Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $44.2500 (0.32%) ($44.0100 - $44.2600) on Wed. Feb. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $44.2500(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(94%)    FXI(79%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(72%)    EWG(71%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(4%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.11(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.99(0.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.55(1.61%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2012	40.55	43.55	43.99	44.11			44.25(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	3	16	22.06	65%	0.22	80	1.72%	0	0.9	61	0
2	Feb_21_2012	40.46	43.44	43.95	43.98			44.11(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	1	21	17.39	60%	0.35	81.3	1.72%	0	0.8	68	0
3	Feb_17_2012	40.32	43.34	43.92	43.94			44.28(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	5	34	22.42	60%	0.17	84.7	1.76%	0	1.1	72	0
4	Feb_16_2012	40.25	43.21	43.9	43.74			44.17(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	-0	35	21.32	60%	0.17	85.3	1.79%	0	1.1	63	0
5	Feb_15_2012	40.18	43.08	43.83	43.75			43.73(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	9	-10000	-3	43	17.97	60%	0.12	91.9	1.81%	0	0.7	63	0

6	Feb_14_2012	40.13	42.97	43.8	43.85			43.61(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-2	54	13.74	60%	0.17	90.2	1.81%	0	0.6	60	0
7	Feb_13_2012	40.06	42.81	43.69	43.91			43.93(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	1	61	16.57	60%	0.18	98.1	1.82%	0	1	67	0
8	Feb_10_2012	39.99	42.6	43.51	43.88			43.28(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10000	-5	59	27.04	60%	0.2	89.9	1.83%	0	0.5	64	0
9	Feb_9_2012	39.91	42.45	43.45	44.07			44.21(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	4	80	21.13	55%	0.15	91.6	1.81%	0	1.3	75	0
10	Feb_8_2012	39.85	42.23	43.26	43.92			44.23(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-10000	4	75	26.6	55%	0.1	88	1.94%	0	1.4	76	0

11	Feb_7_2012	39.81	42	43.08	43.74			43.89(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	7	78	24.17	55%	0.08	86.6	1.95%	0	1.3	77	0
12	Feb_6_2012	39.78	41.76	42.9	43.43			43.8(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	9	80	21.27	55%	0.08	79.7	1.95%	0	1.4	81	0
13	Feb_3_2012	39.75	41.5	42.71	43.06			44.21(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	-10000	7	82	31.7	55%	0.08	71.4	1.95%	0	1.8	88	0
14	Feb_2_2012	39.72	41.24	42.45	42.75			43.48(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	-10000	6	83	29.55	55%	0.05	72.6	1.94%	0	1.5	81	0
15	Feb_1_2012	39.7	41.02	42.26	42.52			43.31(2.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	-10000	4	86	39.43	55%	0.08	73.8	1.97%	0	1.6	81	0

16	Jan_31_2012	39.67	40.82	42.05	42.35			42.33(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	23	-10000	1	90	39.89	47%	0.03	76.8	1.97%	0	1.1	78	0
17	Jan_30_2012	39.66	40.61	41.86	42.29			41.99(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	0	96	15.42	47%	0.03	75.8	2.03%	0	1	81	0
18	Jan_27_2012	39.65	40.43	41.64	42.27			42.63(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-10000	4	108	20.2	54%	0	73.2	2.02%	0	1.5	90	0
19	Jan_26_2012	39.65	40.18	41.38	42.09			42.32(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	3	102	43.44	54%	-0.03	66.7	2.15%	0	1.5	81	0
20	Jan_25_2012	39.66	39.98	41.12	41.95			42.49(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	5	104	19.39	54%	0	67.6	2.16%	0	1.8	79	0

21	Jan_24_2012	39.66	39.79	40.85	41.71			42(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	8	100	12.56	57%	0.05	68.9	2.17%	0	1.7	75	0
22	Jan_23_2012	39.64	39.61	40.54	41.36			41.92(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	10	92	14.2	57%	-0.03	67.4	2.22%	0	1.8	81	0
23	Jan_20_2012	39.65	39.41	40.2	40.9			41.7(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	25	-10000	8	77	16.88	59%	-0.05	64.4	2.25%	0	2	80	0
24	Jan_19_2012	39.67	39.26	39.93	40.55			41.65(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	24	-10000	8	73	16.34	59%	-0.05	65.4	2.26%	0	2.4	82	0
25	Jan_18_2012	39.69	39.05	39.67	40.17			41.26(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	-10000	7	65	20.89	59%		57	2.27%	0	2.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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