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     Tue. Sep. 8, 2020



Trading Signals: VXX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jan. 18, 2018 - Wed. Nov. 25, 2020)

(iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN)

VXX latest price $28.2800 (-2.21%) ($28.1600 - $31.5000) on Tue. Sep. 8, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  VXX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  VXX advances 8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support VXX advance at 4.3% a week (76% probability)
  VIXM(90%)    UUP(39%)    TLT(36%)    BNDX(11%)    SHY(5%)  
Factors Impacting VXX price  VXX will decline at least -1% in a week (75% probabilities).
  VT(-78%)    SPY(-76%)    DIA(-74%)    VGK(-73%)    HYG(-73%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   1.7
 
Relative Volatility   0.8 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   -0.6
Hourly Trend   2.3% [$30.2(-0.12), $29.52(0.69)]
Last Hour Trend   0.21% [$28.86, $28.8]


VXX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  5.6%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -5.6%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $28.2800
Next Day Open Price  $28.4(0.42%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $28.78(1.78%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $32.44(14.71%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $27.82 - $29.19
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $26.19
5 Day Moving Average  $28.82(-1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average  $27.27(3.7%)
20 Day Moving Average  $26.19(7.98%)
To recent high  -32%
To recent low  16.2%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. VXX price fluctuates within 7.18% (three month std-dev: 5.64%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. VXX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201008

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Sep_8_2020-32%-16.2% 2.5%,0.3(0.1)8.8%,1.2(0.1)1%,0.11.20.21%4.1%1.1-0.61.71.35.83%-1.263.45   28.28(-2.21%)28.16-31.5Uptrend 28.78(1.78%)27.82-29.1970
2Sep_4_2020-30.5%-18.9% 1.7%,0.3(0.2)8.4%,1.2(0.2)2.4%,0.42.4-3.2%3.3%1.60.51.51.25.58%-1.1110.68   28.92(-8.8%)28.54-34.08Growing Uptrend 29.51(2.04%)28.33-29.871
3Sep_3_2020-23.8%-30.3% 0.6%,0.1(0.3)6.8%,1.1(0.5)4.5%,0.71.82.12%2.1%3.53.22.91.26.93%-2.4116.34   31.71(13.49%)27.3-32.76N/A 30.53(-3.72%)27.6-32.9378
4Sep_2_2020-32.9%-14.8% -1.1%,-0.3(0.2)3.9%,0.9(0.4)2.3%,0.51.50.57%0.3%2.11.60.50.86.43%0.240.42   27.94(2.46%)27.13-28.23Uptrend Reversal 28.32(1.35%)28-28.5366
5Sep_1_2020-34.5%-12.1% -2%,-0.5(0.2)2.3%,0.6(0.5)2.3%,0.61.50.22%-0.7%1.61.30.30.85.38%028.86   27.27(1.56%)26.64-27.46Uptrend Reversal 27.63(1.31%)27.33-27.8363
 
6Aug_31_2020-35.5%-10.4% -2.9%,-0.6(0.1)0.1%,0(0.3)1.8%,0.41.51.02%-2%1.11.90.10.95.63%0.136.19   26.85(4.96%)25.68-27.09Rebound 26.15(-2.61%)26.79-25.8845
7Aug_28_2020-38.5%-5.1-3.5%,-0.7(0.1)-1.4%,-0.3(0.2)0.8%,0.21.5-0.98%-3.1%-01.3-0.80.95.04%0.834.8   25.58(-0.54%)25.16-27.11Rebound 25.52(-0.22%)25.39-25.5848
8Aug_27_2020-38.2%-5.7% -4%,-0.7(0.1)-2.2%,-0.4(0.2)1%,0.20.6-1.44%-3.7%-02-0.81.15.38%0.753.75   25.72(3.17%)24.43-27.7Rebound 25.63(-0.34%)25.43-25.7243
9Aug_26_2020-40.1%-2.5-4.4%,-0.7(0)-3.2%,-0.5(0.1)0.1%,001.23%-4.5%-0.61.2-1.11.14.29%1.329.56   24.93(2.21%)23.64-25.09Rebound 25.35(1.67%)24.55-25.6936
10Aug_25_2020-41.4%-0.2-4.5%,-0.7(0)-3.8%,-0.6(0)0%,0-0.3-0.53%-4.9%-1-1.8-1.31.23.48%1.626.21   24.39(-0.53%)24.23-25.33Downtrend 24.16(-0.96%)23.92-24.729
 
11Aug_24_2020-41.1%-0.8-4.6%,-0.7(-0)-4.1%,-0.6(0.1)-0%,-0-0.30.65%-4.9%-11.3-1.31.24.22%1.727.5   24.52(-0.45%)23.88-24.79Rebound 25.28(3.09%)24.04-25.8127
12Aug_21_2020-40.8%-1.2-4.6%,-0.7(-0)-5.1%,-0.7(0.1)-0.7%,-0.10.3-0.41%-5.2%-10.4-1.31.34.16%1.725.69   24.63(0.53%)24.49-25.04Downtrend 24.26(-1.52%)23.95-24.9724
13Aug_20_2020-41.1%-0.7-4.5%,-0.6(0)-5.5%,-0.8(0.1)-0.8%,-0.10.3-0.65%-5.5%-1.20.2-1.41.33.73%1.535.41   24.5(-1.09%)24.4-25.84Downtrend 24.13(-1.49%)23.81-24.8923
14Aug_19_2020-40.5%-1.8-4.6%,-0.7(0.1)-5.9%,-0.9(0)-0.6%,-0.1-0.60.41%-5.6%-1.30.1-1.41.33.85%1.633.28   24.77(1.81%)23.95-24.94Downtrend 24.43(-1.39%)24.1-25.1921
15Aug_18_2020-41.5%-0-4.9%,-0.7(0)-6.2%,-0.9(-0.1)-2%,-0.3-0.9-0.17%-5.6%-1.7-2.3-1.71.23.84%1.622.02   24.33(-1.06%)24.1-24.93Bottom 24.81(1.98%)23.97-25.3724
 
16Aug_17_2020-40.9%-0-5%,-0.8(0.1)-5.7%,-0.9(-0)-0.9%,-0.2-0.3-0.04%-5.3%-1.8-1-1.81.13.93%1.819.55   24.59(-3.34%)24.42-25.1Bottom 25.1(2.08%)24.29-25.6423
17Aug_14_2020-38.9%-0-5.7%,-1(0)-5.6%,-0.9(0)-0.8%,-0.1-0.30.31%-4.8%-1.5-1.5-1.51.14.61%1.827.03   25.44(-0.27%)25.31-25.94Downtrend 25.16(-1.11%)24.84-25.8925
18Aug_13_2020-38.7%-0-5.7%,-0.9(-0)-5.7%,-0.9(-0)-1%,-0.2-0.30.82%-4.6%-1.50-1.51.13.23%1.728.46   25.51(-0.08%)24.9-25.85Bottom 25.93(1.64%)25.16-26.4422
19Aug_12_2020-38.6%-0-5.7%,-0.9(-0)-5.5%,-0.9(-0.1)-1.1%,-0.2-0.3-0.16%-4.3%-1.6-0.4-1.61.13.99%1.528.49   25.53(-5.27%)25.32-26.03Downtrend 25.24(-1.14%)24.89-26.0523
20Aug_11_2020-35.2%-4.7-5.4%,-0.8(-0)-5.2%,-0.8(-0)-0.5%,-0.1-0.61.34%-4.4%-0.90.4-1.11.14.94%1.335.71   26.95(4.66%)25.03-27.14Downtrend 26.61(-1.26%)26.33-27.2637
 
21Aug_10_2020-38.1%-0-5.3%,-0.7(-0.1)-5.1%,-0.7(-0.1)-2%,-0.3-0.6-0.12%-4.6%-1.5-1.4-1.71.33.73%1.625.71   25.75(-2.94%)25.66-26.55Growing Downtrend 25.39(-1.38%)24.96-26.3425
22Aug_7_2020-36.2%-0-4.4%,-0.6(-0)-4.2%,-0.6(-0.1)-1.5%,-0.2-0.60.37%-4.9%-1.4-0.8-1.61.23.59%1.629.07   26.53(-0.79%)26.27-27.14Downtrend 26.29(-0.92%)25.95-27.0631
23Aug_6_2020-35.7%-0-4.1%,-0.6(-0.1)-3.6%,-0.5(-0.1)-1.7%,-0.2-0.9-0.19%-4.6%-1.4-1.1-1.71.23.41%1.621.61   26.74(-1.11%)26.65-27.33Downtrend 26.5(-0.91%)26.17-27.2726
24Aug_5_2020-35%-0-3.7%,-0.5(-0)-3.2%,-0.5(0.1)-1.1%,-0.2-0.9-0.22%-4.5%-1.5-1.7-1.71.23.77%1.620.42   27.04(-2.1%)26.95-27.58Downtrend 26.88(-0.58%)26.58-27.623
25Aug_4_2020-33.6%-0-3.6%,-0.5(0)-3.6%,-0.5(0.1)-1.1%,-0.2-0.90.04%-4.6%-1.4-1.1-1.61.13.64%1.519.63   27.62(-2.95%)27.53-28.36Downtrend 27.45(-0.62%)27.16-28.1323
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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