Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $68.7300 (0.32%) ($68.4000 - $68.7800) on Tue. Jul. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.64% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $68.7300(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(93%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    XLI(90%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-28%)    UUP(-12%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.32% (StdDev 0.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.88(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.81(1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.46(0.39%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2015	69.13	68.46	67.81	67.88			68.73(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	6	-58	0.62	54%	-0.01	-30.2	0.64%	0	0.3	38	0
2	Jul_13_2015	69.14	68.45	67.67	67.75			68.51(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	8	-100	0.37	54%	-0.03	-33.8	0.64%	0	0.1	36	0
3	Jul_10_2015	69.16	68.47	67.66	67.57			67.88(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	-10000	1	-132	0.41	54%	-0.03	-38.8	0.63%	0	-0.6	35	0
4	Jul_9_2015	69.18	68.55	67.77	67.55			67.17(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-6	-149	0.71	51%	-0.04	-37.1	0.63%	0	-1.4	25	0
5	Jul_8_2015	69.21	68.66	67.98	67.67			67.13(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-10000	-2	-139	0.65	51%	-0.04	-37.3	0.63%	0	-1.7	35	0

6	Jul_7_2015	69.24	68.74	68.25	67.71			68.08(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	-10000	7	-131	0.81	55%	-0.01	-45.2	0.6%	0	-0.8	42	0
7	Jul_6_2015	69.25	68.77	68.42	67.56			67.57(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-10000	-11	-135	0.89	53%	-0.04	-57.9	0.6%	0	-1.4	43	0
8	Jul_2_2015	69.28	68.84	68.62	67.78			67.79(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-10000	-13	-113	0.62	53%	-0.01	-60.7	0.6%	0	-1.4	41	0
9	Jul_1_2015	69.29	68.91	68.83	68.04			67.77(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-16	-90	0.85	53%	-0.03	-59.8	0.6%	0	-1.5	37	0
10	Jun_30_2015	69.31	69.01	68.98	68.36			67.32(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-37	-10000	-25	-72	0.76	55%	-0.01	-53.4	0.6%	0	-2.4	35	0

11	Jun_29_2015	69.32	69.13	69.17	68.87			67.34(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-24	-10000	-24	-25	0.92	55%	-0.01	-40.2	0.62%	0	-3	44	0
12	Jun_26_2015	69.33	69.25	69.33	69.39			68.66(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-1	-10000	-9	25	0.5	62%	-0.01	-27.3	0.57%	0	-1.3	54	0
13	Jun_25_2015	69.34	69.31	69.37	69.57			69.1(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-8	43	0.45	60%	0.01	-23.5	0.57%	0	-0.4	54	0
14	Jun_24_2015	69.33	69.36	69.37	69.73			69.37(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	18	-10000	1	67	0.33	60%	0.01	-16.9	0.58%	0	0	53	0
15	Jun_23_2015	69.32	69.39	69.41	69.7			69.89(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	9	64	0.4	63%	0.03	-20.8	0.59%	0	1	51	0

16	Jun_22_2015	69.3	69.37	69.28	69.52			69.94(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	13	38	0.43	63%	0.04	-38	0.59%	0	1.2	51	0
17	Jun_19_2015	69.27	69.38	69.14	69.26			69.54(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	6	-2	0.36	63%	0.03	-52.7	0.59%	0	0.3	47	0
18	Jun_18_2015	69.25	69.42	69.06	69.14			69.93(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-3	-10000	4	-24	0.41	66%	0.04	-51.2	0.6%	0	0.9	50	0
19	Jun_17_2015	69.22	69.44	68.97	69.06			69.19(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-1	-46	0.6	63%	0.01	-47.7	0.6%	0	-0.4	37	0
20	Jun_16_2015	69.21	69.49	69.01	69.09			69.02(0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	4	-49	0.66	66%	0.01	-38.5	0.6%	0	-0.7	35	0

21	Jun_15_2015	69.2	69.56	69.06	69			68.61(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	0	-57	0.57	65%	-0.01	-38	0.62%	0	-1.5	38	0
22	Jun_12_2015	69.21	69.65	69.17	68.99			68.95(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	1	-65	0.42	67%	0	-39.3	0.62%	0	-1.1	35	0
23	Jun_11_2015	69.21	69.71	69.24	68.96			69.53(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-17	-10000	4	-78	0.53	71%	0.01	-34.1	0.62%	0	-0.3	36	0
24	Jun_10_2015	69.2	69.72	69.29	68.87			69.34(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-25	-10000	-3	-92	0.61	65%	0.01	-34.5	0.63%	0	-0.6	35	0
25	Jun_9_2015	69.19	69.74	69.36	68.93			68.59(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-9	-93	0.52	62%		-31.4	0.64%	0	-1.9	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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