Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $40.1800 (0.3%) ($40.1400 - $40.2900) on Wed. Aug. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $40.1800(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(93%)    FXI(78%)    EWY(76%)    SPY(71%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(4%)    BNDX(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.83(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.59(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.67(1.29%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2013	41.1	39.67	39.59	39.83			40.18(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	11	18	11.82	44%	-0.07	9.9	1.48%	0	1.2	48	0
2	Aug_13_2013	41.13	39.66	39.48	39.5			40.06(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	3	-10000	7	-10	15.32	44%	-0.05	12	1.48%	0	0.9	50	0
3	Aug_12_2013	41.15	39.65	39.39	39.29			39.9(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-6	-10000	3	-34	9.83	44%	-0.05	15.1	1.48%	0	0.6	44	0
4	Aug_9_2013	41.17	39.63	39.35	39.21			39.58(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-13	-10000	-2	-46	12.43	44%	-0.07	30.3	1.47%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	Aug_8_2013	41.2	39.62	39.39	39.26			39.42(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10000	-2	-40	14.77	45%	-0.07	48.6	1.47%	0	-0.5	50	0

6	Aug_7_2013	41.23	39.63	39.46	39.33			38.56(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-11	-10000	-3	-33	15.02	42%	-0.1	54.9	1.45%	0	-1.9	40	0
7	Aug_6_2013	41.27	39.61	39.6	39.43			39.01(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-2	-29	17.32	42%	-0.1	55	1.45%	0	-1	39	0
8	Aug_5_2013	41.31	39.58	39.74	39.49			39.5(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10000	-0	-20	9.28	42%	-0.1	45.8	1.44%	0	-0.1	48	0
9	Aug_2_2013	41.35	39.5	39.79	39.5			39.8(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-10000	-2	-17	17.62	43%	-0.1	35	1.44%	0	0.4	51	0
10	Aug_1_2013	41.39	39.41	39.77	39.55			39.78(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-3	-12	15.77	42%	-0.07	32	1.45%	0	0.5	57	0

11	Jul_31_2013	41.42	39.32	39.76	39.63			39.06(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-6	-8	21.47	40%	-0.12	32.9	1.44%	0	-0.3	46	0
12	Jul_30_2013	41.47	39.28	39.87	39.8			39.29(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-0	-10000	-8	23	23.45	41%	-0.12	42.4	1.44%	0	0	65	0
13	Jul_29_2013	41.52	39.26	39.93	40.03			39.56(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-3	53	18.51	43%	-0.12	62	1.45%	0	0.3	63	0
14	Jul_26_2013	41.57	39.23	39.95	40.11			40.06(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	3	81	12.76	42%	-0.1	70.3	1.45%	0	0.9	70	0
15	Jul_25_2013	41.61	39.15	39.87	40.01			40.19(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	3	90	12.09	42%	-0.1	75.8	1.46%	0	1.2	71	0

16	Jul_24_2013	41.65	39.04	39.81	39.91			39.92(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	25	-10000	-1	102	18.68	42%	-0.1	69.8	1.46%	0	1	68	0
17	Jul_23_2013	41.69	38.91	39.62	39.95			40.41(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	4	107	16.43	42%	-0.07	52.5	1.45%	0	1.6	68	0
18	Jul_22_2013	41.72	38.72	39.41	39.83			39.97(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	2	95	17.32	42%	-0.07	29.8	1.45%	0	1.3	58	0
19	Jul_19_2013	41.75	38.61	39.2	39.77			39.55(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	3	85	20.43	44%	-0.1	20.9	1.44%	0	1	56	0
20	Jul_18_2013	41.79	38.49	39.02	39.7			39.72(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	19	-10000	1	73	22.68	44%	-0.1	3.9	1.45%	0	1.3	59	0

21	Jul_17_2013	41.83	38.44	38.84	39.68			40.11(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	16	79	22	42%	-0.1	0.8	1.45%	0	1.8	67	0
22	Jul_16_2013	41.87	38.44	38.64	39.23			39.78(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	11	60	12.2	45%	-0.07	-10.5	1.46%	0	1.4	71	0
23	Jul_15_2013	41.9	38.42	38.53	38.92			39.71(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	13	66	16.14	43%	-0.1	-21.4	1.48%	0	1.3	74	0
24	Jul_12_2013	41.94	38.41	38.43	38.54			39.2(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	10	51	13.1	42%	-0.12	-38.4	1.51%	0	0.8	58	0
25	Jul_11_2013	41.99	38.45	38.35	38.24			39.62(4.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	12	49	54.37	42%		-47.6	1.51%	0	1.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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