Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $39.9300 (-0.15%) ($39.5100 - $40.1600) on Wed. Jun. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $39.9300(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(94%)    FXI(79%)    EWY(76%)    SPY(72%)    EWG(71%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.43(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.92(2.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.37(4.07%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2012	41.94	38.37	38.92	39.43			39.93(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	-10000	12	121	29.56	38%	-0.05	43.8	1.26%	0	2	65	0
2	Jun_19_2012	41.96	38.28	38.76	39.13			39.99(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	-10000	11	106	41.18	38%	-0.07	31.9	1.27%	0	2.4	66	0
3	Jun_18_2012	41.99	38.2	38.49	38.85			39.39(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	13	77	26	36%	-0.07	19.7	1.25%	0	2	54	0
4	Jun_15_2012	42.02	38.11	38.28	38.53			39.24(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	8	50	36.92	36%	-0.07	-15.5	1.25%	0	2.1	62	0
5	Jun_14_2012	42.05	38.04	38.06	38.34			38.62(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	0	27	25.29	32%	-0.1	-56.5	1.23%	0	1.2	57	0

6	Jun_13_2012	42.09	38.03	38	38.34			38.4(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	0	28	24.49	36%	-0.09	-78.2	1.24%	0	0.8	53	0
7	Jun_12_2012	42.13	38.05	37.94	38.33			38.59(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	10	27	24.58	36%	-0.07	-91	1.29%	0	1.1	52	0
8	Jun_11_2012	42.16	38.08	37.93	38.09			37.8(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	-10000	5	9	16.35	33%	-0.09	-111.2	1.26%	0	-0.5	43	0
9	Jun_8_2012	42.2	38.19	37.91	37.97			38.27(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	10	1	13.58	36%	-0.07	-100.5	1.26%	0	0.1	55	0
10	Jun_7_2012	42.23	38.31	37.85	37.73			38.59(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	4	-20	18.68	36%	-0.07	-93.9	1.29%	0	0.3	55	0

11	Jun_6_2012	42.26	38.4	37.78	37.62			38.41(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	4	-33	15.29	33%	-0.05	-96	1.3%	0	0	49	0
12	Jun_5_2012	42.28	38.52	37.75	37.52			37.36(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-10	-55	23.44	28%	-0.12	-92.1	1.31%	0	-1	36	0
13	Jun_4_2012	42.33	38.73	37.87	37.77			37.22(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-3	-45	23.35	28%	-0.07	-80.5	1.31%	0	-1.1	33	0
14	Jun_1_2012	42.36	38.95	37.93	37.84			37.08(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-5	-69	26.08	28%	-0.07	-78.8	1.31%	0	-1.3	28	0
15	May_31_2012	42.39	39.21	38.03	37.97			38.02(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	-10000	1	-91	43.03	30%	-0.02	-72.9	1.3%	0	-0.8	28	0

16	May_30_2012	42.4	39.44	38.07	37.95			37.9(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-10000	-3	-118	28.56	30%	-0.05	-66.4	1.3%	0	-0.9	30	0
17	May_29_2012	42.42	39.68	38.18	38.03			38.61(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-34	-10000	0	-137	20.57	31%	0.07	-60.4	1.29%	0	-0.6	29	0
18	May_25_2012	42.39	39.87	38.24	38.02			37.57(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-44	-10000	-1	-174	21.39	27%	-0.02	-55.8	1.23%	0	-1.2	17	0
19	May_24_2012	42.4	40.13	38.5	38.05			37.73(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-49	-10000	-2	-188	18.57	27%	-0.05	-56.9	1.24%	0	-1.3	18	0
20	May_23_2012	42.42	40.37	38.79	38.09			37.96(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-54	-10000	-4	-203	26.44	27%	-0.02	-57.7	1.25%	0	-1.3	17	0

21	May_22_2012	42.43	40.6	39.05	38.19			38.27(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-61	-10000	-7	-224	24.92	27%	-0.09	-60	1.25%	0	-1.3	16	0
22	May_21_2012	42.47	40.8	39.34	38.35			38.58(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-64	-10000	-7	-233	23.79	27%	0	-62.5	1.25%	0	-1.3	17	0
23	May_18_2012	42.47	40.97	39.64	38.51			37.71(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-79	-10000	-22	-248	35.09	22%	0	-63.7	1.21%	0	-2	11	0
24	May_17_2012	42.47	41.24	40.05	39.02			37.95(-1.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-75	-10000	-24	-229	19.53	22%	0	-61.5	1.21%	0	-2.2	11	0
25	May_16_2012	42.47	41.48	40.5	39.6			38.45(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-62	-10000	-18	-195	27.22	23%		-61.7	1.21%	0	-2.3	12	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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