Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jan. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $39.5800 (-0.55%) ($39.5100 - $39.8600) on Thu. Jan. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $39.5800(-0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(93%)    FXI(79%)    EWY(75%)    SPY(71%)    XLK(71%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(0%)    DIA(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $39.96
5 Day Moving Average   $39.69(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.53(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.96(-0.95%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2014	40.87	39.96	39.53	39.69			39.58(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10000	5	-50	12.4	41%	0.07	-32.6	1.07%	0	-0.7	44	0
2	Jan_15_2014	40.84	39.99	39.54	39.59			39.8(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	4	-68	13.82	41%	0.05	-44.1	1.07%	0	-0.3	44	0
3	Jan_14_2014	40.82	40.03	39.66	39.5			39.81(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	-10000	3	-65	12.58	41%	0.05	-54.5	1.08%	0	-0.4	46	0
4	Jan_13_2014	40.8	40.05	39.74	39.43			39.37(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-10000	1	-62	16.09	39%	0.02	-65.3	1.07%	0	-1.2	46	0
5	Jan_10_2014	40.79	40.1	39.87	39.41			39.87(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	-10000	2	-60	26.01	46%	0.02	-71.1	1.06%	0	-0.4	46	0

6	Jan_9_2014	40.78	40.13	39.9	39.36			39.11(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	-6	-76	16.27	41%	0.05	-73.9	1.07%	0	-1.8	33	0
7	Jan_8_2014	40.76	40.25	40.04	39.48			39.36(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-17	-71	21.01	41%	0.02	-68.2	1.08%	0	-1.7	43	0
8	Jan_7_2014	40.75	40.35	40.13	39.84			39.43(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-13	-46	15.99	41%	0.02	-41.9	1.08%	0	-1.7	41	0
9	Jan_6_2014	40.74	40.44	40.2	40.12			39.27(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-13	-31	14.39	41%	0	-30.1	1.09%	0	-2.1	42	0
10	Jan_3_2014	40.74	40.51	40.3	40.4			39.65(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-5	-10000	-5	-6	44.48	41%	0	-23.8	1.09%	0	-1.7	46	0

11	Jan_2_2014	40.74	40.56	40.43	40.5			39.7(-3.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-4	-10000	-7	5	48.72	41%	0	-22.4	1.09%	0	-1.8	43	0
12	Dec_31_2013	40.74	40.61	40.5	40.65			41.14(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	9	-10000	9	10	13.95	52%	0.02	-18.8	1%	0	1.3	45	0
13	Dec_30_2013	40.73	40.58	40.43	40.47			40.82(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	-10000	8	-15	12.11	52%	0.05	-39.4	1.03%	0	0.6	43	0
14	Dec_27_2013	40.71	40.61	40.38	40.3			40.67(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	4	-44	12.73	49%	0.02	-43.5	1.04%	0	0.1	42	0
15	Dec_26_2013	40.7	40.63	40.34	40.22			40.19(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-7	-59	8.55	47%	0.07	-47.7	1.04%	0	-1	49	0

16	Dec_24_2013	40.67	40.66	40.37	40.36			40.45(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	1	-45	10.33	47%	0.02	-47.2	1.03%	0	-0.5	50	0
17	Dec_23_2013	40.66	40.68	40.46	40.33			40.24(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-3	-39	19.99	47%	0.02	-62	1.04%	0	-1	48	0
18	Dec_20_2013	40.65	40.74	40.56	40.39			39.95(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-10	-10000	-4	-27	21.91	43%	0	-60	1.03%	0	-1.8	43	0
19	Dec_19_2013	40.65	40.8	40.7	40.47			40.25(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	0	-21	20.17	43%	0.02	-58.3	1.07%	0	-1.3	38	0
20	Dec_18_2013	40.64	40.84	40.73	40.46			40.93(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	3	-30	37.87	53%	0.05	-53.1	1.05%	0	0.2	47	0

21	Dec_17_2013	40.62	40.87	40.69	40.39			40.27(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-10	-42	15.14	50%	0	-39	1.15%	0	-1.4	44	0
22	Dec_16_2013	40.62	40.96	40.73	40.62			40.54(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-7	-28	15.48	50%	0.02	-6.1	1.15%	0	-0.9	47	0
23	Dec_13_2013	40.61	41.01	40.74	40.78			40.34(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-9	-26	18.96	50%	0	12.8	1.15%	0	-1.4	39	0
24	Dec_12_2013	40.61	41.04	40.86	40.98			40.22(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-3	-10000	-2	-5	19.57	50%	0	27.7	1.16%	0	-1.8	42	0
25	Dec_11_2013	40.61	41.06	40.95	41.02			40.58(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-0	-10000	0	-1	25.23	50%		19.1	1.16%	0	-1.1	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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