Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $41.6100 (1.69%) ($41.2500 - $41.7900) on Fri. Nov. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $41.6100(1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(93%)    FXI(79%)    EWY(76%)    SPY(71%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(4%)    BNDX(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.21(-10.57%)
5 Day Moving Average   $40.65(2.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.92(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.52(0.22%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2013	40.25	41.52	40.92	40.65			41.61(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-13	-10000	8	-77	18.72	52%	0.07	-52.8	1.27%	0	0.1	41	0
2	Nov_14_2013	40.22	41.56	40.93	40.45			40.92(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-23	-10000	2	-96	14.66	49%	0.07	-57.4	1.27%	0	-0.8	35	0
3	Nov_13_2013	40.19	41.64	41.01	40.4			40.26(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-9	-107	19.11	47%	0.07	-56.3	1.25%	0	-1.7	30	0
4	Nov_12_2013	40.16	41.74	41.2	40.64			40.1(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10000	-9	-92	18.54	47%	0.07	-47.2	1.25%	0	-2.2	26	0
5	Nov_11_2013	40.13	41.84	41.43	40.87			40.38(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-32	-10000	-14	-86	10.34	47%	0.07	-36.1	1.25%	0	-2.2	21	0

6	Nov_8_2013	40.1	41.95	41.62	41.22			40.57(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-10000	-10	-67	47.21	50%	0.07	-15.8	1.25%	0	-2.5	30	0
7	Nov_7_2013	40.07	42.04	41.79	41.48			40.71(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-10000	-9	-54	19.65	50%	0.05	2.7	1.28%	0	-2.8	31	0
8	Nov_6_2013	40.05	42.11	41.92	41.71			41.43(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-5	-45	15.9	53%	0.05	29	1.27%	0	-1.6	36	0
9	Nov_5_2013	40.03	42.1	41.98	41.85			41.28(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-8	-41	17.1	53%	0.02	33.6	1.28%	0	-1.7	40	0
10	Nov_4_2013	40.02	42.08	42.14	42.07			42.12(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-1	-16	12.04	57%	0.05	43.7	1.26%	0	0.1	55	0

11	Nov_1_2013	40	42.04	42.18	42.09			41.85(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-2	-14	19.05	59%	0.05	52.4	1.25%	0	-0.4	43	0
12	Oct_31_2013	39.98	42.02	42.24	42.09			41.87(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-10000	0	-6	20.35	59%	0.05	60.2	1.27%	0	-0.3	48	0
13	Oct_30_2013	39.96	41.98	42.31	42.15			42.15(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	1	-1	17.84	59%	0.05	56.7	1.27%	0	0.3	54	0
14	Oct_29_2013	39.94	41.93	42.32	42.11			42.36(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	-10000	-4	7	9.22	59%	0.05	52.7	1.27%	0	0.7	67	0
15	Oct_28_2013	39.92	41.86	42.27	42.22			42.24(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	5	-10000	-2	26	13.86	59%	0.03	49.4	1.28%	0	0.5	69	0

16	Oct_25_2013	39.91	41.77	42.29	42.28			42.12(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-3	43	14.39	59%	0.03	40.6	1.28%	0	0.5	62	0
17	Oct_24_2013	39.9	41.69	42.3	42.36			41.88(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-4	55	18.13	59%	0.03	36.1	1.29%	0	0.3	55	0
18	Oct_23_2013	39.89	41.65	42.32	42.48			41.97(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	17	-10000	-2	75	22.27	59%	0.03	30.8	1.29%	0	0.4	61	0
19	Oct_22_2013	39.88	41.61	42.24	42.53			42.91(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	7	85	19.35	64%	0	20.8	1.27%	0	1.7	69	0
20	Oct_21_2013	39.88	41.51	42.03	42.33			42.52(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	1	70	13.13	64%	0.03	14.2	1.27%	0	1.4	68	0

21	Oct_18_2013	39.87	41.46	41.89	42.31			42.5(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	23	-10000	3	82	16.55	64%	0	17	1.27%	0	1.6	74	0
22	Oct_17_2013	39.87	41.46	41.79	42.24			42.5(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	4	89	17.45	64%	0	19.2	1.28%	0	1.6	68	0
23	Oct_16_2013	39.87	41.42	41.63	42.13			42.21(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	9	85	18.82	64%	0	27.8	1.28%	0	1.1	59	0
24	Oct_15_2013	39.87	41.45	41.52	41.9			41.91(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	9	73	19.65	64%	0.05	31.6	1.28%	0	0.6	58	0
25	Oct_14_2013	39.85	41.41	41.42	41.67			42.42(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	10	57	15.09	64%		24.3	1.28%	0	1.4	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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