Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 13, 2013

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $40.8800 (0.74%) ($40.5600 - $40.9300) on Fri. Sep. 13, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $40.8800(0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(93%)    FXI(79%)    EWY(76%)    SPY(71%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(4%)    BNDX(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.88(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.79(2.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.95(4.96%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 3.34% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2013	40.37	38.95	39.79	40.88			40.88(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	48	-10000	8	167	19.01	54%	-0.05	26	1.55%	0	1.5	66	0
2	Sep_12_2013	40.39	38.88	39.46	40.62			40.58(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	-10000	10	148	19.54	54%	-0.07	22.8	1.57%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Sep_11_2013	40.42	38.84	39.12	40.31			41.12(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	-10000	17	134	18.17	52%	-0.02	22.4	1.56%	0	1.9	75	0
4	Sep_10_2013	40.43	38.77	38.73	39.79			41.06(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	39	-10000	20	96	30.92	50%	-0.02	15.5	1.58%	0	2	65	0
5	Sep_9_2013	40.44	38.69	38.42	39.17			40.74(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	30	-10000	20	59	21.64	50%	-0.05	1.9	1.59%	0	2	63	0

6	Sep_6_2013	40.46	38.62	38.18	38.56			39.58(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	15	20	20.47	48%	-0.05	-16.7	1.55%	0	1	49	0
7	Sep_5_2013	40.48	38.6	38.02	38.13			39.05(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	13	-20	18.44	46%	-0.07	-31.6	1.54%	0	0.5	42	0
8	Sep_4_2013	40.51	38.57	37.87	37.76			38.53(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-10	-10000	9	-66	15.43	45%	-0.07	-45.6	1.55%	0	-0	35	0
9	Sep_3_2013	40.54	38.6	37.85	37.5			37.94(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-27	-10000	-2	-101	29.74	45%	-0.12	-54.5	1.54%	0	-0.7	31	0
10	Aug_30_2013	40.59	38.68	37.9	37.55			37.72(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	-10000	-6	-112	47.14	43%	-0.15	-53.3	1.56%	0	-1	31	0

11	Aug_29_2013	40.65	38.78	38.05	37.74			37.41(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-5	-107	18.99	42%	-0.12	-50	1.55%	0	-1.5	32	0
12	Aug_28_2013	40.7	38.9	38.27	37.9			37.19(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-10000	-3	-96	20.21	42%	-0.12	-50.9	1.56%	0	-1.9	32	0
13	Aug_27_2013	40.75	39	38.56	37.99			37.22(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-8	-81	26.63	42%	-0.12	-59.1	1.56%	0	-2.3	43	0
14	Aug_26_2013	40.8	39.12	38.85	38.23			38.21(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-2	-58	8.76	44%	-0.1	-66.7	1.54%	0	-1.3	45	0
15	Aug_23_2013	40.84	39.19	39.01	38.29			38.67(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-16	-10000	-4	-53	16.41	44%	-0.1	-69	1.54%	0	-0.8	44	0

16	Aug_22_2013	40.88	39.26	39.11	38.42			38.22(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10000	-10	-52	14.53	43%	-0.07	-59.7	1.53%	0	-1.5	38	0
17	Aug_21_2013	40.91	39.36	39.23	38.71			37.61(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-24	-10000	-18	-43	19.55	41%	-0.12	-47.9	1.52%	0	-2.7	32	0
18	Aug_20_2013	40.96	39.48	39.36	39.23			38.46(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-11	-16	18.97	43%	-0.12	-33.1	1.5%	0	-1.9	47	0
19	Aug_19_2013	41.01	39.58	39.43	39.55			38.51(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-7	-10000	-9	-0	18.23	43%	-0.05	-13.5	1.5%	0	-2.1	45	0
20	Aug_16_2013	41.03	39.65	39.53	39.83			39.28(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	3	-10000	-2	18	18.8	44%	-0.1	4.5	1.48%	0	-0.8	48	0

21	Aug_15_2013	41.07	39.65	39.53	39.89			39.71(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	-10000	2	21	13.61	44%	-0.07	12	1.48%	0	0.1	46	0
22	Aug_14_2013	41.1	39.67	39.59	39.83			40.18(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	11	18	11.82	44%	-0.07	9.9	1.48%	0	1.2	48	0
23	Aug_13_2013	41.13	39.66	39.48	39.5			40.06(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	-10000	7	-10	15.32	44%	-0.05	12	1.48%	0	0.9	50	0
24	Aug_12_2013	41.15	39.65	39.39	39.29			39.9(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-6	-10000	3	-34	9.83	44%	-0.05	15.1	1.48%	0	0.6	44	0
25	Aug_9_2013	41.17	39.63	39.35	39.21			39.58(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-13	-10000	-2	-46	12.43	44%		30.3	1.47%	0	-0.1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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