Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $46.9000 (0.62%) ($46.6300 - $47.0000) on Fri. Feb. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $46.9000(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(80%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.36(1.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.28(1.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.67(0.49%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2011	47.22	46.67		46.36			46.9(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	7	-32	17.42	53%	0.02	-60	1.14%	0	0.4	54	0
2	Feb_17_2011	47.21	46.68	46.28	46.17			46.61(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	9	-33	18.23	53%	0.04	-73.8	1.17%	0	-0.1	57	0
3	Feb_16_2011	47.19	46.72	46.32	45.93			46.4(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	4	-54	19.85	48%	0.02	-85.5	1.17%	0	-0.5	41	0
4	Feb_15_2011	47.18	46.8	46.38	45.83			45.99(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-22	-10000	-6	-68	17.14	48%	0.02	-79.9	1.21%	0	-1	36	0
5	Feb_14_2011	47.17	46.92	46.53	45.99			45.9(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-7	-58	20.66	48%	0.02	-69.9	1.21%	0	-1.3	40	0

6	Feb_11_2011	47.16	47.05	46.59	46.2			45.93(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-10000	-8	-55	38.07	45%	0.04	-57.6	1.25%	0	-1.4	39	0
7	Feb_10_2011	47.14	47.17	46.62	46.42			45.43(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-10000	-11	-55	46.76	45%	0.02	-50	1.24%	0	-2.2	38	0
8	Feb_9_2011	47.13	47.34	46.83	46.75			45.89(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-9	-37	48.7	45%	0.04	-39.3	1.24%	0	-1.9	37	0
9	Feb_8_2011	47.11	47.44	47	47			46.8(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-5	-27	38.07	48%	0.06	-41.4	1.22%	0	-0.9	39	0
10	Feb_7_2011	47.08	47.47	47.05	47.14			46.93(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-10000	3	-28	30.6	48%	0.06	-45.5	1.22%	0	-0.8	37	0

11	Feb_4_2011	47.05	47.51	47.1	47.05			47.06(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-10000	7	-41	11.58	51%	0.06	-52.5	1.22%	0	-0.7	37	0
12	Feb_3_2011	47.02	47.57	47.11	46.84			47.08(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-3	-66	25.83	51%	0.09	-59.6	1.26%	0	-0.7	39	0
13	Feb_2_2011	46.98	47.65	47.16	46.92			47.12(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-21	-10000	-3	-75	29.05	53%	0.06	-47.6	1.26%	0	-0.8	35	0
14	Feb_1_2011	46.95	47.73	47.24	47.02			47.49(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	2	-66	24.52	53%	0.09	-30.7	1.26%	0	-0.3	48	0
15	Jan_31_2011	46.91	47.78	47.32	46.96			46.49(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-7	-65	24.58	50%	0.06	-21.7	1.24%	0	-1.7	47	0

16	Jan_28_2011	46.88	47.87	47.52	47.16			46.01(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-18	-10000	-8	-49	28.24	50%	0.09	-8.5	1.23%	0	-2.7	39	0
17	Jan_27_2011	46.84	47.97	47.76	47.39			47.48(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-35	25.31	52%	0.11	7.3	1.17%	0	-0.9	44	0
18	Jan_26_2011	46.79	47.98	47.9	47.42			47.64(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-3	-31	15.45	52%	0.11	8.2	1.19%	0	-0.6	42	0
19	Jan_25_2011	46.74	47.98	47.92	47.5			47.2(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-9	-39	14.08	52%	0.02	10.1	1.18%	0	-1.3	36	0
20	Jan_24_2011	46.73	47.95	47.94	47.75			47.48(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-7	-37	10.19	52%	0.11	19.2	1.19%	0	-0.8	40	0

21	Jan_21_2011	46.68	47.95	47.97	47.95			47.16(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-10000	-8	-30	13.12	52%	0.11	26.4	1.19%	0	-1.3	43	0
22	Jan_20_2011	46.63	47.93	48.08	48.18			47.63(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-9	-15	11.34	54%	0.13	37.2	1.18%	0	-0.5	50	0
23	Jan_19_2011	46.57	47.94	48.18	48.43			48.05(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	5	-10000	2	15	11.86	50%	0.15	47.1	1.19%	0	0.2	57	0
24	Jan_18_2011	46.5	47.89	48.26	48.38			48.45(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	8	31	10.21	50%	0.3	41.2	1.25%	0	0.9	65	0
25	Jan_14_2011	46.36	47.83	48.27	48.14			48.46(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	5	33	11.8	50%		29.7	1.24%	0	1	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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