Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 9, 2012

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $41.4100 (0.49%) ($41.3400 - $41.6500) on Thu. Aug. 9, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $41.4100(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(93%)    FXI(79%)    EWY(76%)    SPY(71%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(3%)    TIP(5%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.1(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.6(2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.91(3.76%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120909

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_9_2012	40.33	39.91	40.6	41.1			41.41(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	12	124	15.49	54%	-0.05	55.4	1.5%	0	1.6	65	0
2	Aug_8_2012	40.35	39.77	40.39	40.73			41.21(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	-10000	7	96	17.93	52%	-0.05	38.9	1.51%	0	1.7	57	0
3	Aug_7_2012	40.37	39.66	40.12	40.52			41.09(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	7	75	20.1	52%	-0.1	26.2	1.52%	0	1.8	60	0
4	Aug_6_2012	40.41	39.55	39.84	40.3			41.01(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	6	51	17.83	52%	-0.07	15.1	1.52%	0	2	58	0
5	Aug_3_2012	40.44	39.47	39.58	40.13			40.76(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	-10000	3	33	14.18	51%	-0.1	6.7	1.53%	0	2	60	0

6	Aug_2_2012	40.48	39.4	39.43	40.05			39.58(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	9	-10000	2	31	33.66	48%	-0.12	12.9	1.49%	0	0.3	53	0
7	Aug_1_2012	40.53	39.43	39.46	39.99			40.14(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	12	45	25.12	48%	-0.1	23.1	1.48%	0	1.1	63	0
8	Jul_31_2012	40.57	39.45	39.4	39.64			40.01(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	-10000	12	29	29.06	48%	-0.1	23.5	1.49%	0	0.8	55	0
9	Jul_30_2012	40.61	39.44	39.36	39.29			40.15(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	12	15	17.33	48%	-0.1	22.9	1.49%	0	1.1	58	0
10	Jul_27_2012	40.65	39.43	39.26	38.95			40.39(2.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	3	-10000	7	-8	33.03	48%	-0.1	18	1.49%	0	1.5	56	0

11	Jul_26_2012	40.69	39.32	39.14	38.75			39.24(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-11	-10000	-5	-29	32.68	45%	-0.1	8.2	1.44%	0	-0.1	46	0
12	Jul_25_2012	40.73	39.32	39.08	38.89			38.42(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-9	-39	18.47	43%	-0.12	5.1	1.42%	0	-1.3	33	0
13	Jul_24_2012	40.78	39.32	39.17	39.13			38.26(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-10	-40	11.31	43%	-0.15	3.4	1.42%	0	-1.5	30	0
14	Jul_23_2012	40.84	39.29	39.26	39.42			38.42(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-6	-31	20.3	41%	-0.17	5.4	1.42%	0	-1.2	39	0
15	Jul_20_2012	40.91	39.31	39.37	39.58			39.39(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	0	-24	14.75	43%	-0.12	8.2	1.4%	0	0.1	45	0

16	Jul_19_2012	40.96	39.27	39.39	39.57			39.98(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	5	-10000	10	-9	17.27	45%	-0.12	6.4	1.4%	0	1	64	0
17	Jul_18_2012	41.01	39.26	39.41	39.3			39.58(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	-10000	3	-10	21.12	45%	-0.12	5.9	1.39%	0	0.4	60	0
18	Jul_17_2012	41.06	39.27	39.51	39.23			39.72(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	6	-10000	5	10	28.21	45%	-0.12	11.5	1.39%	0	0.6	63	0
19	Jul_16_2012	41.11	39.27	39.53	39.09			39.25(-0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-1	19	13.32	45%	-0.12	16.4	1.39%	0	0	63	0
20	Jul_13_2012	41.16	39.25	39.59	39.13			39.33(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-10000	-2	35	20.16	43%	-0.12	23.8	1.39%	0	0.1	56	0

21	Jul_12_2012	41.21	39.22	39.51	39.19			38.61(-1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-13	34	22.89	44%	-0.15	25.8	1.38%	0	-0.8	53	0
22	Jul_11_2012	41.27	39.21	39.52	39.54			39.23(0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-10	42	28.66	46%	-0.12	38.8	1.41%	0	0	45	0
23	Jul_10_2012	41.32	39.19	39.44	39.83			39.05(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-7	46	23.28	44%	-0.05	56.3	1.41%	0	-0.2	43	0
24	Jul_9_2012	41.34	39.13	39.34	40.02			39.44(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-3	45	11.11	43%	-0.12	63.2	1.43%	0	0.4	51	0
25	Jul_6_2012	41.39	39.07	39.27	40.11			39.62(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	20	-10000	9	51	22.63	43%		72	1.43%	0	0.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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