Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 3, 2011

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $47.4400 (1.87%) ($47.0500 - $47.5200) on Thu. Mar. 3, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $47.4400(1.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(80%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.47(2.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.2(2.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.26(2.55%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110403

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_3_2011	47.17	46.26	46.2	46.47			47.44(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	-10000	17	42	26.91	48%	0	-14	1.07%	0	1.9	66	0
2	Mar_2_2011	47.17	46.23	46.08	46.06			46.57(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	11	18	23.24	47%	0	-37.1	1.04%	0	0.6	56	0
3	Mar_1_2011	47.17	46.27	46.08	45.81			45.93(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	5	-11	29.53	51%	-0.02	-43.4	1.04%	0	-0.5	42	0
4	Feb_28_2011	47.18	46.3	46.02	45.69			46.41(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-11	-10000	-4	-33	17.2	51%	-0.02	-55.2	1.09%	0	0.2	44	0
5	Feb_25_2011	47.19	46.28	45.96	45.78			46.01(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-5	-38	19.35	47%	0	-59.4	1.12%	0	-0.4	39	0

6	Feb_24_2011	47.19	46.35	45.91	45.9			45.39(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-8	-50	18.22	48%	-0.04	-53.6	1.12%	0	-1.4	33	0
7	Feb_23_2011	47.21	46.46	45.97	46.11			45.29(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-5	-48	28.05	43%	-0.02	-47.1	1.15%	0	-1.6	31	0
8	Feb_22_2011	47.22	46.56	46.12	46.25			45.33(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-14	-10000	-4	-44	26.95	43%	0	-52.7	1.22%	0	-1.8	29	0
9	Feb_18_2011	47.22	46.67	46.12	46.36			46.9(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	7	-32	17.42	53%	0.02	-60	1.14%	0	0.4	54	0
10	Feb_17_2011	47.21	46.68	46.28	46.17			46.61(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	9	-33	18.23	53%	0.04	-73.8	1.17%	0	-0.1	57	0

11	Feb_16_2011	47.19	46.72	46.32	45.93			46.4(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	4	-54	19.85	48%	0.02	-85.5	1.17%	0	-0.5	41	0
12	Feb_15_2011	47.18	46.8	46.38	45.83			45.99(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-6	-68	17.14	48%	0.02	-79.9	1.21%	0	-1	36	0
13	Feb_14_2011	47.17	46.92	46.53	45.99			45.9(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-7	-58	20.66	48%	0.02	-69.9	1.21%	0	-1.3	40	0
14	Feb_11_2011	47.16	47.05	46.59	46.2			45.93(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-8	-55	38.07	45%	0.04	-57.6	1.25%	0	-1.4	39	0
15	Feb_10_2011	47.14	47.17	46.62	46.42			45.43(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-10000	-11	-55	46.76	45%	0.02	-50	1.24%	0	-2.2	38	0

16	Feb_9_2011	47.13	47.34	46.83	46.75			45.89(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-9	-37	48.7	45%	0.04	-39.3	1.24%	0	-1.9	37	0
17	Feb_8_2011	47.11	47.44	47	47			46.8(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-5	-27	38.07	48%	0.06	-41.4	1.22%	0	-0.9	39	0
18	Feb_7_2011	47.08	47.47	47.05	47.14			46.93(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-10000	3	-28	30.6	48%	0.06	-45.5	1.22%	0	-0.8	37	0
19	Feb_4_2011	47.05	47.51	47.1	47.05			47.06(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-10000	7	-41	11.58	51%	0.06	-52.5	1.22%	0	-0.7	37	0
20	Feb_3_2011	47.02	47.57	47.11	46.84			47.08(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-3	-66	25.83	51%	0.09	-59.6	1.26%	0	-0.7	39	0

21	Feb_2_2011	46.98	47.65	47.16	46.92			47.12(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-3	-75	29.05	53%	0.06	-47.6	1.26%	0	-0.8	35	0
22	Feb_1_2011	46.95	47.73	47.24	47.02			47.49(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	2	-66	24.52	53%	0.09	-30.7	1.26%	0	-0.3	48	0
23	Jan_31_2011	46.91	47.78	47.32	46.96			46.49(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-7	-65	24.58	50%	0.06	-21.7	1.24%	0	-1.7	47	0
24	Jan_28_2011	46.88	47.87	47.52	47.16			46.01(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-10000	-8	-49	28.24	50%	0.09	-8.5	1.23%	0	-2.7	39	0
25	Jan_27_2011	46.84	47.97	47.76	47.39			47.48(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-35	25.31	52%		7.3	1.17%	0	-0.9	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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