0.92%	0	-2.6	31	0
14	Jan_7_2016	65.88	66.61	66.51	65.68			64(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-33	-10000	-22	-67	1.66	46%	-0.06	-52.4	0.92%	0	-2.7	29	0
15	Jan_6_2016	65.92	66.78	66.79	66.36			65.41(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-21	-10000	-16	-34	1.38	50%	-0.03	-52.8	0.89%	0	-1.9	42	0

16	Jan_5_2016	65.94	66.91	66.86	66.84			66.28(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-6	-8	1.18	56%	-0.03	-41.2	0.87%	0	-1	51	0
17	Jan_4_2016	65.96	67	66.85	67.02			65.95(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-6	-10000	-9	2	2.2	56%	-0.06	-33	0.91%	0	-1.6	52	0
18	Dec_31_2015	66	67.06	66.98	67.3			66.75(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-5	20	0.74	61%	-0.02	-29.6	0.91%	0	-0.5	49	0
19	Dec_30_2015	66.01	67.12	67.1	67.46			67.41(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	6	44	0.82	65%	-0.02	-25.7	0.9%	0	0.4	52	0
20	Dec_29_2015	66.02	67.12	67.07	67.29			67.82(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	13	37	0.81	65%	0	-25.7	0.92%	0	0.9	53	0

21	Dec_28_2015	66.02	67.17	66.92	66.89			67.18(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	8	1	1.17	60%	-0.03	-40.9	0.91%	0	0	46	0
22	Dec_24_2015	66.04	67.22	66.8	66.66			67.35(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	1	-35	0.41	60%	-0.02	-46.7	0.94%	0	0.2	44	0
23	Dec_23_2015	66.05	67.26	66.76	66.62			67.54(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-12	-10000	-3	-39	1.13	60%	0	-46.3	0.94%	0	0.3	52	0
24	Dec_22_2015	66.05	67.29	66.69	66.72			66.54(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-4	-42	0.81	58%	-0.02	-35.2	0.94%	0	-0.9	43	0
25	Dec_21_2015	66.06	67.37	66.75	66.84			65.84(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-3	-50	1.28	56%		-27.8	0.94%	0	-1.8	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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