Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 8, 2011

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $42.8100 (1.25%) ($41.9300 - $42.8700) on Tue. Nov. 8, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.7% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $42.8100(1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(94%)    FXI(80%)    EWY(77%)    SPY(73%)    EWG(72%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.35% (StdDev 2.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.19(1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.08(1.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.98(4.47%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 3.51% (three month std-dev: 2.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2011	42.91	40.98	42.08	42.19			42.81(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-10000	8	66	16.49	51%	-0.07	79.2	2.7%	0	1.3	65	0
2	Nov_7_2011	42.94	40.78	41.84	41.75			42.28(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	3	50	13.27	51%	-0.12	81.3	2.87%	0	1	59	0
3	Nov_4_2011	42.99	40.6	41.72	41.6			41.98(-0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-4	54	24.14	48%	-0.09	82.8	2.87%	0	0.9	62	0
4	Nov_3_2011	43.03	40.36	41.5	41.85			42.16(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-4	59	19.03	48%	-0.12	88	2.96%	0	1.1	57	0
5	Nov_2_2011	43.08	40.13	41.16	42.11			41.7(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	2	66	40.6	47%	-0.14	86	2.95%	0	0.9	58	0

6	Nov_1_2011	43.14	39.87	40.93	41.97			40.61(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	16	-10000	1	61	41.13	47%	-0.16	75.2	2.95%	0	0.4	54	0
7	Oct_31_2011	43.21	39.64	40.88	41.91			41.53(-3.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	1	66	27.47	47%	-0.14	62	2.94%	0	0.9	61	0
8	Oct_28_2011	43.27	39.33	40.63	41.82			43.23(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	12	72	21.82	49%	-0.12	55.6	2.91%	0	1.8	68	0
9	Oct_27_2011	43.32	38.96	40.3	41.09			43.47(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	-10000	17	69	67.96	48%	-0.09	48.9	2.9%	0	2.3	73	0
10	Oct_26_2011	43.36	38.65	39.88	40.1			41.02(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	6	49	14.93	45%	-0.16	45.3	2.81%	0	1.4	66	0

11	Oct_25_2011	43.43	38.46	39.75	39.76			40.3(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	1	55	22.3	45%	-0.18	38.7	2.8%	0	1.1	68	0
12	Oct_24_2011	43.51	38.35	39.61	39.7			41.06(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	8	74	31.74	45%	-0.18	33.5	2.79%	0	1.7	74	0
13	Oct_21_2011	43.59	38.15	39.36	39.28			39.6(2.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	18	-10000	-2	78	22.25	44%	-0.21	18.4	2.75%	0	1	72	0
14	Oct_20_2011	43.68	38.01	39.12	39.41			38.53(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	20	-10000	-4	91	21.93	42%	-0.23	6.6	2.73%	0	0.3	65	0
15	Oct_19_2011	43.78	37.89	39.04	39.62			39.3(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-10000	-2	100	21.69	43%	-0.23	-5.8	2.72%	0	0.9	56	0

16	Oct_18_2011	43.88	37.84	38.76	39.73			39.99(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	4	104	34.11	43%	-0.09	-10	2.72%	0	1.4	60	0
17	Oct_17_2011	43.92	37.83	38.34	39.49			38.99(-3.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	1	83	17.98	43%	-0.2	-16.4	2.7%	0	0.7	52	0
18	Oct_14_2011	44.01	37.88	37.98	39.43			40.22(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	12	77	27.87	44%	-0.18	-17.7	2.68%	0	1.3	62	0
19	Oct_13_2011	44.09	37.91	37.53	38.79			39.58(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	8	50	23.28	45%	-0.18	-25.8	2.68%	0	0.9	61	0
20	Oct_12_2011	44.17	37.97	37.33	38.37			39.87(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	14	49	33.93	45%	-0.16	-34	2.68%	0	1	66	0

21	Oct_11_2011	44.24	38	37.05	37.65			38.79(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	13	18	15.76	42%	-0.18	-48.6	2.66%	0	0.4	49	0
22	Oct_10_2011	44.32	38.09	36.96	37.02			38.68(4.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	-10000	14	-13	16.93	42%	-0.23	-57.7	2.68%	0	0.3	44	0
23	Oct_7_2011	44.42	38.19	36.79	36.32			37.01(-1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	-10000	5	-59	22.78	40%	-0.25	-67.9	2.61%	0	-0.5	37	0
24	Oct_6_2011	44.53	38.39	36.77	36.09			37.48(3.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-25	-10000	-1	-95	35.36	40%	-0.25	-71.3	2.61%	0	-0.4	35	0
25	Oct_5_2011	44.64	38.63	36.62	36.15			36.27(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10000	-5	-127	26.17	38%		-67.9	2.57%	0	-0.9	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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