Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $41.5600 (1.19%) ($41.0400 - $41.6900) on Thu. Apr. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $41.5600(1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(93%)    VT(85%)    FXI(79%)    EWY(75%)    SPY(71%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-3%)    DIA(0%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.17(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.22(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.68(2.16%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.36% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2014	39.54	40.68	41.22	41.17			41.56(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	2	24	10.14	47%	0.03	69.9	1.18%	0	0.9	67	0
2	Apr_16_2014	39.53	40.53	41.15	41.13			41.07(1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-5	29	12.09	45%	0	66.9	1.17%	0	0.5	67	0
3	Apr_15_2014	39.53	40.39	41.16	41.26			40.65(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-10000	-6	57	23.78	45%	0	68.7	1.17%	0	0.2	68	0
4	Apr_14_2014	39.53	40.32	41.2	41.41			41.26(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	2	92	11.51	49%	0	72.1	1.15%	0	0.8	79	0
5	Apr_11_2014	39.53	40.18	41.14	41.37			41.32(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	4	109	15.18	47%	0	66.9	1.16%	0	1	83	0

6	Apr_10_2014	39.53	40.02	41.04	41.27			41.34(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	4	123	18.64	50%	0	59.3	1.17%	0	1.1	85	0
7	Apr_9_2014	39.53	39.84	40.91	41.17			41.74(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	38	-10000	5	135	13.63	50%	0	51.8	1.19%	0	1.5	93	0
8	Apr_8_2014	39.53	39.67	40.69	41.05			41.41(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	39	-10000	4	144	29.43	50%	0	49.8	1.19%	0	1.5	93	0
9	Apr_7_2014	39.53	39.51	40.5	40.96			41.03(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	4	149	12.45	50%	-0.03	48.4	1.18%	0	1.4	73	0
10	Apr_4_2014	39.54	39.39	40.3	40.87			40.81(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	4	153	38.44	50%	0	51.7	1.18%	0	1.3	76	0

11	Apr_3_2014	39.54	39.29	40.09	40.77			40.88(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	-10000	8	157	23.43	50%	0	51.8	1.19%	0	1.6	79	0
12	Apr_2_2014	39.54	39.21	39.85	40.58			41.12(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	-10000	13	159	11.81	46%	0.05	52.1	1.18%	0	2	83	0
13	Apr_1_2014	39.52	39.09	39.56	40.26			40.97(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	-10000	12	127	12.47	46%	0	51.4	1.27%	0	2.3	71	0
14	Mar_31_2014	39.52	38.97	39.36	39.96			40.58(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	40	-10000	13	119	20.25	46%	0	49.2	1.27%	0	2.2	70	0
15	Mar_28_2014	39.52	38.85	39.13	39.64			40.28(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	34	-10000	13	97	15.32	46%	0	37.7	1.26%	0	2.3	62	0

16	Mar_27_2014	39.52	38.77	38.9	39.32			39.96(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	12	64	16.81	47%	-0.05	25.9	1.27%	0	2.2	57	0
17	Mar_26_2014	39.54	38.72	38.68	39.01			39.5(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	10	24	26.59	47%	-0.05	15.3	1.27%	0	1.6	48	0
18	Mar_25_2014	39.56	38.67	38.56	38.76			39.49(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	4	-1	17.67	47%	-0.05	-0.9	1.27%	0	1.8	53	0
19	Mar_24_2014	39.58	38.62	38.43	38.66			38.99(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	5	-14	23.8	46%	-0.08	-10.1	1.27%	0	0.9	51	0
20	Mar_21_2014	39.61	38.61	38.4	38.55			38.65(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	5	-17	19.79	46%	-0.1	-18.3	1.26%	0	0.1	55	0

21	Mar_20_2014	39.65	38.63	38.42	38.42			38.42(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	-10000	5	-25	18.68	46%	-0.1	-22	1.27%	0	-0.5	46	0
22	Mar_19_2014	39.69	38.65	38.51	38.29			38.24(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-1	-33	22.85	44%	-0.1	-29.4	1.27%	0	-1	43	0
23	Mar_18_2014	39.73	38.67	38.59	38.32			39.01(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-1	-10000	6	-23	14.2	48%	-0.08	-28.3	1.26%	0	0.8	55	0
24	Mar_17_2014	39.76	38.66	38.56	38.18			38.42(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-11	-10000	-3	-35	13.62	46%	-0.1	-28.3	1.26%	0	-0.6	50	0
25	Mar_14_2014	39.8	38.69	38.55	38.24			38.01(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-8	-43	15.54	46%		-15.6	1.25%	0	-1.6	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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