Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VYM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $64.5400 (-0.25%) ($64.4100 - $65.5100) on Thu. Sep. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $64.5400(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(92%)    IWD(92%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    TLT(-28%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.98(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.63(1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $63.55(1.56%)
To recent high   -7.7%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2015	67.73	63.55	63.63	63.98			64.54(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	6	15	0.91	46%	-0.07	-71.1	1.24%	0	0.8	49	0
2	Sep_16_2015	67.78	63.67	63.49	63.73			64.7(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	8	7	0.74	46%	-0.09	-64.5	1.24%	0	0.7	58	0
3	Sep_15_2015	67.84	63.81	63.25	63.4			64.07(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-0	-10000	0	-1	0.53	46%	-0.07	-59.7	1.23%	0	0.1	65	0
4	Sep_14_2015	67.89	64	63.24	63.38			63.21(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	4	19	0.45	45%	-0.1	-53.4	1.22%	0	-0.4	59	0
5	Sep_11_2015	67.96	64.22	63.36	63.38			63.4(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10000	0	11	0.46	44%	-0.1	-50.4	1.22%	0	-0.4	46	0

6	Sep_10_2015	68.03	64.42	63.46	63.22			63.27(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-0	-10000	0	-1	0.81	45%	-0.09	-48.4	1.22%	0	-0.5	40	0
7	Sep_9_2015	68.09	64.64	63.45	63.21			63.05(-1.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	4	-30	0.61	45%	-0.09	-47.5	1.23%	0	-0.7	37	0
8	Sep_8_2015	68.15	64.87	63.26	63.05			63.95(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-10000	-1	-89	0.77	47%	-0.1	-48.9	1.22%	0	-0.4	37	0
9	Sep_4_2015	68.22	65.07	63.01	63.1			62.42(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-10000	-12	-145	0.67	43%	-0.1	-46.8	1.17%	0	-1.1	31	0
10	Sep_3_2015	68.29	65.33	63.22	63.53			63.43(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	-10000	-6	-153	0.58	44%	-0.09	-44.4	1.16%	0	-0.8	34	0

11	Sep_2_2015	68.35	65.54	63.47	63.74			63.22(1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-38	-10000	1	-153	1.08	44%	-0.09	-43.3	1.16%	0	-1	35	0
12	Sep_1_2015	68.41	65.78	63.86	63.71			62.25(-3.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-34	-10000	8	-159	1.35	42%	-0.1	-44.9	1.14%	0	-1.5	31	0
13	Aug_31_2015	68.48	66.06	64.42	63.43			64.18(-0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-33	-10000	16	-178	0.85	46%	-0.07	-51	1.08%	0	-0.8	36	0
14	Aug_28_2015	68.53	66.25	64.79	63.43			64.55(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-53	-10000	0	-212	0.68	46%	-0.06	-56.9	1.08%	0	-0.8	35	0
15	Aug_27_2015	68.57	66.42	65.11	62.88			64.52(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-62	-10000	-11	-216	1.06	47%	-0.06	-55.8	1.08%	0	-0.8	39	0

16	Aug_26_2015	68.61	66.61	65.41	63.24			63.06(3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-74	-10000	-26	-216	1.7	42%	-0.09	-52	1.04%	0	-1.6	32	0
17	Aug_25_2015	68.67	66.88	65.89	64.12			60.85(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-87	-10000	-47	-208	2.19	35%	-0.12	-45.1	0.93%	0	-2.9	17	0
18	Aug_24_2015	68.75	67.25	66.63	65.55			61.44(-4.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.7	-66	-10000	-43	-133	4.1	36%	-0.1	-37.6	0.94%	0	-3.8	21	0
19	Aug_21_2015	68.82	67.55	67.36	66.91			64.51(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.9	-38	-10000	-28	-66	2.23	43%	-0.06	-35.5	0.74%	0	-3.7	28	0
20	Aug_20_2015	68.86	67.71	67.68	67.61			66.35(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-15	-10000	-12	-22	0.81	48%	-0.01	-38.2	0.66%	0	-3	36	0

21	Aug_19_2015	68.87	67.78	67.83	67.88			67.45(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-4	-5	0.53	52%	-0.01	-45.3	0.63%	0	-0.9	42	0
22	Aug_18_2015	68.88	67.82	67.89	67.96			68.02(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	3	1	0.4	55%	-0.01	-43.6	0.63%	0	0.5	48	0
23	Aug_17_2015	68.89	67.83	67.86	67.89			68.24(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-1	-10000	-0	-4	0.44	55%	0.01	-50	0.62%	0	1	58	0
24	Aug_14_2015	68.88	67.85	67.86	67.9			68(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	6	12	0.31	57%	0	-42.4	0.62%	0	0.3	64	0
25	Aug_13_2015	68.88	67.88	67.81	67.78			67.7(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	0	12	0.55	57%		-35.1	0.63%	0	-0.3	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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