Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 10, 2013

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $41.9800 (2.24%) ($41.5400 - $42.0700) on Thu. Oct. 10, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $41.9800(2.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(93%)    FXI(79%)    EWY(76%)    SPY(71%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(4%)    BNDX(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.28(1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.02(2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.29(1.67%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_10_2013	39.87	41.29	41.02	41.28			41.98(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	6	-10000	7	3	16.32	69%	-0.05	22.8	1.4%	0	1	50	0
2	Oct_9_2013	39.89	41.29	40.92	41.28			41.06(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-7	-10000	0	-28	20.17	66%	-0.08	25.3	1.38%	0	-0.2	33	0
3	Oct_8_2013	39.92	41.22	40.91	41.08			40.74(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-1	-47	23.23	66%	-0.08	43.7	1.39%	0	-0.7	28	0
4	Oct_7_2013	39.95	41.24	40.96	41.11			41.13(-0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	-10000	7	-44	15.94	66%	-0.08	67.7	1.38%	0	-0.2	50	0
5	Oct_4_2013	39.98	41.23	41	40.92			41.5(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	7	-54	14.85	66%	-0.05	71.5	1.38%	0	0.4	52	0

6	Oct_3_2013	40	41.14	41.02	40.72			40.95(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-1	-61	15.04	66%	-0.1	67	1.38%	0	-0.2	52	0
7	Oct_2_2013	40.04	41.06	41.19	40.75			41.06(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-10	-10000	0	-39	10.57	63%	-0.07	67.1	1.38%	0	0	56	0
8	Oct_1_2013	40.07	40.94	41.36	40.74			40.93(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-2	-24	16.99	63%	-0.07	62.5	1.4%	0	-0	50	0
9	Sep_30_2013	40.1	40.81	41.41	40.8			40.14(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-11	-22	26.4	61%	-0.1	62.2	1.38%	0	-0.5	45	0
10	Sep_27_2013	40.14	40.71	41.54	41.1			40.52(-1.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-6	-10000	-9	2	17.58	62%	-0.1	58.4	1.38%	0	-0.1	51	0

11	Sep_26_2013	40.18	40.57	41.6	41.35			41.1(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-12	28	11.86	68%	-0.1	54.8	1.37%	0	0.3	65	0
12	Sep_25_2013	40.22	40.39	41.56	41.69			40.99(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-14	62	16.54	69%	-0.07	55.6	1.4%	0	0.4	67	0
13	Sep_24_2013	40.25	40.21	41.56	42.09			41.23(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	29	-10000	-0	117	18.01	63%	-0.07	55.6	1.41%	0	0.6	72	0
14	Sep_23_2013	40.28	40.06	41.58	42.1			41.65(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	38	-10000	2	145	22.04	63%	-0.05	55	1.48%	0	0.9	78	0
15	Sep_20_2013	40.3	39.91	41.49	42.04			41.78(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-10000	6	174	25.12	58%	-0.05	53.7	1.49%	0	1	80	0

16	Sep_19_2013	40.32	39.73	41.29	41.86			42.8(-0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	57	-10000	14	184	30.95	57%	-0.02	48.1	1.56%	0	1.7	90	0
17	Sep_18_2013	40.33	39.46	40.92	41.41			42.97(4.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	52	-10000	11	175	30.89	57%	-0.02	37.1	1.61%	0	2.1	92	0
18	Sep_17_2013	40.34	39.22	40.47	41.04			41.3(-0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	46	-10000	2	176	18.98	53%	-0.05	30.8	1.54%	0	1.4	90	0
19	Sep_16_2013	40.36	39.07	40.15	40.99			41.33(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	4	177	19.62	53%	-0.02	27.4	1.54%	0	1.6	73	0
20	Sep_13_2013	40.37	38.95	39.79	40.88			40.88(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	48	-10000	8	167	19.01	54%	-0.05	26	1.55%	0	1.5	66	0

21	Sep_12_2013	40.39	38.88	39.46	40.62			40.58(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	-10000	10	148	19.54	54%	-0.07	22.8	1.57%	0	1.4	67	0
22	Sep_11_2013	40.42	38.84	39.12	40.31			41.12(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	17	134	18.17	52%	-0.02	22.4	1.56%	0	1.9	75	0
23	Sep_10_2013	40.43	38.77	38.73	39.79			41.06(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	-10000	20	96	30.92	50%	-0.02	15.5	1.58%	0	2	65	0
24	Sep_9_2013	40.44	38.69	38.42	39.17			40.74(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	30	-10000	20	59	21.64	50%	-0.05	1.9	1.59%	0	2	63	0
25	Sep_6_2013	40.46	38.62	38.18	38.56			39.58(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	15	20	20.47	48%		-16.7	1.55%	0	1	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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