Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $48.2500 (0.79%) ($48.2400 - $48.6700) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $48.2500(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(79%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.37(-0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.17(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.05(0.42%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   7.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2011	47.83	48.05	48.17	48.37			48.25(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-6	34	14.33	44%	0.02	-11.1	1.2%	0	0.3	55	0
2	Jun_6_2011	47.82	48.07	48.03	48.54			47.87(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	8	-10000	-3	39	13.76	44%	-0.02	-14.4	1.21%	0	-0.3	54	0
3	Jun_3_2011	47.83	48.11	48.02	48.63			48.52(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	5	52	20.65	48%	0.02	-23.1	1.19%	0	0.6	59	0
4	Jun_2_2011	47.82	48.09	47.97	48.49			48.82(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	11	44	9.59	49%	-0.02	-43.3	1.21%	0	1.1	52	0
5	Jun_1_2011	47.83	48.07	47.9	48.18			48.4(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	9	24	20.52	49%	0.02	-71.2	1.22%	0	0.5	49	0

6	May_31_2011	47.82	48.12	47.82	47.92			49.11(1.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.6	12	-10000	17	-2	20.6	49%	0.04	-82.2	1.2%	0	1.4	46	0
7	May_27_2011	47.8	48.17	47.64	47.45			48.3(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	4	-49	16.65	49%	0	-72.6	1.2%	0	0.1	44	0
8	May_26_2011	47.8	48.27	47.54	47.33			47.82(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-20	-10000	-2	-72	11.64	49%	-0.02	-71.4	1.2%	0	-0.4	42	0
9	May_25_2011	47.81	48.38	47.59	47.38			47.25(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-7	-70	23.57	49%	-0.02	-65.7	1.2%	0	-1	44	0
10	May_24_2011	47.82	48.55	47.7	47.59			47.13(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-3	-58	20.22	49%	-0.04	-53.8	1.22%	0	-1.2	39	0

11	May_23_2011	47.84	48.73	47.91	47.69			46.73(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-5	-57	20.72	49%	-0.02	-44.3	1.21%	0	-1.7	31	0
12	May_20_2011	47.85	48.91	48.13	47.83			47.71(-0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	2	-60	19.14	48%	0	-41.1	1.25%	0	-1.1	29	0
13	May_19_2011	47.85	49.06	48.13	47.77			48.08(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10000	-2	-82	14.89	48%	0	-38	1.25%	0	-0.9	30	0
14	May_18_2011	47.85	49.17	48.23	47.83			48.32(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-25	-10000	-1	-98	9.28	48%	0.04	-32.5	1.26%	0	-0.7	35	0
15	May_17_2011	47.83	49.21	48.26	47.85			47.63(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-11	-122	21.54	46%	0	-32.3	1.25%	0	-1.4	27	0

16	May_16_2011	47.83	49.26	48.44	48.18			47.41(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-10000	-10	-116	16.05	46%	0	-31.7	1.25%	0	-1.7	25	0
17	May_13_2011	47.83	49.38	48.74	48.47			47.42(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-10000	-9	-100	39.65	46%	0	-30	1.24%	0	-2	30	0
18	May_12_2011	47.83	49.49	49.06	48.74			48.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-20	-10000	2	-86	25.5	48%	0.04	-30	1.22%	0	-1.2	32	0
19	May_11_2011	47.81	49.54	49.24	48.68			48.39(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-1	-92	23.34	48%	0.02	-38.5	1.23%	0	-1.3	37	0
20	May_10_2011	47.8	49.58	49.47	48.72			49.29(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-20	-10000	-1	-78	22.76	51%	0.04	-45.5	1.21%	0	-0.3	54	0

21	May_9_2011	47.78	49.61	49.6	48.76			48.87(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-11	-61	14.28	48%	0.04	-46.7	1.21%	0	-0.9	56	0
22	May_6_2011	47.76	49.68	49.74	49.09			48.74(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-12	-38	28.36	48%	0.02	-33.3	1.22%	0	-1.1	47	0
23	May_5_2011	47.75	49.76	49.94	49.46			48.09(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-13	-10000	-14	-9	33.8	46%	0.02	-14.3	1.22%	0	-2.1	43	0
24	May_4_2011	47.74	49.88	50.18	49.89			48.6(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-4	-10000	-13	25	35.57	46%	0.02	12	1.22%	0	-1.8	48	0
25	May_3_2011	47.73	49.96	50.26	50.3			49.49(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-10000	-8	53	28.52	49%		45.4	1.2%	0	-0.7	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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