Trading Signals: VXX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VXX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 15, 2024

Trading Signals: VXX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 18, 2018 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)
VXX latest price $14.1700 (2.02%) ($13.9750 - $14.7100) on Fri. Mar. 15, 2024.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.6% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $14.1700(2.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VXX declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VXX advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VXX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VIXM(82%)    UUP(30%)    GLD(20%)    GDX(9%)    GDXJ(3%)
Factors Impacting VXX price   VXX will decline at least -1.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-76%)    QQQ(-69%)    IVW(-69%)    IWO(-67%)    DIA(-67%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.3% (StdDev 2.6%)
Hourly BBV 0.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $8.43(-40.51%)
5 Day Moving Average   $13.91(1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14(1.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.02(1.07%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VXX price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 2.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.16%(60%) Average negative next day return: -2.54%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.88%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.99%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 3.05%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.26%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2024	16.3	14.02	14	13.91	13.87	14.03	14.17(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	70	3	20	22.44	52%	-0.73	-37.2	2.6%	0.7	0.4	56	1.2
2	Mar_14_2024	16.42	14.03	13.94	13.97	13.93	13.69	13.89(2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-130	-5	18	29.37	52%	-0.79	-27.1	2.62%	2.3	-0.3	50	1.8
3	Mar_13_2024	16.55	14.06	13.92	14.02	14.05	13.7	13.55(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-12	-170	-17	5	7.52	52%	-0.66	-17.3	2.6%	-0.8	-1.2	36	2
4	Mar_12_2024	16.66	14.15	13.92	14.14	14.17	14.17	13.61(-5.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	10	-11	4	14.84	52%	-0.72	3.5	2.6%	-1.6	-1.1	34	2.3
5	Mar_11_2024	16.78	14.19	13.94	14.25	14.21	14.4	14.33(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	90	14	4	11.41	56%	-0.77	9.1	2.55%	-0.2	0.3	39	0.6

6	Mar_8_2024	16.91	14.17	13.89	14.1	14.09	14.17	14.48(2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	40	15	-18	20.35	56%	-0.7	-9	2.56%	1.2	0.7	50	0.3
7	Mar_7_2024	17.03	14.17	13.82	13.92	13.9	14.02	14.12(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	60	9	-45	10.35	56%	-0.7	-29.8	2.56%	0.3	-0	44	1
8	Mar_6_2024	17.15	14.14	13.85	13.8	13.77	14.01	14.18(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	120	10	-58	14.47	56%	-0.58	-47.3	2.56%	0.9	0.1	43	0.4
9	Mar_5_2024	17.25	14.13	13.89	13.72	13.67	13.79	14.13(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	50	13	-74	21.75	56%	-0.52	-56.2	2.56%	2.1	0	33	1
10	Mar_4_2024	17.34	14.14	13.95	13.6	13.67	13.54	13.57(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-30	-3	-86	5.63	53%	-0.69	-63.7	2.5%	0	-1.2	43	1.6

11	Mar_1_2024	17.46	14.21	14.03	13.65	13.6	13.56	13.58(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-30	-7	-80	10.61	53%	-0.51	-56.2	2.5%	0	-1.3	48	1.4
12	Feb_29_2024	17.55	14.29	14.12	13.72	13.67	13.66	13.56(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-20	-12	-70	11.21	53%	-0.51	-49.9	2.48%	-0.5	-1.5	49	1.5
13	Feb_28_2024	17.64	14.36	14.22	13.9	13.8	13.65	13.75(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-100	-13	-47	7.45	53%	-0.51	-34.3	2.49%	0.8	-1.2	50	1.4
14	Feb_27_2024	17.73	14.4	14.38	14.09	13.94	13.69	13.55(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-160	-24	-14	7.28	53%	-0.56	-21.8	2.48%	-1.2	-1.8	47	1.6
15	Feb_26_2024	17.83	14.46	14.46	14.35	14.26	13.94	13.79(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-8	-180	-15	13	6.86	53%	-0.61	-6.4	2.48%	-1.3	-1.6	45	1.3

16	Feb_23_2024	17.94	14.5	14.5	14.47	14.52	14.19	13.93(-3.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-8	-150	-14	10	10.45	49%	-0.55	-4.3	2.53%	-1.2	-1.4	40	1.8
17	Feb_22_2024	18.04	14.5	14.51	14.57	14.59	14.58	14.46(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-0	-7	6	12.27	52%	-0.55	-5.7	2.51%	-1	-0.2	44	0.9
18	Feb_21_2024	18.14	14.53	14.47	14.59	14.64	14.84	14.74(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	110	-1	-6	14.92	52%	-0.66	-21.8	2.51%	0.4	0.6	45	-0.3
19	Feb_20_2024	18.26	14.5	14.4	14.71	14.6	14.61	14.85(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-20	8	2	19	52%	-0.76	-27.5	2.52%	0.9	0.9	55	0.1
20	Feb_16_2024	18.4	14.48	14.35	14.6	14.71	14.43	14.38(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-2	-110	2	-13	12.63	50%	-0.43	-39	2.46%	-0.7	-0.3	49	1.4

21	Feb_15_2024	18.48	14.51	14.4	14.53	14.65	14.59	14.42(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-0	-1	-14	12.58	50%	-0.54	-36.1	2.46%	-0.8	-0.2	50	1.6
22	Feb_14_2024	18.58	14.56	14.46	14.43	14.51	14.99	14.57(-4.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	250	14	-12	22.27	50%	-0.59	-30.6	2.47%	-0.1	0	50	1.2
23	Feb_13_2024	18.69	14.62	14.51	14.32	14.33	14.71	15.33(7.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	23	190	33	-6	30.69	54%	-0.43	-26.3	2.4%	2.7	1.3	61	-0.3
24	Feb_12_2024	18.77	14.61	14.41	14.06	14.01	14.04	14.32(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	0	1	-42	12.33	47%	-0.48	-38.8	2.21%	2.1	-0.5	55	1.6
25	Feb_9_2024	18.86	14.64	14.43	14.08	14.02	13.95	14.02(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-50	-15	-46	7.91	47%		-45.1	2.22%	0.5	-1.2	44	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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