Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 31, 2015

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $66.7500 (-0.98%) ($66.7500 - $67.3200) on Thu. Dec. 31, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $66.7500(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(92%)    IWD(92%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    TLT(-28%)    UUP(-16%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $67.06
5 Day Moving Average   $67.3(-0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.98(-0.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.06(-0.46%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160131

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2015	66	67.06	66.98	67.3			66.75(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-5	20	0.74	61%	-0.02	-29.6	0.91%	0	-0.5	49	0
2	Dec_30_2015	66.01	67.12	67.1	67.46			67.41(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	6	44	0.82	65%	-0.02	-25.7	0.9%	0	0.4	52	0
3	Dec_29_2015	66.02	67.12	67.07	67.29			67.82(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	13	37	0.81	65%	0	-25.7	0.92%	0	0.9	53	0
4	Dec_28_2015	66.02	67.17	66.92	66.89			67.18(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	8	1	1.17	60%	-0.03	-40.9	0.91%	0	0	46	0
5	Dec_24_2015	66.04	67.22	66.8	66.66			67.35(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	1	-35	0.41	60%	-0.02	-46.7	0.94%	0	0.2	44	0

6	Dec_23_2015	66.05	67.26	66.76	66.62			67.54(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-12	-10000	-3	-39	1.13	60%	0	-46.3	0.94%	0	0.3	52	0
7	Dec_22_2015	66.05	67.29	66.69	66.72			66.54(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-10000	-4	-42	0.81	58%	-0.02	-35.2	0.94%	0	-0.9	43	0
8	Dec_21_2015	66.06	67.37	66.75	66.84			65.84(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-3	-50	1.28	56%	-0.03	-27.8	0.94%	0	-1.8	36	0
9	Dec_18_2015	66.08	67.49	66.95	66.94			66.01(-1.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-11	-10000	1	-46	1.21	53%	-0.03	-17.1	0.94%	0	-1.9	41	0
10	Dec_17_2015	66.1	67.6	67.17	66.92			67.16(-1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	1	-49	0.88	56%	-0.02	-11.2	0.93%	0	-0.6	44	0

11	Dec_16_2015	66.11	67.64	67.16	66.9			68.07(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-10	-10000	7	-59	1.09	59%	0	-10.5	0.92%	0	0.6	48	0
12	Dec_15_2015	66.11	67.59	67.12	66.9			67.13(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	0	-80	0.75	59%	0	-23.4	0.91%	0	-0.6	42	0
13	Dec_14_2015	66.11	67.61	67.26	66.68			66.31(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10000	-10	-80	1.14	57%	0	-25.7	0.91%	0	-1.8	38	0
14	Dec_11_2015	66.11	67.62	67.44	66.98			65.91(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-28	-10000	-15	-68	1.31	57%	-0.03	-27.6	0.91%	0	-2.4	35	0
15	Dec_10_2015	66.13	67.68	67.69	66.98			67.07(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	0	-38	0.87	62%	-0.02	-22.6	0.88%	0	-1	41	0

16	Dec_9_2015	66.14	67.72	67.8	67.44			66.97(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-6	-40	0.98	58%	-0.03	-31.1	0.88%	0	-1.2	42	0
17	Dec_8_2015	66.16	67.76	67.94	67.62			67.16(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-10	-21	0.83	62%	-0.02	-31	0.9%	0	-1	53	0
18	Dec_7_2015	66.17	67.79	68.04	67.92			67.78(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	-2	6	0.88	64%	-0.02	-26.2	0.94%	0	-0	56	0
19	Dec_4_2015	66.18	67.79	68.08	67.98			68.23(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	-0	26	0.76	60%	-0.02	-19.5	0.94%	0	0.7	68	0
20	Dec_3_2015	66.19	67.82	68.07	67.99			67.04(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	4	-10000	-7	35	0.97	58%	-0.03	-15.9	0.94%	0	-1.3	55	0

21	Dec_2_2015	66.21	67.9	68.17	68.22			67.9(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-3	52	0.87	63%	-0.02	-3.4	0.93%	0	0	51	0
22	Dec_1_2015	66.22	67.95	68.11	68.3			68.67(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	4	54	0.71	59%	0	9.7	0.93%	0	1.1	57	0
23	Nov_30_2015	66.22	67.94	67.97	68.18			68.07(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-1	41	0.64	59%	0.02	10.8	1%	0	0.2	54	0
24	Nov_27_2015	66.21	67.93	67.81	68.2			68.26(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	1	27	0.14	62%	0	10.8	1%	0	0.5	48	0
25	Nov_25_2015	66.21	67.92	67.67	68.17			68.18(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	1	11	0.54	64%		14.3	1.12%	0	0.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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