Trading Signals: VXRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 27, 2014

Trading Signals: VXRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 9, 2012 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Vaxart, Inc.)
VXRT latest price $72.2700 (0.15%) ($69.3000 - $73.3700) on Thu. Feb. 27, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.47% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $72.2700(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VXRT advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VXRT advances 11.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VXRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(8%)    IWM(4%)    JNK(4%)    XLY(4%)    EMHY(3%)
Factors Impacting VXRT price   VXRT will decline at least -1.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    SLV(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.735% (StdDev 3.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.88(1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $66.8(8.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.7(17.13%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   68.9%
Market Cap   $6.948b

Vaxart, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which engages in the development of oral recombinant vaccines. Its products include Influenza, Norovirus and Respiratory Syncytial Virus. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

The big news for Vaxart, though, came just a couple of weeks ago. The U.S. government's Operation Warp Speed selected the company's COVID-19 vaccine candidate for funding and inclusion in a non-human primate challenge study. Vaxart's vaccine candidate was the only oral COVID-19 vaccine included. Vaxart expects to initiate its own phase 1 study of its COVID-19 vaccine in the second half of 2020. The study could begin as early as this summer.

$. VXRT price fluctuates within 10.34% (three month std-dev: 3.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_27_2014	49.38	61.7	66.8	70.88			72.27(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	58	-10000	12	197	0.02	75%	0.61	72.6	3.47%	0	1.7	94	0
2	Feb_26_2014	49.08	60.77	65.43	69.41			72.16(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	-10000	12	186	0.03	75%	0.59	64.7	3.55%	0	1.9	94	0
3	Feb_25_2014	48.79	59.71	64.01	67.96			70.51(0.94%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	-10000	12	181	0.03	75%	0.54	53.6	3.54%	0	1.9	94	0
4	Feb_24_2014	48.53	58.8	62.84	66.51			69.85(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	60	-10000	20	179	0.03	75%	0.54	46.4	3.55%	0	2.1	90	0
5	Feb_21_2014	48.27	57.99	61.62	64.28			69.63(7.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	53	-10000	19	155	0.04	75%	0.52	41	3.55%	0	2.5	86	0

6	Feb_20_2014	48.02	57.39	60.13	62.13			64.9(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	40	-10000	12	125	0.02	74%	0.4	44.4	3.46%	0	2	84	0
7	Feb_19_2014	47.83	57.09	59.09	60.83			64.9(2.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	37	-10000	13	108	0.03	74%	0.42	50.8	3.47%	0	2.3	84	0
8	Feb_18_2014	47.63	56.81	57.97	59.49			63.25(7.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	29	-10000	8	93	0.03	74%	0.42	60.6	3.46%	0	2.2	86	0
9	Feb_14_2014	47.43	56.46	57.06	58.67			58.74(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	1	87	0.01	72%	0.3	70.7	3.32%	0	0.9	72	0
10	Feb_13_2014	47.29	56.15	56.69	58.54			58.85(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	8	91	0	72%	0.3	69.2	3.32%	0	1	63	0

11	Feb_12_2014	47.15	55.77	56.23	57.79			58.41(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	8	63	0.01	72%	0.32	59.7	3.32%	0	0.9	46	0
12	Feb_11_2014	47	55.42	55.79	57.02			58.19(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	9	32	0.01	73%	0.28	51	3.33%	0	1	44	0
13	Feb_10_2014	46.87	55.05	55.13	56.17			59.18(1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	10	-9	0.01	73%	0.28	41.7	3.35%	0	1.4	45	0
14	Feb_7_2014	46.74	54.68	54.46	55.22			58.08(5.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	6	-40	0.01	73%	0.24	32	3.35%	0	1.2	52	0
15	Feb_6_2014	46.63	54.36	54.07	54.63			55.11(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	2	-48	0.03	71%	0.19	29.2	3.3%	0	0.3	58	0

16	Feb_5_2014	46.54	54.14	54.42	54.45			54.56(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-10000	1	-29	0.01	69%	0.13	33.3	3.3%	0	0.1	60	0
17	Feb_4_2014	46.48	53.97	54.92	54.36			53.9(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	-10000	5	-3	0.01	69%	0.13	38.6	3.32%	0	-0	59	0
18	Feb_3_2014	46.42	53.83	55.53	53.88			54.45(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	4	16	0.01	69%	0.17	40.3	3.32%	0	0.2	61	0
19	Jan_31_2014	46.34	53.76	55.79	53.55			55.11(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	1	25	0.01	67%	0.19	50.5	3.32%	0	0.4	59	0
20	Jan_30_2014	46.25	53.53	55.57	53.44			54.23(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-3	-10000	-11	21	0	67%	0.17	58.4	3.36%	0	0.2	58	0

21	Jan_29_2014	46.17	53.16	55.32	54.45			54.12(5.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-13	42	0.01	67%	0.17	67.3	3.37%	0	0.3	61	0
22	Jan_28_2014	46.09	52.82	55.07	55.65			51.48(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-10000	-19	66	0.01	65%	0.11	70.9	3.31%	0	-0.4	55	0
23	Jan_27_2014	46.04	52.59	55.08	57.43			52.8(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	21	-10000	-9	109	0.01	65%	0.17	85.4	3.29%	0	0.1	59	0
24	Jan_24_2014	45.96	52.22	55.04	58.29			54.56(-7.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	36	-10000	4	131	0.01	66%	0.17	89.7	3.28%	0	0.6	55	0
25	Jan_23_2014	45.88	51.73	54.8	57.87			59.29(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	-10000	19	144	0.01	72%		83.1	3.1%	0	1.7	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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