Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $68.7200 (1.19%) ($68.1100 - $68.7400) on Mon. Mar. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $68.7200(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   VYM declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(93%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    XLI(90%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-28%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $65.95(-4.03%)
Resistance Level   $69.38
5 Day Moving Average   $68.05(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.64(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.38(-0.95%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2015	68.93	69.38	68.64	68.05			68.72(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-28	-10000	-1	-109	0.55	64%	0	-38.5	0.88%	0	-0.7	34	0
2	Mar_13_2015	68.93	69.44	68.78	68.07			67.91(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-4	-113	0.59	61%	-0.01	-32.8	0.87%	0	-1.6	28	0
3	Mar_12_2015	68.94	69.54	68.99	68.2			68.3(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-8	-110	0.59	58%	-0.01	-27.4	0.87%	0	-1.4	31	0
4	Mar_11_2015	68.95	69.6	69.19	68.44			67.52(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-10000	-14	-96	0.71	56%	-0.03	-16.1	0.88%	0	-2.5	27	0
5	Mar_10_2015	68.97	69.69	69.47	68.87			67.79(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-29	-10000	-14	-73	0.72	53%	-0.03	2.1	0.88%	0	-2.8	27	0

6	Mar_9_2015	68.99	69.74	69.75	69.31			68.82(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-9	-44	0.55	56%	0	29.4	0.89%	0	-1.6	34	0
7	Mar_6_2015	68.99	69.75	69.9	69.6			68.56(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-14	-10000	-9	-28	1.04	54%	-0.01	57	0.89%	0	-2	30	0
8	Mar_5_2015	69	69.78	70.08	69.89			69.52(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-5	-7	0.44	57%	0.01	84.1	0.88%	0	-0.5	47	0
9	Mar_4_2015	68.99	69.72	70.12	70.05			69.65(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-4	7	0.56	57%	0.01	89.2	0.88%	0	-0.1	63	0
10	Mar_3_2015	68.98	69.68	70.17	70.17			70.01(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-3	24	0.7	57%	0.03	94	0.87%	0	0.5	68	0

11	Mar_2_2015	68.96	69.57	70.18	70.27			70.25(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	11	-10000	0	45	0.65	57%	0.03	79.3	0.87%	0	0.8	81	0
12	Feb_27_2015	68.94	69.41	70.15	70.26			70.04(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-10000	-1	57	0.47	56%	0.01	55.9	0.87%	0	0.6	73	0
13	Feb_26_2015	68.93	69.3	70.13	70.29			70.28(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	20	-10000	3	69	0.52	57%	0.04	49	0.87%	0	1	70	0
14	Feb_25_2015	68.9	69.15	70.03	70.2			70.28(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	1	73	0.55	56%	0.03	39.2	0.87%	0	1	76	0
15	Feb_24_2015	68.88	69.03	69.92	70.16			70.48(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	3	78	0.51	56%	0.03	37.3	0.87%	0	1.3	72	0

16	Feb_23_2015	68.86	68.94	69.72	70.08			70.23(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-10000	2	81	0.57	56%	0.04	41.6	0.88%	0	1.3	77	0
17	Feb_20_2015	68.83	68.86	69.57	70.03			70.17(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	26	-10000	2	97	0.56	56%	0.03	50.7	0.89%	0	1.3	81	0
18	Feb_19_2015	68.81	68.8	69.45	69.96			69.86(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	5	106	0.74	56%	0.03	58.4	0.89%	0	1.1	65	0
19	Feb_18_2015	68.79	68.73	69.3	69.81			70.06(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	6	110	0.46	56%	0.03	59.1	0.9%	0	1.5	70	0
20	Feb_17_2015	68.77	68.62	69.15	69.63			70.07(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	10	109	0.67	56%	0.03	57.6	0.91%	0	1.7	63	0

21	Feb_13_2015	68.75	68.51	68.91	69.31			70.01(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	8	83	0.79	56%	0.04	47	0.91%	0	1.9	54	0
22	Feb_12_2015	68.72	68.37	68.59	69.05			69.8(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	5	52	0.65	56%	0.03	28.3	0.92%	0	1.9	54	0
23	Feb_11_2015	68.7	68.26	68.39	68.88			69.12(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	5	31	0.65	55%	0	24	0.92%	0	1.2	47	0
24	Feb_10_2015	68.7	68.19	68.2	68.71			69.16(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	4	11	0.79	55%	0.01	24	0.93%	0	1.4	53	0
25	Feb_9_2015	68.69	68.14	68.06	68.59			68.45(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	5	3	0.48	53%		25.5	0.93%	0	0.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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