Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $66.4300 (-0.11%) ($66.2300 - $66.6200) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $66.4300(-0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(92%)    IWD(92%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-28%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.23(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.05(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.56(2.9%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2015	66.45	64.56	66.05	66.23			66.43(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	4	88	0.32	49%	-0.05	35.5	1.3%	0	1.1	83	0
2	Oct_19_2015	66.48	64.39	65.9	66.06			66.5(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	3	105	0.38	49%	-0.05	31.8	1.3%	0	1.2	87	0
3	Oct_16_2015	66.51	64.25	65.74	65.95			66.64(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	-10000	3	126	0.44	50%	-0.06	33.1	1.3%	0	1.4	89	0
4	Oct_15_2015	66.55	64.08	65.43	65.83			66.24(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	0	129	0.72	50%	-0.06	33.7	1.3%	0	1.4	73	0
5	Oct_14_2015	66.59	63.98	65.08	65.82			65.36(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-10000	-0	134	0.66	48%	-0.06	39.4	1.29%	0	0.9	71	0

6	Oct_13_2015	66.63	63.93	64.83	65.84			65.58(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	-10000	4	143	0.4	49%	-0.02	46.3	1.29%	0	1.1	72	0
7	Oct_12_2015	66.64	63.85	64.46	65.69			65.95(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	5	130	0.42	49%	-0.07	45.7	1.29%	0	1.5	67	0
8	Oct_9_2015	66.69	63.7	64.01	65.47			66.03(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	12	110	0.56	50%	-0.06	47.3	1.3%	0	1.8	61	0
9	Oct_8_2015	66.73	63.56	63.65	64.96			66.16(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	-10000	17	86	0.63	49%	-0.07	40	1.3%	0	2.1	63	0
10	Oct_7_2015	66.78	63.4	63.25	64.24			65.47(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	14	43	0.71	50%	-0.07	26.9	1.3%	0	2	52	0

11	Oct_6_2015	66.83	63.27	62.93	63.68			64.86(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	16	5	0.68	50%	-0.07	17.8	1.3%	0	1.7	48	0
12	Oct_5_2015	66.88	63.21	62.73	63.03			64.84(2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	6	-10000	17	-27	0.86	50%	-0.09	-2.1	1.3%	0	1.8	52	0
13	Oct_2_2015	66.94	63.21	62.59	62.34			63.46(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-11	-10000	5	-58	1.03	47%	-0.1	-36	1.28%	0	0.4	51	0
14	Oct_1_2015	67.01	63.08	62.58	62.16			62.59(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	1	-68	0.95	46%	-0.1	-47.8	1.27%	0	-0.6	45	0
15	Sep_30_2015	67.08	63.11	62.75	62.12			62.65(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	1	-62	1	46%	-0.1	-48.9	1.27%	0	-0.5	46	0

16	Sep_29_2015	67.15	63.1	62.94	62.07			61.61(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-8	-59	1.06	42%	-0.12	-42.8	1.25%	0	-1.7	41	0
17	Sep_28_2015	67.23	63.23	63.19	62.37			61.38(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-12	-48	0.8	42%	-0.13	-20.8	1.27%	0	-2.3	34	0
18	Sep_25_2015	67.32	63.39	63.4	62.86			62.59(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-5	-20	0.68	43%	-0.1	-5.1	1.25%	0	-1.1	53	0
19	Sep_24_2015	67.39	63.49	63.49	63.05			62.36(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-11	-15	1.18	43%	-0.1	-8.3	1.25%	0	-1.5	45	0
20	Sep_23_2015	67.46	63.53	63.6	63.49			62.39(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-8	-10000	-12	3	1.14	43%	-0.1	-19.5	1.25%	0	-1.6	47	0

21	Sep_22_2015	67.53	63.48	63.69	63.95			63.12(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-10000	-5	31	0.68	43%	-0.1	-36.6	1.24%	0	-0.4	57	0
22	Sep_21_2015	67.6	63.41	63.77	64.14			63.83(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	3	42	0.52	43%	-0.09	-58.2	1.24%	0	0.4	48	0
23	Sep_18_2015	67.66	63.43	63.64	64.02			63.56(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	-10000	1	22	0.76	44%	-0.1	-75.9	1.24%	0	0.1	45	0
24	Sep_17_2015	67.73	63.55	63.63	63.98			64.54(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	6	15	0.91	46%	-0.07	-71.1	1.24%	0	0.8	49	0
25	Sep_16_2015	67.78	63.67	63.49	63.73			64.7(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	8	7	0.74	46%		-64.5	1.24%	0	0.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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