Trading Signals: VXRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: VXRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 9, 2012 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Vaxart, Inc.)
VXRT latest price $24.6400 (1.82%) ($23.7600 - $24.7500) on Mon. Dec. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $24.6400(1.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VXRT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VXRT declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VXRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(8%)    XRT(6%)    IBB(5%)    XHB(5%)    EMHY(4%)
Factors Impacting VXRT price   VXRT will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-4%)    USO(-3%)    SLV(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.89(-23.34%)
Resistance Level   $24.84
5 Day Moving Average   $24.24(1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.37(1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.84(-0.81%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $2.369b

Vaxart, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which engages in the development of oral recombinant vaccines. Its products include Influenza, Norovirus and Respiratory Syncytial Virus. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

The big news for Vaxart, though, came just a couple of weeks ago. The U.S. government's Operation Warp Speed selected the company's COVID-19 vaccine candidate for funding and inclusion in a non-human primate challenge study. Vaxart's vaccine candidate was the only oral COVID-19 vaccine included. Vaxart expects to initiate its own phase 1 study of its COVID-19 vaccine in the second half of 2020. The study could begin as early as this summer.

$. VXRT price fluctuates within 2.9% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2014	27.13	24.84		24.24			24.64(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	4	-39	0.01	72%	-0.33	-84.5	1.88%	0	-0.3	45	0
2	Nov_28_2014	27.22	24.95	24.37	24.16			24.2(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-10000	-3	-55	0	72%	-0.55	-75.4	1.88%	0	-0.9	29	0
3	Nov_26_2014	27.37	25.06	24.43	24.22			23.98(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-18	-10000	-4	-59	0	72%	-0.29	-69.8	1.89%	0	-1.2	22	0
4	Nov_25_2014	27.45	25.2	24.55	24.31			24.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	-10000	-5	-59	0	72%	-0.33	-65.3	1.89%	0	-1	22	0
5	Nov_24_2014	27.54	25.34	24.61	24.42			24.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-20	-10000	-4	-66	0.01	72%	-0.11	-62.4	1.91%	0	-1.2	18	0

6	Nov_21_2014	27.57	25.47	24.68	24.51			24.2(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-25	-10000	-5	-85	0.01	72%	-0.36	-62.2	1.92%	0	-1.3	14	0
7	Nov_20_2014	27.67	25.6	24.79	24.62			24.53(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-2	-95	0	72%	-0.32	-58.7	1.93%	0	-1.1	15	0
8	Nov_19_2014	27.76	25.72	24.88	24.66			24.42(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-7	-106	0	72%	-0.29	-54.3	1.93%	0	-1.3	26	0
9	Nov_18_2014	27.84	25.85	25	24.82			24.75(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-10000	-1	-108	0	72%	-0.22	-49.3	1.93%	0	-1.1	25	0
10	Nov_17_2014	27.9	25.98	25.13	24.84			24.64(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-31	-10000	-2	-119	0	72%	-0.21	-48.6	1.93%	0	-1.4	21	0

11	Nov_14_2014	27.96	26.1	25.35	24.88			24.75(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-33	-10000	-5	-116	0	72%	-0.25	-46.9	1.95%	0	-1.5	30	0
12	Nov_13_2014	28.03	26.19	25.56	24.99			24.75(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-5	-109	0.01	72%	-0.28	-47	1.95%	0	-1.7	29	0
13	Nov_12_2014	28.11	26.26	25.73	25.12			25.19(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-4	-108	0	72%	-0.32	-49.8	1.94%	0	-1.4	31	0
14	Nov_11_2014	28.2	26.34	25.89	25.21			24.86(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-35	-10000	-11	-108	0	72%	-0.42	-50.2	1.96%	0	-2	25	0
15	Nov_10_2014	28.32	26.45	26.12	25.48			24.86(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-36	-10000	-16	-94	0	72%	-0.49	-46	1.98%	0	-2.4	24	0

16	Nov_7_2014	28.46	26.52	26.32	25.89			25.3(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-13	-72	0.01	72%	-0.39	-44.9	1.97%	0	-2.2	29	0
17	Nov_6_2014	28.57	26.59	26.48	26.22			25.41(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-10000	-8	-46	0	72%	-0.38	-44.8	1.97%	0	-2.5	42	0
18	Nov_5_2014	28.68	26.65	26.65	26.42			25.63(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-13	-10000	-9	-25	0.01	72%	-0.35	-44.7	1.98%	0	-2.6	49	0
19	Nov_4_2014	28.78	26.71	26.8	26.66			26.18(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-6	-10000	-7	-4	0	81%	-0.35	-37.1	2%	0	-1.6	48	0
20	Nov_3_2014	28.88	26.75	26.9	26.86			26.95(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-10000	2	14	0	100%	-0.35	-23.6	2%	0	0.6	50	0

21	Oct_31_2014	28.98	26.77	26.91	26.82			26.95(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	0	11	0	34%	-0.24	-20.8	3.63%	0	0.4	59	0
22	Oct_30_2014	29.05	26.81	26.86	26.8			26.4(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-2	9	0	34%	-0.24	-14.1	3.62%	0	-1	50	0
23	Oct_29_2014	29.12	26.83	26.84	26.91			26.84(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-1	11	0	51%	-0.1	7.6	3.63%	0	0	55	0
24	Oct_28_2014	29.15	26.84	26.81	26.91			27.17(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	0	11	0	51%	0.03	44.3	3.99%	0	0.8	55	0
25	Oct_27_2014	29.14	26.83	26.78	26.95			26.73(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-1	11	0	51%		84.6	4.01%	0	-0.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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