Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 2, 2011

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $50.5200 (-0.16%) ($50.3700 - $50.9200) on Mon. May. 2, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $50.5200(-0.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(79%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.54(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.18(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50(1.04%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2011	47.71	50	50.18	50.54			50.52(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-10000	2	61	16.92	51%	0.06	76.6	1.17%	0	0.8	55	0
2	Apr_29_2011	47.68	49.96	50.08	50.49			50.6(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-1	50	13.37	54%	0.08	90.5	1.19%	0	1	50	0
3	Apr_28_2011	47.64	49.87	49.97	50.51			50.25(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	-0	45	13.14	50%	0.06	97.7	1.2%	0	0.6	49	0
4	Apr_27_2011	47.61	49.8	49.87	50.52			50.66(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	10	39	17.96	50%	0.06	100.7	1.26%	0	1.2	51	0
5	Apr_26_2011	47.58	49.67	49.7	50.2			50.67(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	15	14	14.6	50%	0.06	89	1.26%	0	1.3	53	0

6	Apr_25_2011	47.55	49.51	49.6	49.74			50.28(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	4	-18	12.97	50%	0.04	70.7	1.26%	0	0.9	50	0
7	Apr_21_2011	47.53	49.39	49.59	49.6			50.71(0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	8	-20	10.83	50%	0.08	69.6	1.25%	0	1.4	57	0
8	Apr_20_2011	47.49	49.25	49.53	49.36			50.28(2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	7	-22	13.73	50%	0.11	70.9	1.25%	0	1	60	0
9	Apr_19_2011	47.44	49.1	49.51	49.15			49.05(1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	1	-22	11.41	47%	0.06	69.2	1.22%	0	-0	57	0
10	Apr_18_2011	47.41	48.99	49.61	49.13			48.4(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-10000	-9	-9	17.96	45%	0.06	65.2	1.21%	0	-0.5	58	0

11	Apr_15_2011	47.38	48.91	49.81	49.41			49.55(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-5	34	15.42	48%	0.06	63.6	1.18%	0	0.5	72	0
12	Apr_14_2011	47.35	48.73	49.83	49.57			49.53(0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-10000	-5	62	17.9	48%	0.06	59.7	1.19%	0	0.5	68	0
13	Apr_13_2011	47.32	48.55	49.78	49.72			49.24(0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-7	82	14.41	48%	0.06	56.1	1.19%	0	0.4	67	0
14	Apr_12_2011	47.29	48.35	49.74	49.93			48.91(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	22	-10000	-8	110	23.55	51%	0.04	52.2	1.19%	0	0.3	69	0
15	Apr_11_2011	47.27	48.21	49.67	50.17			49.8(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-10000	-3	140	13.24	54%	0.06	52.4	1.2%	0	0.9	83	0

16	Apr_8_2011	47.24	48.06	49.46	50.25			50.37(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	43	-10000	4	161	18.16	54%	0.06	54.4	1.2%	0	1.3	91	0
17	Apr_7_2011	47.21	47.85	49.21	50.12			50.29(-0.02%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	52	-10000	9	179	19	54%	0.08	51.9	1.21%	0	1.5	92	0
18	Apr_6_2011	47.17	47.63	48.96	49.86			50.3(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	-10000	12	189	25.13	54%	0.11	46.7	1.22%	0	1.7	93	0
19	Apr_5_2011	47.12	47.47	48.65	49.51			50.07(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	-10000	14	195	21.93	54%	0.06	47.2	1.22%	0	1.8	93	0
20	Apr_4_2011	47.09	47.32	48.3	49.09			50.21(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	59	-10000	18	183	14.66	54%	0.06	48	1.22%	0	2.2	79	0

21	Apr_1_2011	47.06	47.13	47.93	48.55			49.75(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	-10000	13	153	29.84	54%	0.04	44.2	1.21%	0	2.3	68	0
22	Mar_31_2011	47.04	47	47.53	48.16			48.95(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-10000	8	125	22.96	51%	0	47.1	1.21%	0	2	67	0
23	Mar_30_2011	47.04	46.91	47.19	47.93			48.57(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	10	112	23.65	51%	0	56.2	1.2%	0	1.9	68	0
24	Mar_29_2011	47.04	46.8	46.84	47.66			47.98(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	10	75	14.61	50%	-0.02	59.6	1.2%	0	1.5	52	0
25	Mar_28_2011	47.05	46.69	46.63	47.38			47.51(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	7	45	21.72	50%		56.4	1.2%	0	1.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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